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A characteristic of existing predictive process monitoring techniques is to first construct a predictive model based on past process executions, and then use it to predict the future of new ongoing cases, without the possibility of updating…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2023-10-26 Chiara Di Francescomarino , Chiara Ghidini , Fabrizio Maria Maggi , Williams Rizzi , Cosimo Damiano Persia

Statistical inference on the mean of a Poisson distribution is a fundamentally important problem with modern applications in, e.g., particle physics. The discreteness of the Poisson distribution makes this problem surprisingly challenging,…

Methodology · Statistics 2012-07-03 Ryan Martin , Duncan Ermini Leaf , Chuanhai Liu

Sequential change diagnosis is the joint problem of detection and identification of a sudden and unobservable change in the distribution of a random sequence. In this problem, the common probability law of a sequence of i.i.d. random…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-10-29 Savas Dayanik , Christian Goulding , H. Vincent Poor

This paper is dedicated to the investigation of a new numerical method to approximate the optimal stopping problem for a discrete-time continuous state space Markov chain under partial observations. It is based on a two-step discretization…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2016-02-16 Benoîte de Saporta , François Dufour , Christophe Nivot

We revisit the problem of maximising the expected length of increasing subsequence that can be selected from a marked Poisson process by an online strategy. Resorting to a natural size variable, the problem is represented in terms of a…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-05-10 Alexander Gnedin , Amirlan Seksenbayev

Consider the following problem: given a database of records indexed by names (e.g., name of companies, restaurants, businesses, or universities) and a new name, determine whether the new name is in the database, and if so, which record it…

Databases · Computer Science 2018-06-29 Bahare Fatemi , Seyed Mehran Kazemi , David Poole

Algorithms are developed for the quickest detection of a change in statistically periodic processes. These are processes in which the statistical properties are nonstationary but repeat after a fixed time interval. It is assumed that the…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-03-07 Yousef Oleyaeimotlagh , Taposh Banerjee , Ahmad Taha , Eugene John

Policy optimization is an effective reinforcement learning approach to solve continuous control tasks. Recent achievements have shown that alternating online and offline optimization is a successful choice for efficient trajectory reuse.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-11-01 Alberto Maria Metelli , Matteo Papini , Francesco Faccio , Marcello Restelli

We develop a model in which interactions between nodes of a dynamic network are counted by non homogeneous Poisson processes. In a block modelling perspective, nodes belong to hidden clusters (whose number is unknown) and the intensity…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-07-11 Marco Corneli , Pierre Latouche , Fabrice Rossi

We consider the problem of sequential sampling from a finite number of independent statistical populations to maximize the expected infinite horizon average outcome per period, under a constraint that the expected average sampling cost does…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2012-01-20 Apostolos Burnetas , Odysseas Kanavetas

In multivariate or spatial extremes, inference for max-stable processes observed at a large collection of locations is among the most challenging problems in computational statistics, and current approaches typically rely on less expensive…

Computation · Statistics 2015-08-20 Stefano Castruccio , Raphaël Huser , Marc Genton

Guided policy search algorithms have been proven to work with incredible accuracy for not only controlling a complicated dynamical system, but also learning optimal policies from various unseen instances. One assumes true nature of the…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-10-02 Prakash Mallick , Zhiyong Chen , Mohsen Zamani

We extend the theory of matrix completion to the case where we make Poisson observations for a subset of entries of a low-rank matrix. We consider the (now) usual matrix recovery formulation through maximum likelihood with proper…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-03-26 Yang Cao , Yao Xie

In this paper, we analyze the optimal management of local memory systems, using the tools of stationary point processes. We provide a rigorous setting of the problem, building upon recent work, and characterize the optimal causal policy…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-12-03 Matias Carrasco , Andres Ferragut , Fernando Paganini

We study the linearizability monitoring problem, which asks whether a given concurrent history of a data structure is equivalent to some sequential execution of the same data structure. In general, this problem is $\textsf{NP}$-hard, even…

Programming Languages · Computer Science 2026-05-26 Lee Zheng Han , Umang Mathur

We study the offline data-driven sequential decision making problem in the framework of Markov decision process (MDP). In order to enhance the generalizability and adaptivity of the learned policy, we propose to evaluate each policy by a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-11-11 Zhengling Qi , Peng Liao

Plan recognition algorithms infer agents' plans from their observed actions. Due to imperfect knowledge about the agent's behavior and the environment, it is often the case that there are multiple hypotheses about an agent's plans that are…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2017-03-06 Reuth Mirsky , Roni Stern , Ya'akov , Gal , Meir Kalech

We consider a version of the continuum armed bandit where an action induces a filtered realisation of a non-homogeneous Poisson process. Point data in the filtered sample are then revealed to the decision-maker, whose reward is the total…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-07-21 James A. Grant , Roberto Szechtman

The problem of disorder seeks to determine a stopping time which is as close as possible to the unknown time of ``disorder'' when the observed process changes its probability characteristics. We give a partial answer to this question for…

Probability · Mathematics 2008-11-23 Pavel V. Gapeev

In this paper, we consider a best action identification problem in the stochastic linear bandit setup with a fixed confident constraint. In the considered best action identification problem, instead of minimizing the accumulative regret as…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-12-04 Jun Geng , Lifeng Lai
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