English
Related papers

Related papers: Two choice optimal stopping

200 papers

In the standard formulation of the occupancy problem one considers the distribution of r balls in n cells, with each ball assigned independently to a given cell with probability 1/n. Although closed form expressions can be given for the…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Paul Dupuis , Carl Nuzman , Phil Whiting

The classical secretary problem has been generalized over the years into several directions. In this paper we confine our interest to those generalizations which have to do with the more general problem of stopping on a last observation of…

Performance · Computer Science 2017-05-29 Guy Louchard

Motivated by real-world machine learning applications, we analyze approximations to the non-asymptotic fundamental limits of statistical classification. In the binary version of this problem, given two training sequences generated according…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2018-12-07 Lin Zhou , Vincent Y. F. Tan , Mehul Motani

We study the search kinetics of an immobile target by a concentration of randomly moving searchers. The object of the study is to optimize the probability of detection within the constraints of our model. The target is hidden on a…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-11 G. Oshanin , H. S. Wio , K. Lindenberg , S. F. Burlatsky

In the classical prophet inequality, a gambler observes a sequence of stochastic rewards $V_1,...,V_n$ and must decide, for each reward $V_i$, whether to keep it and stop the game or to forfeit the reward forever and reveal the next value…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2013-07-16 Pablo D. Azar , Robert Kleinberg , S. Matthew Weinberg

We provide a general framework to study stochastic sequences related to individual learning in economics, learning automata in computer sciences, social learning in marketing, and other applications. More precisely, we study the asymptotic…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-10-07 Carlos Oyarzun , Johannes Ruf

In a classical problem for the stopping of a diffusion process $(X_t)_{t \geq 0}$, where the goal is to maximise the expected discounted value of a function of the stopped process ${\mathbb E}^x[e^{-\beta \tau}g(X_\tau)]$, maximisation…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-04-27 David Hobson

We model the joint distribution of choice probabilities and decision times in binary choice tasks as the solution to a problem of optimal sequential sampling, where the agent is uncertain of the utility of each action and pays a constant…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2015-05-14 Drew Fudenberg , Philipp Strack , Tomasz Strzalecki

Fix some $n \in \mathbb{N}$ and let $X_1, X_2,\dots, X_n$ be independent random variables drawn from the uniform distribution on $[0,1]$. A decision maker is shown the variables sequentially and, after each observation, must decide whether…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-02-01 Rémi Dendievel , Yvik Swan

We consider the problem of optimal stopping for a one-dimensional diffusion process. Two classes of admissible stopping times are considered. The first class consists of all nonanticipating stopping times that take values in [0,\infty],…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Paul Dupuis , Hui Wang

We investigate statistical properties of the optimal value of the Sample Average Approximation of stochastic programs, continuing the study in Kr\"atschmer (2023). Central Limit Theorem type results are derived for the optimal value. As a…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-12-12 Volker Krätschmer

We consider the problem of stopping a diffusion process with a payoff functional that renders the problem time-inconsistent. We study stopping decisions of naive agents who reoptimize continuously in time, as well as equilibrium strategies…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-07-15 Yu-Jui Huang , Adrien Nguyen-Huu , Xun Yu Zhou

Many discrete-time optimal stopping problems are known to have more tractable limit forms based on a planar Poisson process. Using this tool we find a solution to the optimal stopping problem for i.i.d. sequence of $n$ discrete uniform…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-01-09 Alexander Gnedin

The following optimal stopping problem is considered. The vertices of a graph $G$ are revealed one by one, in a random order, to a selector. He aims to stop this process at a time $t$ that maximizes the expected number of connected…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2021-10-05 Fabrício Siqueira Benevides , Małgorzata Sulkowska

Let $X_{1,n} \leq .... \leq X_{n,n}$ be the order statistics associated with a sample $X_{1}, ...., X_{n}$ whose pertaining distribution function (% \textit{df}) is $F$. We are concerned with the functional asymptotic behaviour of the…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-04-19 Modou Ngom , Gane Samb Lo

In this article, we study the classical finite-horizon optimal stopping problem for multidimensional diffusions through an approach that differs from what is typically found in the literature. More specifically, we first prove a key…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-03-05 Andrea Cosso , Laura Perelli

Let $\xi_1,\xi_2,\ldots$ be independent, identically distributed random variables with infinite mean $\mathbf E[|\xi_1|]=\infty.$ Consider a random walk $S_n=\xi_1+\cdots+\xi_n$, a stopping time $\tau=\min\{n\ge 1: S_n\le 0\}$ and let…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-07-23 Denis Denisov

We investigate an optimal stopping problem for the expected value of a discounted payoff on a regime-switching geometric Brownian motion under two constraints on the possible stopping times: only at exogenous random times and only during a…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-11-20 Takuji Arai , Masahiko Takenaka

Let X, X_1,X_2,... be a sequence of i.i.d. random variables with mean $\mu=E X$. Let ${v_1^{(n)},...,v_n^{(n)}}_{n=1}^\infty$ be vectors of non-negative random variables (weights), independent of the data sequence…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-05-28 Miklos Csorgo , Yuliya Martsynyuk , Masoud Nasari

Discrete random probability measures are a key ingredient of Bayesian nonparametric inferential procedures. A sample generates ties with positive probability and a fundamental object of both theoretical and applied interest is the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-01-20 Pierpaolo De Blasi , Ramsés H. Mena , Igor Prünster