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In this paper, we present new Poisson-type deviation inequalities for continuous-time Markov chains whose Wasserstein curvature or $\Gamma$-curvature is bounded below. Although these two curvatures are equivalent for Brownian motion on…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-09-14 Aldéric Joulin

We present a general method to derive the metastable behavior of weakly mixing Markov chains. This approach is based on properties of the resolvent equations and can be applied to metastable dynamics which do not satisfy the mixing…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-06-21 Claudio Landim , Diego Marcondes , Insuk Seo

In this paper analogies between different (dis)similarity matrices are derived. These matrices, which are connected to path enumeration and random walks, are used in community detection methods or in computation of centrality measures for…

Physics and Society · Physics 2015-03-20 J. K. Ochab

This note is concerned with weakly interacting stochastic particle systems with possibly singular pairwise interactions. In this setting, we observe a connection between entropic propagation of chaos and exponential concentration bounds for…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-06-06 Joe Jackson , Antonios Zitridis

Random measures provide flexible parameters for Bayesian nonparametric models. Given two different priors for a random measure, we develop a natural framework to investigate the rate at which the corresponding posteriors merge, as the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-09-17 Marta Catalano , Hugo Lavenant

By introducing a new measure for the infinite Galton-Watson process and providing estimates for (discrete) Green's functions on trees, we establish the asymptotic behavior of the capacity of critical branching random walks: in high…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-04-12 Tianyi Bai , Yijun Wan

The Chernoff bound is a well-known tool for obtaining a high probability bound on the expectation of a Bernoulli random variable in terms of its sample average. This bound is commonly used in statistical learning theory to upper bound the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-05-18 Andrew Y. K. Foong , Wessel P. Bruinsma , David R. Burt

Centrality, which quantifies the "importance" of individual nodes, is among the most essential concepts in modern network theory. As there are many ways in which a node can be important, many different centrality measures are in use. Here,…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-02-03 Aleks J. Gurfinkel , Per Arne Rikvold

We investigate three aspects of weak* convergence of the $n$-step distributions of random walks on finite volume homogeneous spaces $G/\Gamma$ of semisimple real Lie groups. First, we look into the obvious obstruction to the upgrade from…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2024-05-02 Roland Prohaska

The monkey walk is a stochastic process defined as the trajectory of a walker that moves on $\mathbb R^d$ according to a Markovian generator, except at some random "relocation" times at which it jumps back to its position at a time sampled…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-09-05 Erion-Stelios Boci , Cécile Mailler

We show that the product or convex combination of two Markov operators with equivalent stationary measures need not have a stationary measure from the same measure class. More specifically, we exhibit examples of a hitherto undescribed…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2025-03-14 Behrang Forghani , Vadim Kaimanovich

We consider random walks, say $W_n=(M_0, M_1,\dots, M_n)$, of length $n$ starting at 0 and based on the martingale sequence $M_k$ with differences $X_m=M_m-M_{m-1}$. Assuming that the differences are bounded, $|X_m|\leq 1$, we solve the…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-05-30 Dainius Dzindzalieta

We extend the notion of the associated random walk and the Wald martingale in random walks where the increments are independent and identically distributed to the more general case of stationary ergodic increments. Examples are given where…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-06-24 D. R. Grey

In order to describe the extremal behaviour of some stochastic process $X$, approaches from univariate extreme value theory are typically generalized to the spatial domain. In particular, generalized peaks-over-threshold approaches allow…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-01-01 Max Thannheimer , Marco Oesting

The paper is devoted to studies of perturbed Markov chains commonly used for description of information networks. In such models, the matrix of transition probabilities for the corresponding Markov chain is usually regularised by adding a…

Consider the invariance principle for a random walk with random environment (denoted by $\mu$) in time on $\bfR$ in a weak quenched sense. We show that a sequence of the random probability measures on $\bfR$ generated by a bounded Lipschitz…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-03-14 You Lv , Wenming Hong

The theory of ``Markov-up'' processes is being developed. This is a new class of stochastic processes with ``partial'' markovian features; it could also be called ``one-sided Markov''. Such a behavior may be found in the real world and in…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-07-01 D. O. Kalikaeva

We address the theory of records for integrated random walks with finite variance. The long-time continuum limit of these walks is a non-Markov process known as the random acceleration process or the integral of Brownian motion. In this…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2022-03-03 Claude Godrèche , Jean-Marc Luck

In this paper we study Markov chains with the state space given by the coordinate axes of $\mathbb R^m$, $m \geq 2$, whose step sizes on each positive half-axis are distributed according to a centered probability distribution with variance…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-01-21 Ilya Pavlyukevich , Andrey Pilipenko

The paper provides an overview of the theory and applications of risk-sensitive Markov decision processes. The term 'risk-sensitive' refers here to the use of the Optimized Certainty Equivalent as a means to measure expectation and risk.…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2025-09-23 Nicole Bäuerle , Anna Jaśkiewicz
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