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We introduce a new approach for comparing the predictive accuracy of two nested models that bypasses the difficulties caused by the degeneracy of the asymptotic variance of forecast error loss differentials used in the construction of…

Econometrics · Economics 2023-10-17 Jean-Yves Pitarakis

We introduce and analyse a new nonparametric estimator of a multi-dimensional density. Our smooth projection estimator (SPE) is defined by a least squares projection of the sample onto an infinite dimensional mixture class via an…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-11-25 Heather Battey , Han Liu

Sparse coding refers to the pursuit of the sparsest representation of a signal in a typically overcomplete dictionary. From a Bayesian perspective, sparse coding provides a Maximum a Posteriori (MAP) estimate of the unknown vector under a…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2019-09-04 Dror Simon , Jeremias Sulam , Yaniv Romano , Yue M. Lu , Michael Elad

Simulation based inference (SBI) methods enable the estimation of posterior distributions when the likelihood function is intractable, but where model simulation is feasible. Popular neural approaches to SBI are the neural posterior…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-04-23 Xiaoyu Wang , Ryan P. Kelly , David J. Warne , Christopher Drovandi

We propose an adversarial evaluation framework for sensitive feature inference based on minimum mean-squared error (MMSE) estimation with a finite sample size and linear predictive models. Our approach establishes theoretical lower bounds…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-05-15 Monica Welfert , Nathan Stromberg , Mario Diaz , Lalitha Sankar

This note examines the behavior of generalization capabilities - as defined by out-of-sample mean squared error (MSE) - of Linear Gaussian (with a fixed design matrix) and Linear Least Squares regression. Particularly, we consider a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-09-21 Karthik Duraisamy

This paper considers probabilistic estimation of a low-rank matrix from non-linear element-wise measurements of its elements. We derive the corresponding approximate message passing (AMP) algorithm and its state evolution. Relying on…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2016-04-19 Thibault Lesieur , Florent Krzakala , Lenka Zdeborová

Centering is a commonly used technique in linear regression analysis. With centered data on both the responses and covariates, the ordinary least squares estimator of the slope parameter can be calculated from a model without the intercept.…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-10-04 HaiYing Wang

We address the problem of signal denoising via transform-domain shrinkage based on a novel $\textit{risk}$ criterion called the minimum probability of error (MPE), which measures the probability that the estimated parameter lies outside an…

Applications · Statistics 2020-02-19 Jishnu Sadasivan , Subhadip Mukherjee , Chandra Sekhar Seelamantula

For analyzing unit-level multivariate data in small area estimation, we consider the multivariate nested error regression model (MNER) and provide the empirical best linear unbiased predictor (EBLUP) of a small area characteristic based on…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-04-27 Tsubasa Ito , Tatsuya Kubokawa

We provide an asymptotic expansion of the maximal mean squared error (MSE) of the sample median to be attained on shrinking gross error neighborhoods about an ideal central distribution. More specifically, this expansion comes in powers of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2010-06-02 Peter Ruckdeschel

In this paper, we suggest an estimator using two auxiliary variables in stratified random sampling. The propose estimator has an improvement over mean per unit estimator as well as some other considered estimators. Expressions for bias and…

Applications · Statistics 2014-04-01 Rajesh Singh , Sachin Malik

A novel estimation approach for a general class of semi-parametric multivariate time series models is introduced where the conditional mean is modeled through parametric functions. The focus of the estimation is the conditional mean…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-07-21 Mirko Armillotta

Modern simulation-based inference techniques use neural networks to solve inverse problems efficiently. One notable strategy is neural posterior estimation (NPE), wherein a neural network parameterizes a distribution to approximate the…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2024-03-06 Alex Kolmus , Justin Janquart , Tomasz Baka , Twan van Laarhoven , Chris Van Den Broeck , Tom Heskes

In high-dimensional data settings where $p\gg n$, many penalized regularization approaches were studied for simultaneous variable selection and estimation. However, with the existence of covariates with weak effect, many existing variable…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-03-24 Xiaoli Gao , S. E. Ahmed , Yang Feng

We consider least squares estimation in a general nonparametric regression model. The rate of convergence of the least squares estimator (LSE) for the unknown regression function is well studied when the errors are sub-Gaussian. We find…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-04-12 Arun K. Kuchibhotla , Rohit K. Patra

We tackle covariance estimation in low-sample scenarios, employing a structured covariance matrix with shrinkage methods. These involve convexly combining a low-bias/high-variance empirical estimate with a biased regularization estimator,…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2024-06-28 Olivier Flasseur , Eric Thiébaut , Loïc Denis , Maud Langlois

Overparametrization often helps improve the generalization performance. This paper presents a dual view of overparametrization suggesting that downsampling may also help generalize. Focusing on the proportional regime $m\asymp n \asymp p$,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-10-17 Xin Chen , Yicheng Zeng , Siyue Yang , Qiang Sun

We obtain estimates for the Mean Squared Error (MSE) for the multitaper spectral estimator and certain compressive acquisition methods for multi-band signals. We confirm a fact discovered by Thomson [Spectrum estimation and harmonic…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2018-04-03 Luís Daniel Abreu , José Luis Romero

Ridge estimator is an alternative to ordinary least square estimator when there is multicollinearity problem. There are many proposed estimators in literature. In this paper, we propose new estimators which are modifications of the…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-12-10 Yasin Asar , Aşır Genç
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