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We study conditions under which treatment effect estimators constructed under the no-interference assumption in randomized experiments are asymptotically normal in the presence of interference. We prove that the standard Horvitz-Thompson…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-03-08 Alex Chin

We approximate the distribution of the sum of independent but not necessarily identically distributed Bernoulli random variables using a shifted binomial distribution where the three parameters (the number of trials, the probability of…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-04-02 Vydas Čekanavičius , Erol A. Peköz , Adrian Röllin , Michael Shwartz

We derive normal approximation bounds in the Kolmogorov distance for sums of discrete multiple integrals and $U$-statistics made of independent Bernoulli random variables. Such bounds are applied to normal approximation for the renormalized…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-06-15 Nicolas Privault , Grzegorz Serafin

Consider d uniformly random permutation matrices on n labels. Consider the sum of these matrices along with their transposes. The total can be interpreted as the adjacency matrix of a random regular graph of degree 2d on n vertices. We…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-09-25 Ioana Dumitriu , Tobias Johnson , Soumik Pal , Elliot Paquette

The geometric sum plays a significant role in risk theory and reliability theory \cite{Kala97} and a prototypical example of the geometric sum is R\'enyi's theorem~\cite{Renyi56} saying a sequence of suitably parameterised geometric sums…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-10-19 Qingwei Liu , Aihua Xia

Random graphs with a given degree sequence are often constructed using the configuration model, which yields a random multigraph. We may adjust this multigraph by a sequence of switchings, eventually yielding a simple graph. We show that,…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-02-01 Svante Janson

The variance-gamma (VG) distributions form a four parameter family that includes as special and limiting cases the normal, gamma and Laplace distributions. Some of the numerous applications include financial modelling and approximation on…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-02-18 Robert E. Gaunt

We consider self-loops and multiple edges in the configuration model as the size of the graph tends to infinity. The interest in these random variables is due to the fact that the configuration model, conditioned on being simple, is a…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-02-06 Omer Angel , Remco van der Hofstad , Cecilia Holmgren

Random events in space and time often exhibit a locally dependent structure. When the events are very rare and dependent structure is not too complicated, various studies in the literature have shown that Poisson and compound Poisson…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-02-22 Aihua Xia , Fuxi Zhang

For testing two random vectors for independence, we consider testing whether the distance of one vector from a center point is independent from the distance of the other vector from a center point by a univariate test. In this paper we…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-03-11 Ruth Heller , Yair Heller

By exploiting the well-known observation that size-biasing or zero-biasing an infinitely divisible random variable may be achieved by adding an independent increment, combined with tools from Stein's method for compound Poisson and Gaussian…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-12-11 Fraser Daly

The central limit theorem is one of the most fundamental results in probability and has been successfully extended to locally dependent data and strongly-mixing random fields. In this paper, we establish its rate of convergence for…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-09-18 Tianle Liu , Morgane Austern

We study the number of occurrences of any fixed vincular permutation pattern. We show that this statistics on uniform random permutations is asymptotically normal and describe the speed of convergence. To prove this central limit theorem,…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2023-06-22 Lisa Hofer

In this article, we obtain a super-exponential rate of convergence in total variation between the traces of the first $m$ powers of an $n\times n$ random unitary matrices and a $2m$-dimensional Gaussian random variable. This generalizes…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-02-06 Kurt Johansson , Gaultier Lambert

In this short note, we develop a local approximation for the log-ratio of the multivariate hypergeometric probability mass function over the corresponding multinomial probability mass function. In conjunction with the bounds from Carter…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-07-29 Frédéric Ouimet

We generalize the Poisson limit theorem to binary functions of random objects whose law is invariant under the action of an amenable group. Examples include stationary random fields, exchangeable sequences, and exchangeable graphs. A…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-01-19 Haoyu Ye , Peter Orbanz , Morgane Austern

Non-uniform estimates are obtained for Poisson, compound Poisson, translated Poisson, negative binomial and binomial approximations to sums of of m-dependent integer-valued random variables. Estimates for Wasserstein metric also follow…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-08-19 P. Vellaisamy , V. Cekanavicius

A geometric representation for multivariate extremes, based on the shapes of scaled sample clouds in light-tailed margins and their so-called limit sets, has recently been shown to connect several existing extremal dependence concepts.…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-11-03 Jennifer Wadsworth , Ryan Campbell

We revisit strong approximation theory from a new perspective, culminating in a proof of the Koml\'os-Major-Tusn\'ady embedding theorem for the simple random walk. The proof is almost entirely based on a series of soft arguments and easy…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-07-05 Sourav Chatterjee

Motivated by the need, in some Bayesian likelihood free inference problems, of imputing a multivariate counting distribution based on its vector of means and variance-covariance matrix, we define a generic multivariate discrete…

Applications · Statistics 2011-03-28 Marcos Capistrán , J. Andrés Christen
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