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We give an analytical interpretation of how subsample-based internal covariance estimators lead to biased estimates of the covariance, due to underestimating the super-sample covariance (SSC). This includes the jackknife and bootstrap…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2018-04-16 Fabien Lacasa , Martin Kunz

Reduced-rank approach has been used for decades in robust linear estimation of both deterministic and random vector of parameters in linear model y=Hx+\sqrt{epsilon}n. In practical settings, estimation is frequently performed under…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-08-05 Tomasz Piotrowski , Isao Yamada

The comparison of subnational areas is ubiquitous but survey samples of these areas are often biased or prohibitively small. Researchers turn to methods such as multilevel regression and poststratification (MRP) to improve the efficiency of…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-05-13 Shiro Kuriwaki , Soichiro Yamauchi

Negative binomial regression is commonly employed to analyze overdispersed count data. With small to moderate sample sizes, the maximum likelihood estimator of the dispersion parameter may be subject to a significant bias, that in turn…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-11-06 Euloge Clovis Kenne Pagui , Alessandra Salvan , Nicola Sartori

The empirical Bayes estimators in mixed models are useful for small area estimation in the sense of increasing precision of prediction for small area means, and one wants to know the prediction errors of the empirical Bayes estimators based…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-04-07 Shonosuke Sugasawa , Tatsuya Kubokawa

This paper proposes a class of ratio type estimators of finite population variance, when the population variance of an auxiliary character is known. Asymptotic expression for mean square error (MSE) is derived and compared with the mean…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-11-27 Jayant Singh , Viplav K. Singh , Sachin Malik , Rajesh Singh

With the rise in popularity of digital Atlases to communicate spatial variation, there is an increasing need for robust small-area estimates. However, current small-area estimation methods suffer from various modeling problems when data are…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-12-06 James Hogg , Jessica Cameron , Susanna Cramb , Peter Baade , Kerrie Mengersen

Small area estimation (SAE) is a common endeavor and is used in a variety of disciplines. In low- and middle-income countries (LMICs), in which household surveys provide the most reliable and timely source of data, SAE is vital for…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-17 Jon Wakefield , Jitong Jiang , Yunhan Wu

In this paper, we have established a new framework of truncated inverse sampling for estimating mean values of non-negative random variables such as binomial, Poisson, hyper-geometrical, and bounded variables. We have derived explicit…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-11-05 Xinjia Chen

In linear regression we wish to estimate the optimum linear least squares predictor for a distribution over $d$-dimensional input points and real-valued responses, based on a small sample. Under standard random design analysis, where the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-06-08 Michał Dereziński , Manfred K. Warmuth , Daniel Hsu

We consider estimation of a one-dimensional location parameter by means of M-estimators S_n with monotone influence curve psi. For growing sample size n, on suitably thinned out convex contamination ball BQ_n of shrinking radius r/sqrt(n)…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2010-06-02 Peter Ruckdeschel

The tuning parameter selection strategy for penalized estimation is crucial to identify a model that is both interpretable and predictive. However, popular strategies (e.g., minimizing average squared prediction error via cross-validation)…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-11-10 Julia Holter , Jonathan Stallrich

This paper introduces Mixed Effect Gradient Boosting (MEGB), which combines the strengths of Gradient Boosting with Mixed Effects models to address complex, hierarchical data structures often encountered in statistical analysis. The…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-01-22 Paul Messer , Timo Schmid

This paper develops a class of Bayesian non- and semiparametric methods for estimating regression curves and surfaces. The main idea is to model the regression as locally linear, and then place suitable local priors on the local parameters.…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-26 Nils Lid Hjort

In this paper we have suggested a family of estimators for the population mean in the presence of measurement errors. Expression for the mean squared error (MSE) of the suggested family is derived. An empirical study has been carried out to…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-09-11 Sachin Malik , Rajesh Singh

Minimum mean square error (MMSE) estimation is widely used in signal processing and related fields. While it is known to be non-continuous with respect to all standard notions of stochastic convergence, it remains robust in practical…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-05-01 Elad Domanovitz , Anatoly Khina

In nonlinear deterministic parameter estimation, the maximum likelihood estimator (MLE) is unable to attain the Cramer-Rao lower bound at low and medium signal-to-noise ratios (SNR) due the threshold and ambiguity phenomena. In order to…

Applications · Statistics 2015-06-19 Achraf Mallat , Sinan Gezici , Davide Dardari , Christophe Craeye , Luc Vandendorpe

In this paper, we introduce a new approach to constructing unbiased estimators when computing expectations of path functionals associated with stochastic differential equations (SDEs). Our randomization idea is closely related to…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2012-07-11 Chang-han Rhee , Peter W. Glynn

When mapping subnational health and demographic indicators, direct weighted estimators of small area means based on household survey data can be unreliable when data are limited. If survey microdata are available, unit level models can…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-09-22 Peter A. Gao , Jon Wakefield

This paper introduces empirical best predictors of small area bivariate parameters, like ratios of sums or sums of ratios, by assuming that the target unit-level vector follows a bivariate nested error regression model. The corresponding…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-12-02 M. D. Esteban , M. J. Lombardía , E. López-Vizcaíno , D. Morales , A. Pérez