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Elections involving a very large voter population often lead to outcomes that surprise many. This is particularly important for the elections in which results affect the economy of a sizable population. A better prediction of the true…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2018-01-31 Palash Dey , Pravesh K. Kothari , Swaprava Nath

We establish supercongruences for two kinds of Ap\'ery-like numbers, which involve Bernoulli numbers and Bernoulli polynomials. Conjectural supercongruences of the same type for another four kinds of Ap\'ery-like numbers are also proposed.

Number Theory · Mathematics 2024-05-16 Ji-Cai Liu

At a first glance lottery is a form of gambling, a game in which the chances of winning is extremely small. But upon a deeper look, considering that the Jackpot prize of lotteries is a result of the active participation of millions of…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2024-02-20 István Gere , Szabolcs Kelemen , Zoltán Néda , Tamás S. Biró

Let a deck of n cards be shuffled by successively exchanging the cards in positions 1, 2, ..., n with cards in randomly chosen positions. We show that for n equal to 18 or greater, the identity permutation is the most likely. We prove a…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2018-06-19 Daniel Goldstein , David Moews

The game of Othello is one of the world's most complex and popular games that has yet to be computationally solved. Othello has roughly ten octodecillion (10 to the 58th power) possible game records and ten octillion (10 to the 28th power)…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2024-01-04 Hiroki Takizawa

We present an extensive statistical analysis of the results of all sports competitions in five major sports leagues in England and the United States. We characterize the parity among teams by the variance in the winning fraction from…

Physics and Society · Physics 2007-05-23 E. Ben-Naim , F. Vazquez , S. Redner

We study a game in which one keeps flipping a coin until a given finite string of heads and tails occurs. We find the expected number of coin flips to end the game when the ending string consists of at most four maximal runs of heads or…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2025-01-31 Jia Huang

The two envelopes paradox is discussed. By calculating the conditional probability, we arrive at a conditional expectations which differs from existing results.

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2012-06-22 R. A. Vazquez

We discuss variations of the zero-sum game where Bob selects two distinct numbers, and Alice learns one of them to make a guess which of the numbers is the larger.

History and Overview · Mathematics 2016-08-08 Alexander Gnedin

Condorcet's paradox is a fundamental result in social choice theory which states that there exist elections in which, no matter which candidate wins, a majority of voters prefer a different candidate. In fact, even if we can select any $k$…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2025-12-02 Moses Charikar , Prasanna Ramakrishnan , Kangning Wang

This paper studies sequential quantum games under the assumption that the moves of the players are drawn from groups and not just plain sets. The extra group structure makes possible to easily derive some very general results characterizing…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2025-03-14 Theodore Andronikos

The Lottery Ticket Hypothesis (LTH) states that a dense neural network model contains a highly sparse subnetwork (i.e., winning tickets) that can achieve even better performance than the original model when trained in isolation. While LTH…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-03-14 Bohan Liu , Zijie Zhang , Peixiong He , Zhensen Wang , Yang Xiao , Ruimeng Ye , Yang Zhou , Wei-Shinn Ku , Bo Hui

I think we can agree that dealing with uncertainty is not easy. Probability is the main tool for dealing with uncertainty, and we know there are many probability-related puzzles and paradoxes. Here I describe a rather idiosyncratic…

Other Statistics · Statistics 2022-01-19 Yudi Pawitan

This paper presents and defends an argument that the continuum hypothesis is false, based on considerations about objective chance and an old theorem due to Banach and Kuratowski. More specifically, I argue that the probabilistic inductive…

History and Overview · Mathematics 2022-01-25 Daniel Hoek

The problem addressed concerns the determination of the average number of successive attempts of guessing a word of a certain length consisting of letters with given probabilities of occurrence. Both first- and second-order approximations…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2015-06-19 Kerstin Andersson

The rules of Sudoku are often specified using twenty seven \texttt{all\_different} constraints, referred to as the {\em big} \mrules. Using graphical proofs and exploratory logic programming, the following main and new result is obtained:…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2020-02-19 Bart Demoen , Maria Garcia de la Banda

In this article, we look at a hat-guessing game, in which each player must guess the color of their own hat while only seeing the hats of the other players. We focus on the case of two hat colors and a countably infinite number of players.…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-10-28 Nathaniel Eldredge

We recall a combinatorial derivation of the functions generating probability of winnings for each of many participants of the Penney's game and show a generalization of the Conway's formula to this case.

Probability · Mathematics 2015-12-21 Krzysztof Zajkowski

We study pairs of consecutive odd numbers through a straightforward indexing. We focus in particular on twin primes and their distribution. With a counting argument, we calculate the limit of an alternating sum that is equal to 1 which…

General Mathematics · Mathematics 2021-06-08 Marc Wolf , FranÇOis Wolf , FranÇOis-Xavier Villemin

We investigate the variance of the length of the longest common subsequences of two independent random words of size $n$, where the letters of one word are i.i.d. uniformly drawn from $\{\alpha_1, \alpha_2, \cdots, \alpha_m\}$, while the…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-12-27 Christian Houdré , Qingqing Liu