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Stochastic discrete-time SIS and SIR models of endemic diseases are introduced and analyzed. For the deterministic, mean-field model, the basic reproductive number $R_0$ determines their global dynamics. If $R_0\le 1$, then the frequency of…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-05-19 Sebastian J. Schreiber , Shuo Huang , Jifa Jiang , Hao Wang

In this paper, we study the dynamics of contagious spreading processes taking place in complex contact networks. We specifically present a lower-bound on the decay rate of the number of nodes infected by a susceptible-infected-susceptible…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2019-03-19 Masaki Ogura , Victor M. Preciado

In this work, the spread of a contagious disease on a society where the individuals may take precautions is modeled. The primary assumption is that the infected individuals transmit the infection to the susceptible members of the community…

Physics and Society · Physics 2021-03-16 Semra Gunduc

Branching processes are widely used to model evolutionary and population dynamics as well as the spread of infectious diseases. To characterize the dynamics of their growth or spread, the basic reproduction number $R_0$ has received…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-09-02 Johannes Pausch , Rosalba Garcia-Millan , Gunnar Pruessner

In this paper, we are concerned with the stochastic susceptible-infectious-susceptible (SIS) epidemic model on the complete graph with $n$ vertices. This model has two parameters, which are the infection rate and the recovery rate. By…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-12-02 Huazheng Bu , Xiaofeng Xue

In the present work the spread of epidemic is studied over complex networks which are characterized by power law degree distribution of links and heterogeneous rate of disease transmission. The random allocation of epidemic transmission…

Physics and Society · Physics 2016-07-19 Vikram Sagar , Yi Zhao

We apply signal processing analysis to the information spreading in scale-free network. To reproduce typical behaviors obtained from the analysis of information spreading in the world wide web we use a modified SIS model where synergy…

Physics and Society · Physics 2015-06-22 J. Zoller , S. Montangero

Critical, or scale independent, systems are so ubiquitous, that gaining theoretical insights on their nature and properties has many direct repercussions in social and natural sciences. In this report, we start from the simplest possible…

Physics and Society · Physics 2012-11-07 Laurent Hébert-Dufresne , Antoine Allard , Louis J. Dubé

We consider an SIR epidemic model propagating on a configuration model network, where the degree distribution of the vertices is given and where the edges are randomly matched. The evolution of the epidemic is summed up into three…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-05-09 Laurent Decreusefond , Jean-Stéphane Dhersin , Pascal Moyal , Viet Chi Tran

We investigate the sensitivity of epidemic behavior to a bounded susceptibility constraint -- susceptible nodes are infected by their neighbors via the regular SI/SIS dynamics, but subject to a cap on the infection rate. Such a constraint…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2015-02-19 Subhashini Krishnasamy , Siddhartha Banerjee , Sanjay Shakkottai

The spreading of an epidemic is determined by the connectiviy patterns which underlie the population. While it has been noted that a virus spreads more easily on a network in which global distances are small, it remains a great challenge to…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2007-05-23 Thomas Petermann , Paolo De Los Rios

We analyze four models of epidemic spreading using a stochastic approach in which the primary stochastic variables are the numbers of individuals in each class. The stochastic approach is described by a master equation and the transition…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2020-10-28 Tânia Tomé , Mário J. de Oliveira

Many complex networks exhibit vulnerability to spreading of epidemics, and such vulnerability relates to the viral strain as well as to the network characteristics. For instance, the structure of the network plays an important role in…

Physics and Society · Physics 2015-03-14 Mina Youssef , Caterina Scoglio

We show that the basic reproduction number of an SIS patch model with standard incidence is either strictly decreasing and strictly convex with respect to the diffusion coefficient of infected subpopulation if the patch reproduction numbers…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-01-03 Daozhou Gao , Chao-Ping Dong

We considered the Asynchronous SIR (susceptible-infected-removed) model on Penrose and Ammann-Beenker quasiperiodic lattices, and obtained its critical behavior by using Newman-Ziff algorithm to track cluster propagation by making a tree…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2020-01-08 G. B. M. Santos , T. F. A. Alves , G. A. Alves , A. Macedo-Filho

We study continuous-time birth-death type processes, where individuals have independent and identically distributed lifetimes, according to a random variable Q, with E[Q]=1, and where the birth rate if the population is currently in state…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-08-05 Frank Ball , Tom Britton , Peter Neal

In this paper, we perform Monte Carlo calculations to study the critical behavior of the spread of infectious diseases through a novel approach to the SIR epidemiological model. A stochastic lattice gas version of the model was applied on…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2021-12-15 Carlos Handrey Araujo Ferraz

The SIS (susceptible-infected-susceptible) epidemic model on an arbitrary network, without making approximations, is a $2^n$-state Markov chain with a unique absorbing state (the all-healthy state). This makes analysis of the SIS model and,…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2019-01-21 Navid Azizan Ruhi , Christos Thrampoulidis , Babak Hassibi

One of the popular dynamics on complex networks is the epidemic spreading. An epidemic model describes how infections spread throughout a network. Among the compartmental models used to describe epidemics, the…

Physics and Society · Physics 2011-07-14 Faryad Darabi Sahneh , Caterina Scoglio

In dimensions $d\geq 4$, by choosing a suitable scaling parameter, we show that the rescaled spatial SIR epidemic process converges to a super-Brownian motion with drift, thus complementing the previous results by Lalley (Probab. Theory…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-09-19 Jieliang Hong