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This paper introduces a new biased estimator for the negative binomial regression model that is a generalization of Liu-type estimator proposed for the linear model in [12]. Since the variance of the maximum likelihood estimator (MLE) is…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-04-11 Yasin Asar

Distributionally Robust Reinforcement Learning (DR-RL) aims to derive a policy optimizing the worst-case performance within a predefined uncertainty set. Despite extensive research, previous DR-RL algorithms have predominantly favored…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-06-26 Yudan Wang , Shaofeng Zou , Yue Wang

Large language models (LLMs) are stochastic, and not all models give deterministic answers, even when setting temperature to zero with a fixed random seed. However, few benchmark studies attempt to quantify uncertainty, partly due to the…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2025-06-30 Robert E. Blackwell , Jon Barry , Anthony G. Cohn

Computerized Adaptive Testing (CAT) has proven effective for efficient LLM evaluation on multiple-choice benchmarks, but modern LLM evaluation increasingly relies on generation tasks where outputs are scored continuously rather than marked…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2026-01-21 Esma Balkır , Alice Pernthaller , Marco Basaldella , José Hernández-Orallo , Nigel Collier

Importance sampling Monte-Carlo methods are widely used for the approximation of expectations with respect to partially known probability measures. In this paper we study a deterministic version of such an estimator based on quasi-Monte…

Computation · Statistics 2024-12-20 Josef Dick , Daniel Rudolf , Houying Zhu

The pseudo-Lindley distribution was introduced as a useful generalization of the Lindley distribution in Zeghdoudi and Nedjar (2016) who showed interesting properties of their new laws and efficiencies in modeling data in Reliability and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-03-29 Gane Samb Lo , Tchilabalo Abozou Kpanzou , Cheikh Mohamed Haidara

The frequency-dependent linear response of a plasma is studied in the finite-temperature Thomas-Fermi approximation, with electron dynamics described using Bloch hydrodynamics. The variational framework of average-atoms in a plasma is used.…

Plasma Physics · Physics 2016-08-31 C. Caizergues , T. Blenski , R. Piron

Finite mixtures of multivariate normal distributions have been widely used in empirical applications in diverse fields such as statistical genetics and statistical finance. Testing the number of components in multivariate normal mixture…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-02-11 Hiroyuki Kasahara , Katsumi Shimotsu

The transition density of a diffusion process does not admit an explicit expression in general, which prevents the full maximum likelihood estimation (MLE) based on discretely observed sample paths. A\"{\i}t-Sahalia [J. Finance 54 (1999)…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-03-12 Jinyuan Chang , Song Xi Chen

In Econometrics, the Breusch-Pagan test-statistic has become an iconic application of the Lagrange multipliers (LM) test. We shall introduce beta-score LM tests for heteroscedasticity in linear regression models, which trades-off the degree…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-01-19 Nirian Martin

As Large Language Models (LLMs) are increasingly integrated into healthcare to address complex inquiries, ensuring their reliability remains a critical challenge. Recent studies have highlighted that generic LLMs often struggle in clinical…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2026-04-01 Bian Sun , Zhenjian Wang , Orvill de la Torre , Zirui Wang

We present simulated standard curves for the calibration of empirical likelihood ratio (ELR) tests of means. With the help of these curves, the nominal significance level of the ELR test can be adjusted in order to achieve (quasi-) exact…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-05-20 Jost Viebrock , Thorsten Dickhaus

We import the algebro-geometric notion of a complete collineation into the study of maximum likelihood estimation in directed Gaussian graphical models. A complete collineation produces a perturbation of sample data, which we call a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-11-07 Gergely Bérczi , Eloise Hamilton , Philipp Reichenbach , Anna Seigal

In this paper, we prove a local limit theorem for the chi-square distribution with $r > 0$ degrees of freedom and noncentrality parameter $\lambda \geq 0$. We use it to develop refined normal approximations for the survival function. Our…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-07-29 Frédéric Ouimet

Benchmark scores for Large Language Models (LLMs) can be inflated by memorization of test items or near duplicates. We present a simple, protocol that probes generalization by re-evaluating models on paraphrased versions of benchmark…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2025-10-13 Juan Miguel Navarro Carranza

We present bounds for the finite sample error of sequential Monte Carlo samplers on static spaces. Our approach explicitly relates the performance of the algorithm to properties of the chosen sequence of distributions and mixing properties…

Computation · Statistics 2022-08-19 Joe Marion , Joseph Mathews , Scott C. Schmidler

In this paper, we propose a new modified likelihood ratio test (LRT) for simultaneously testing mean vectors and covariance matrices of two-sample populations in high-dimensional settings. By employing tools from Random Matrix Theory (RMT),…

Applications · Statistics 2024-03-12 Zhenzhen Niu , Jianghao Li , Wenya Luo , Zhidong Bai

A two-stage adaptive optimal design is an attractive option for increasing the efficiency of clinical trials. In these designs, based on interim data, the locally optimal dose is chosen for further exploration, which induces dependencies…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-05-24 Zhantao Lin , Nancy Flournoy , William F. Rosenberger

The main objective of this work is to study the existence of Lagrange multipliers for infinite dimensional problems under G\^ateux differentiability assumptions on the data. Our investigation follows two main steps: the proof of the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2018-10-30 Abderrahim Jourani , Francisco J. Silva

This paper is concerned with the problem of conditional independence testing for discrete data. In recent years, researchers have shed new light on this fundamental problem, emphasizing finite-sample optimality. The non-asymptotic viewpoint…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-10-31 Ilmun Kim , Matey Neykov , Sivaraman Balakrishnan , Larry Wasserman
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