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We study deviation of U-statistics when samples have heavy-tailed distribution so the kernel of the U-statistic does not have bounded exponential moments at any positive point. We obtain an exponential upper bound for the tail of the…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-01-30 Milad Bakhshizadeh

Financial time series exhibit multiscale behavior, with interaction between multiple processes operating on different timescales. This paper introduces a method for separating these processes using variance and tail stationarity criteria,…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2026-01-19 Jan Rosenzweig

We study a discrete non-autonomous system whose autonomous counterpart (with the frozen bifurcation parameter) admits a saddle-node bifurcation, and in which the bifurcation parameter slowly changes in time and is characterized by a sweep…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2023-11-14 Jay Chu , Jun-Jie Lin , Je-Chiang Tsai

A particular direction of recent advance about stochastic deep-learning algorithms has been about uncovering a rather mysterious heavy-tailed nature of the stationary distribution of these algorithms, even when the data distribution is not…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-04-28 Sayar Karmakar , Anirbit Mukherjee

In this paper, we study the upper tail large deviation for the one-dimensional frog model. In this model, sleeping and active frogs are assigned to vertices on $\mathbb Z$. While sleeping frogs do not move, the active ones move as…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-12-06 Van Hao Can , Naoki Kubota , Shuta Nakajima

If \beta_t is renormalized self-intersection local time for planar Brownian motion, we characterize when Ee^{\gamma\beta_1} is finite or infinite in terms of the best constant of a Gagliardo-Nirenberg inequality. We prove large deviation…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Richard F. Bass , Xia Chen

We consider multivariate extreme value statistics for independent but nonidentically distributed random vectors. In particular, the data may have varying tail copulas and also heteroscedastic marginal distributions. Assuming smoothly…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-04-14 John H. J. Einmahl , Chen Zhou

We provide the exact large-time behavior of the tail distribution of the extinction time of a self-similar fragmentation process with a negative index of self-similarity, improving thus a previous result on the logarithmic asymptotic…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-11-16 Bénédicte Haas

Large-deviations theory deals with tails of probability distributions and the rare events of random processes, for example spreading packets of particles. Mathematically, it concerns the exponential fall-of of the density of thin-tailed…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2017-07-04 Erez Aghion , David A. Kessler , Eli Barkai

Previous studies on two-timescale stochastic approximation (SA) mainly focused on bounding mean-squared errors under diminishing stepsize schemes. In this work, we investigate {\it constant} stpesize schemes through the lens of Markov…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-02-25 Jeongyeol Kwon , Luke Dotson , Yudong Chen , Qiaomin Xie

We study large deviations asymptotics for a class of unbounded additive functionals, interpreted as normalized accumulated areas, of one-dimensional Langevin diffusions with sub-linear gradient drifts. Our results provide parametric…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-10-23 Mihail Bazhba , Jose Blanchet , Roger J. A. Laeven , Bert Zwart

We study the dynamics of phase ordering of a non-conserved, scalar order parameter in one dimension, with long-range interactions characterized by a power law $r^{-d-\sigma}$. In contrast to higher dimensional systems, the point nature of…

Condensed Matter · Physics 2009-10-22 B. P. Lee , J. L. Cardy

We study the upper tail behaviors of the local times of the additive L\'{e}vy processes and additive random walks. The limit forms we establish are the moderate deviations and the laws of the iterated logarithm for the L_2-norms of the…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-11-10 Xia Chen

For a stochastic difference equation $D_n=A_nD_{n-1}+B_n$ which stabilises upon time we study tail distribution asymptotics of $D_n$ under the assumption that the distribution of $\log(1+|A_1|+|B_1|)$ is heavy-tailed, that is, all its…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-07-28 Dmitry Korshunov

In long-range percolation on $\mathbb{Z}^d$, points $x$ and $y$ are connected by an edge with probability $1-\exp(-\beta\|x-y\|^{-d-\alpha})$, where $\alpha>0$ is fixed and $\beta \geq 0$ is a parameter. As $d$ and $\alpha$ vary, the model…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-08-27 Tom Hutchcroft

The scaling of the time delay near a "bottleneck" of a generic saddle-node bifurcation is well-known to be given by an inverse square-root law. We extend the analysis to several non-generic cases for smooth vector fields. We proceed to…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2012-01-31 Christian Kuehn

We provide new, mild conditions for strict stationarity and ergodicity of a class of BEKK processes. By exploiting that the processes can be represented as multivariate stochastic recurrence equations, we characterize the tail behavior of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-02-25 Muneya Matsui , Rasmus Søndergaard Pedersen

The critical behavior for intermittency is studied in two coupled one-dimensional (1D) maps. We find two fixed maps of an approximate renormalization operator in the space of coupled maps. Each fixed map has a common relavant eigenvaule…

chao-dyn · Physics 2009-10-31 Sang-Yoon Kim

We obtain large deviations estimates for the self-intersection local times for a symmetric random walk in dimension 3. Also, we show that the main contribution to making the self-intersection large, in a time period of length $n$, comes…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Amine Asselah

We study two one-parameter families of point processes connected to random matrices: the Sine_beta and Sch_tau processes. The first one is the bulk point process limit for the Gaussian beta-ensemble. For beta=1, 2 and 4 it gives the limit…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-11-19 Diane Holcomb , Benedek Valkó