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We generalise the martingale-coboundary representation of discrete time stochastic processes to the non-stationary case and to random variables in Orlicz spaces. Related limit theorems (CLT, invariance principle, log log law, probabilities…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-11-07 Dalibor Volny

In this article we study the stochastic block model also known as the multi-type random networks (MRNs). For the stochastic block model or the MRNs we define the empirical group measure, empirical cooperative measure and the empirical…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-03-26 K. Doku-Amponsah

We start by reviewing recent probabilistic results on ergodic sums in a large class of (non-uniformly) hyperbolic dynamical systems. Namely, we describe the central limit theorem, the almost-sure convergence to the gaussian and other stable…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2012-05-09 J. -R. Chazottes

We provide complementary results for a family of models with dependence on their previous $k$-sum. Using a martingale-based approach, we establish a functional central limit theorem and analyze the limiting behavior of the center of mass.…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-06-17 Víctor Hugo Vázquez Guevara , Manuel González-Navarrete

Adaptive and interacting Markov Chains Monte Carlo (MCMC) algorithms are a novel class of non-Markovian algorithms aimed at improving the simulation efficiency for complicated target distributions. In this paper, we study a general…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2011-07-15 Gersende Fort , Eric Moulines , Pierre Priouret , Pierre Vandekerkhove

It is well-known that the central limit theorem holds for partial sums of a stationary sequence $(X_i)$ of $m$-dependent random variables with finite variance; however, the limit may be degenerate with variance 0 even if…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-12-06 Svante Janson

We study weak convergence of empirical processes of dependent data $(X_i)_{i\geq0}$, indexed by classes of functions. Our results are especially suitable for data arising from dynamical systems and Markov chains, where the central limit…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-07-07 Herold Dehling , Olivier Durieu , Marco Tusche

Large deviation results are given for a class of perturbed nonhomogeneous Markov chains on finite state space which formally includes some stochastic optimization algorithms. Specifically, let {P_n} be a sequence of transition matrices on a…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Zach Dietz , Sunder Sethuraman

We develop a class of exponential bounds for the probability that a martingale sequence crosses a time-dependent linear threshold. Our key insight is that it is both natural and fruitful to formulate exponential concentration inequalities…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-12-18 Steven R. Howard , Aaditya Ramdas , Jon McAuliffe , Jasjeet Sekhon

In causal models, a given mechanism is assumed to be invariant to changes of other mechanisms. While this principle has been utilized for inference in settings where the causal variables are observed, theoretical insights when the variables…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-12-07 Simon Bing , Jonas Wahl , Urmi Ninad , Jakob Runge

We prove a strong approximation result for the empirical process associated to a stationary sequence of real-valued random variables, under dependence conditions involving only indicators of half lines. This strong approximation result also…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-10-22 Jérôme Dedecker , Florence Merlevède , Emmanuel Rio

We consider continuous-time Markov chains on integers which allow transitions to adjacent states only, with alternating rates. We give explicit formulas for probability generating functions, and also for means, variances and state…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-10-30 Luisa Beghin , Claudio Macci , Barbara Martinucci

We prove the almost sure invariance principle for stationary R^d--valued processes (with dimension-independent very precise error terms), solely under a strong assumption on the characteristic functions of these processes. This assumption…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2011-02-10 Sébastien Gouëzel

In this paper, we study a notion of local stationarity for discrete time Markov chains which is useful for applications in statistics. In the spirit of some locally stationary processes introduced in the literature, we consider triangular…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-10-06 Lionel Truquet

We give computable bounds on the rate of convergence of the transition probabilities to the stationary distribution for a certain class of geometrically ergodic Markov chains. Our results are different from earlier estimates of Meyn and…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Peter H. Baxendale

We prove a central limit theorem for stationary multiple (random) fields of martingale differences $f\circ T_{\underline{i}}$, $\underline{i}\in \Bbb Z^d$, where $T_{\underline{i}}$ is a $\Bbb Z^d$ action. In most cases the multiple…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-03-28 Dalibor Volny

An important step in the Markov reward approach to error bounds on stationary performance measures of Markov chains is to bound the bias terms. Affine functions have been successfully used for these bounds for various models, but there are…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-01-04 Xinwei Bai , Jasper Goseling

We establish a multivariate empirical process central limit theorem for stationary $\R^d$-valued stochastic processes $(X_i)_{i\geq 1}$ under very weak conditions concerning the dependence structure of the process. As an application we can…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-01-28 Herold Dehling , Olivier Durieu

We prove a central limit theorem for a certain class of functions on sparse rank-one inhomogeneous random graphs endowed with additional i.i.d. edge and vertex weights. Our proof of the central limit theorem uses a perturbative form of…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-04-22 Anja Sturm , Moritz Wemheuer

We prove central limit theorem for linear eigenvalue statistics of orthogonally invariant ensembles of random matrices with one interval limiting spectrum. We consider ensembles with real analytic potentials and test functions with two…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2007-11-13 M. Shcherbina
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