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We present supremum Lagrange Multiplier tests to compare a linear ARMA specification against its threshold ARMA extension. We derive the asymptotic distribution of the test statistics both under the null hypothesis and contiguous local…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-11-19 Greta Goracci , Simone Giannerini , Kung-Sik Chan , Howell Tong

Local convergence analysis of the augmented Lagrangian method (ALM) is established for a large class of composite optimization problems with nonunique Lagrange multipliers under a second-order sufficient condition. We present a new…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-10-23 Nguyen T. V. Hang , Ebrahim Sarabi

It is an important task in the literature to check whether a fitted autoregressive moving average (ARMA) model is adequate, while the currently used tests may suffer from the size distortion problem when the underlying autoregressive models…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-09-21 Xiaohui Liu , Donghui Fan , Xu Zhang , Catherine C. Liu

In this paper we consider a Lagrange Multiplier-type test (LM) to detect change in the mean of time series with heteroskedasticity of unknown form. We derive the limiting distribution under the null, and prove the consistency of the test…

Methodology · Statistics 2011-03-02 Mohamed Boutahar

In this article, we propose a novel logistic quasi-maximum likelihood estimation (LQMLE) for general parametric time series models. Compared to the classical Gaussian QMLE and existing robust estimations, it enjoys many distinctive…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-03-12 Zihan Wang , Xinghao Qiao , Dong Li , Howell Tong

This paper develops a consistent series-based specification test for semiparametric panel data models with fixed effects. The test statistic resembles the Lagrange Multiplier (LM) test statistic in parametric models and is based on a…

Econometrics · Economics 2019-09-13 Ivan Korolev

The Augmented Lagrangian Method (ALM) is an iterative method for the solution of equality-constrained non-linear programming problems. In contrast to the quadratic penalty method, the ALM can satisfy equality constraints in an exact way.…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2018-04-24 Martin Neuenhofen

In this paper we consider two generalizations of Lancaster's (Review of Economic Studies, 2002) Modified Maximum Likelihood estimator (MMLE) for the panel AR(1) model with fixed effects, arbitrary initial conditions, and strictly exogenous…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-01-06 Hugo Kruiniger

This paper develops a consistent heteroskedasticity robust Lagrange Multiplier (LM) type specification test for semiparametric conditional mean models. Consistency is achieved by turning a conditional moment restriction into a growing…

Econometrics · Economics 2019-11-12 Ivan Korolev

We derive adjusted signed likelihood ratio statistics for a general class of extreme value regression models. The adjustments reduce the error in the standard normal approximation to the distribution of the signed likelihood ratio…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-05-26 Silvia L. P. Ferrari , Eliane C. Pinheiro

Given independent samples from P and Q, two-sample permutation tests allow one to construct exact level tests when the null hypothesis is P=Q. On the other hand, when comparing or testing particular parameters $\theta$ of P and Q, such as…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-04-23 EunYi Chung , Joseph P. Romano

We present a numerical method for the minimization of constrained optimization problems where the objective is augmented with large quadratic penalties of inconsistent equality constraints. Such objectives arise from quadratic integral…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-08-16 Martin Neuenhofen , Eric Kerrigan

The augmented Lagrangian method (ALM) has gained tremendous popularity for its elegant theory and impressive numerical performance since it was proposed by Hestenes and Powell in 1969. It has been widely used in numerous efficient solvers…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-08-09 Shiwei Wang , Chao Ding

We utilise a sampler originating from nonequilibrium statistical mechanics, termed here Jarzynski-adjusted Langevin algorithm (JALA), to build statistical estimation methods in latent variable models. We achieve this by leveraging…

Computation · Statistics 2025-10-27 James Cuin , Davide Carbone , O. Deniz Akyildiz

This paper introduces a Monte Carlo method for maximum likelihood inference in the context of discretely observed diffusion processes. The method gives unbiased and a.s.\@ continuous estimators of the likelihood function for a family of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-03-03 Alexandros Beskos , Omiros Papaspiliopoulos , Gareth Roberts

Consider $k$ independent random samples from $p$-dimensional multivariate normal distributions. We are interested in the limiting distribution of the log-likelihood ratio test statistics for testing for the equality of $k$ covariance…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-05-23 Wenchuan Guo , Yongcheng Qi

The exact maximum likelihood estimate (MLE) provides a test statistic for the unit root test that is more powerful \citep[p. 577]{Fuller96} than the usual least squares approach. In this paper a new derivation is given for the asymptotic…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-11-04 Ying Zhang , H. Yu , A. I. McLeod

We prove a bound on the finite sample error of sequential Monte Carlo (SMC) on static spaces using the $L_2$ distance between interpolating distributions and the mixing times of Markov kernels. This result is unique in that it is the first…

Computation · Statistics 2025-08-26 Joe Marion , Joseph Mathews , Scott C. Schmidler

Autoregressive and moving-average (ARMA) models with stable Paretian errors is one of the most studied models for time series with infinite variance. Estimation methods for these models have been studied by many researchers but the problem…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-11-07 Jen-Wen Lin , A. Ian McLeod

The Jarque-Bera's fitting test for normality is a celebrated and powerful one. In this paper, we consider general Jarque-Bera tests for any distribution function df having at least 4k finite moments for k greater than 2. The tests use as…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-12-02 Gane Samb Lo , Oumar Thiam , Mohamed Cheikh Haidara
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