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In this paper we study the additive functionals of Markov chains via conditioning with respect to both past and future of the chain. We shall point out new sufficient projective conditions, which assure that the variance of partial sums of…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-05-19 Magda Peligrad

A central limit theorem for arrays of symmetric row-wise exchangeable random variables is presented. The result is valid for finite and infinite extendable and non-extendable sequences. Unlike most reported versions of the central limit…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-06-22 Ilya Soloveychik

We find a sufficient condition under which a central limit theorem for a stationary linear process is quenched. We find a stationary linear process szatisfying the Maxwell-Woodroofe condition for which the variances of partial sums are…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-05-22 Dalibor Volny , Michael Woodroofe

We obtain an elementary invariance principle for multi-dimensional Brownian sheet where the underlying random fields are not necessarily independent or stationary. Possible applications include unit-root tests for spatial as well as panel…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-10-08 Michael C. Tseng

In this note we consider the finite-dimensional parameter estimation problem associated to inverse problems. In such scenarios, one seeks to maximize the marginal likelihood associated to a Bayesian model. This latter model is connected to…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-04-10 Ajay Jasra , Abylay Zhumekenov

We derive Cram\'{e}r type moderate deviations for stationary sequences of bounded random variables. Our results imply the moderate deviation principles and a Berry-Esseen bound. Applications to quantile coupling inequalities, functions of…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-07-04 Xiequan Fan

We prove oracle inequalities for a penalized log-likelihood criterion that hold even if the data are not independent and not stationary, based on a martingale approach. The assumptions are checked for various contexts: density estimation…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-05-20 Julien Aubert , Luc Lehéricy , Patricia Reynaud-Bouret

The class of nonlinear Markov processes is characterized by the dependence of the current state of the process on its current distribution in addition to the dependence on the previous state. Due to this feature, these processes are…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-12-27 Aleksandr Shchegolev

We study random dynamical systems composed of LSV maps with varying parameters, without any mixing assumptions on the base space of random dynamics. We establish a quenched central limit theorem and identify conditions under which the…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2026-04-08 Davor Dragičević , Juho Leppänen

We develop a general approach of the almost sure central limit theorem for the quasi-continuous vectorial martingales and we release a quadratic extension of this theorem while specifying speeds of convergence. As an application of this…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-08-06 Faouzi Chaabane , Ahmed Kebaier

The sums and maxima of weighted non-stationary random length sequences of regularly varying random variables may have the same tail and extremal indices, Markovich and Rodionov (2020). The main constraints are that there exists a unique…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-09-20 Natalia Markovich

In this paper, we obtain sufficient conditions in terms of projective criteria under which the partial sums of a stationary process with values in ${\mathcal{H}}$ (a real and separable Hilbert space) admits an approximation, in…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-02-27 Christophe Cuny , Florence Merlevède

We continue development of the theory of Markov systems initiated in \cite{Wer1}. In this paper, we introduce fundamental Markov systems associated with random dynamical systems and show that the proof of the uniqueness and empiricalness of…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-02-09 Ivan Werner

Central limit theorems are established for the sum, over a spatial region, of observations from a linear process on a $d$-dimensional lattice. This region need not be rectangular, but can be irregularly-shaped. Separate results are…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-01-07 S. N. Lahiri , Peter M. Robinson

The question whether a time series behaves as a random walk or as a station- ary process is an important and delicate problem, particularly arising in financial statistics, econometrics, and engineering. This paper studies the problem to…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-01-13 Ansgar Steland

We establish almost sure invariance principles, a strong form of approximation by Brownian motion, for non-stationary time-series arising as observations on dynamical systems. Our examples include observations on sequential expanding maps,…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2014-06-18 N. Haydn , M. Nicol , A. Tôrôk , S. Vaienti

We study a continuous time random walk X in an environment of dynamic random conductances. We assume that the conductances are stationary ergodic, uniformly bounded and bounded away from zero and polynomially mixing in space and time. We…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-03-31 Sebastian Andres

Stochastic dynamical systems consisting of non-invertible continuous maps on an interval are studied. It is proved that if they satisfy the recently introduced so-called $\mu$-injectivity and some mild assumptions, then proximality,…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2025-12-11 Sander C. Hille , Katarzyna Horbacz , Hanna Oppelmayer , Tomasz Szarek

As an alternative to the well-known methods of "chaining" and "bracketing" that have been developed in the study of random fields, a new method, which is based on a stochastic maximal inequality derived by using It\^o's formula and on a new…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-02-12 Yoichi Nishiyama

We study the problem of stationarity and ergodicity for autoregressive multinomial logistic time series models which possibly include a latent process and are defined by a GARCH-type recursive equation. We improve considerably upon the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-10-02 Konstantinos Fokianos , Lionel Truquet
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