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We study a variant of the single-choice prophet inequality problem where the decision-maker does not know the underlying distribution and has only access to a set of samples from the distributions. Rubinstein et al. [2020] showed that the…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2024-09-04 Tomer Ezra

This paper characterizes optimal classification when individuals adjust their behavior in response to the classification rule. We model the interaction between a designer and a population as a Stackelberg game: the designer selects a…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2026-01-16 Elizabeth Maggie Penn , John W. Patty

We use the exact finite sample likelihood and statistical decision theory to answer questions of ``why?'' and ``what should you have done?'' using data from randomized experiments and a utility function that prioritizes safety over…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-07-26 Neil Christy , A. E. Kowalski

We investigate the problem of jointly testing multiple hypotheses and estimating a random parameter of the underlying distribution in a sequential setup. The aim is to jointly infer the true hypothesis and the true parameter while using on…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-02-02 Dominik Reinhard , Michael Fauß , Abdelhak M. Zoubir

This paper considers a variation of the full-information secretary problem where the random variables to be observed are independent but not necessary identically distributed. The main result is a sharp lower bound for the optimal win…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-12-12 Pieter C. Allaart , Jose A. Islas

In this work we show that the prime distribution is deterministic. Indeed the set of prime numbers P can be expressed in terms of two subsets of N using three specific selection rules, acting on two sets of prime candidates. The prime…

General Mathematics · Mathematics 2007-09-12 Gerardo Iovane

We revisit the problem of influencing the sex ratio of a population by subjecting reproduction of each family to some stopping rule. As an easy consequence of the strong law of large numbers, no such modification is possible in the sense…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-04-10 Stefan Gerhold , Friedrich Hubalek

By optimal fluctuation method, we study short-time distribution $P(\mathcal{A}=A)$ of the functionals, $\mathcal{A}=\int_{0}^{t_f} x^n(t) dt$, along constrained trajectories of random acceleration process for a given time duration $t_f$,…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2025-06-18 Hanshuang Chen , Lulu Tian , Guofeng Li

Classical mathematical statistics deals with models that are parametrized by a Euclidean, i.e. finite dimensional, parameter. Quite often such models have been and still are chosen in practical situations for their mathematical simplicity…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-12-25 Chris A. J. Klaassen

Transitions between multiple stable states of nonlinear systems are ubiquitous in physics, chemistry, and beyond. Two types of behaviors are usually seen as mutually exclusive: unpredictable noise-induced transitions and predictable…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2017-10-03 Corentin Herbert , Freddy Bouchet

People are often reluctant to sell a house, or shares of stock, below the price at which they originally bought it. While this is generally not consistent with rational utility maximization, it does reflect two strong empirical regularities…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2021-06-02 Jon Kleinberg , Robert Kleinberg , Sigal Oren

We study statistical properties of a family of maps acting in the space of integer valued sequences, which model dynamics of simple deterministic traffic flows. We obtain asymptotic (as time goes to infinity) properties of trajectories of…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Michael Blank

Let X_1,X_2,... be a sequence of [0,1]-valued i.i.d. random variables, let c\geq 0 be a sampling cost for each observation and let Y_i=X_i-ic, i=1,2,.... For n=1,2,..., let M(Y_1,...,Y_n)=E(max_{1\leq i\leq n}Y_i) and…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Holger Kosters

In this paper, we study the portfolio optimization problem with general utility functions and when the return and volatility of underlying asset are slowly varying. An asymptotic optimal strategy is provided within a specific class of…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2016-11-08 Jean-Pierre Fouque , Ruimeng Hu

Candidates arrive sequentially for an interview process which results in them being ranked relative to their predecessors. Based on the ranks available at each time, one must develop a decision mechanism that selects or dismisses the…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2024-05-08 George V. Moustakides , Xujun Liu , Olgica Milenkovic

We study the problem of a decision maker who must provide the best possible treatment recommendation based on an experiment. The desirability of the outcome distribution resulting from the policy recommendation is measured through a…

Econometrics · Economics 2022-04-06 Anders Bredahl Kock , David Preinerstorfer , Bezirgen Veliyev

A classical problem in appointment scheduling, with applications in health care, concerns the determination of the patients' arrival times that minimize a cost function that is a weighted sum of mean waiting times and mean idle times. One…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-05-08 Madelon A. de Kemp , Michel Mandjes , Neil Olver

We study a passenger-taxi double-ended queue with impatient passengers and two-point matching time in this paper. The system considered in this paper is different from those considered in the existing literature, which fully considers the…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-01-29 Zhen Wang , Cheryl Yang , Liwei Liu , Yiqiang Q. Zhao

The problem of joint detection and lossless source coding is considered. We derive asymptotically optimal decision rules for deciding whether or not a sequence of observations has emerged from a desired information source, and to compress…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2016-11-17 Neri Merhav

We consider a model of selective prediction, where the prediction algorithm is given a data sequence in an online fashion and asked to predict a pre-specified statistic of the upcoming data points. The algorithm is allowed to choose when to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-05-30 Mingda Qiao , Gregory Valiant
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