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Consider a population of individuals and a network that encodes social connections among them. We are interested in making inference on finite population and super-population estimands that are a function of both individuals' responses and…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-12-13 Simon Lunagomez , Edoardo Airoldi

It has historically been a challenge to perform Bayesian inference in a design-based survey context. The present paper develops a Bayesian model for sampling inference in the presence of inverse-probability weights. We use a hierarchical…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-06-24 Yajuan Si , Natesh S. Pillai , Andrew Gelman

We develop a continuous mathematical model of population dynamics that describes the sequential emergence of new genotypes under limited resources. The framework models genotype density as a nonlinear flow in mutation space, combining…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2025-12-10 Alexander Bratus , Tatiana Yakushkina , Vladimir Posvyanski

1) Micro-evolutionary predictions are complicated by ecological feedbacks like density dependence, while ecological predictions can be complicated by evolutionary change. A widely used approach in micro-evolution, quantitative genetics,…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2015-09-07 Tim Coulson , Floriane Plard , Susanne Schindler , Arpat Ozgul , Jean-Michel Gaillard

Consider informative selection of a sample from a finite population. Responses are realized as independent and identically distributed (i.i.d.) random variables with a probability density function (p.d.f.) f, referred to as the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-11-26 Daniel Bonnéry , F. Jay Breidt , François Coquet

This paper introduces a novel multi-stage decision-making model that integrates hypothesis testing and dynamic programming algorithms to address complex decision-making scenarios.Initially,we develop a sampling inspection scheme that…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-03-11 Ziyang Liu , Yurui Hu , Yihan Deng

We present a generative learning framework for probabilistic sampling based on an extension of the Probabilistic Learning on Manifolds (PLoM) approach, which is designed to generate statistically consistent realizations of a random vector…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-06-04 Dimitris G Giovanis , Nikolaos Evangelou , Ioannis G Kevrekidis , Roger G Ghanem

In this paper, we develop a general approach to proving global and local uniform limit theorems for the Horvitz-Thompson empirical process arising from complex sampling designs. Global theorems such as Glivenko-Cantelli and Donsker…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-05-31 Qiyang Han , Jon A. Wellner

In the case of informative sampling the sampling scheme explicitly or implicitly depends on the response variable. As a result, the sample distribution of response variable can- not be used for making inference about the population. In this…

Applications · Statistics 2016-11-18 Anna Sikov

We propose an exactly solvable model for the dynamics of voters in a two-party system. The opinion formation process is modeled on a random network of agents. The dynamical nature of interpersonal relations is also reflected in the model,…

Physics and Society · Physics 2009-11-13 I. J. Benczik , S. Z. Benczik , B. Schmittmann , R. K. P. Zia

A clinical study is often necessary for exploring important research questions; however, this approach is sometimes time and money consuming. Another extreme approach, which is to collect and aggregate opinions from crowds, provides a…

Human-Computer Interaction · Computer Science 2022-05-17 Shoko Wakamiya , Toshiki Mera , Eiji Aramaki , Masaki Matsubara , Atsuyuki Morishima

Coevolving and competing species or game-theoretic strategies exhibit rich and complex dynamics for which a general theoretical framework based on finite populations is still lacking. Recently, an explicit mean-field description in the form…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2007-05-23 Arne Traulsen , Jens Christian Claussen , Christoph Hauert

We study generation through the lens of statistical learning theory. First, we abstract and formalize the results of Gold [1967], Angluin [1979], Angluin [1980] and Kleinberg and Mullainathan [2024] in terms of a binary hypothesis class…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-30 Jiaxun Li , Vinod Raman , Ambuj Tewari

In this paper we consider a physiologically structured population model with distributed states at birth, formulated on the space of non-negative Radon measures. Using a characterisation of the pre-dual space of bounded Lipschitz functions,…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2022-05-17 József Z. Farkas , Piotr Gwiazda , Anna Marciniak-Czochra

We develop a stochastic framework for viral population dynamics at the cellular level that explicitly incorporates the replication cycle with random stage durations. The model is formulated as a structured birth-death process coupled with a…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2026-05-13 Seong Jun Park

Bayesian analysis is increasingly popular for use in social science and other application areas where the data are observations from an informative sample. An informative sampling design leads to inclusion probabilities that are correlated…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-06-07 Terrance D. Savitsky , Daniell Toth

This paper develops a finite population framework for analyzing causal effects in settings with imperfect compliance where multiple treatments affect the outcome of interest. Two prominent examples are factorial designs and panel…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-01-26 Pedro Picchetti

In this article, a new mathematical model of human population growth as an autonomous non-Markov queuing system with an unlimited number of servers and two types of applications is proposed. The research of this system was carried out a…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-05-22 Mariia Nosova

The Kaplan-Meier product-limit estimator is a simple and powerful tool in time to event analysis. An extension exists for populations stratified into cohorts where a population survival curve is generated by weighted averaging of…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-11-12 Aaron Heuser , Minh Huynh , Joshua C. Chang

We considered a {multi-block} molecular model of biological evolution, in which fitness is a function of the mean types of alleles located at different parts (blocks) of the genome. We formulated an infinite population model with selection…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2015-06-12 David B. Saakian , Zara Kirakosyan , Chin-Kun Hu