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We present a probabilistic model for stochastic iterative algorithms with the use case of optimization algorithms in mind. Based on this model, we present PAC-Bayesian generalization bounds for functions that are defined on the trajectory…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-08-22 Michael Sucker , Peter Ochs

We consider whether ergodic Markov chains with bounded step size remain bounded in probability when their transitions are modified by an adversary on a bounded subset. We provide counterexamples to show that the answer is no in general, and…

We study the ergodic properties of two classes of random dynamical systems: a type of Markov chain which we call the \textit{alternating random walk} and a certain stochastic billiard system which describes the motion of a free-moving rough…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2024-01-02 Peter Rudzis

We observe n possibly dependent random variables, the distribution of which is presumed to be stationary even though this might not be true, and we aim at estimating the stationary distribution. We establish a non-asymptotic deviation bound…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-07-10 Alexandre Lecestre

Markov branching systems form a fundamental class of stochastic models that are extensively applied in biology, physics, finance, and other domains. These systems are distinguished by their continuous-time evolution and inherent branching…

In order to give quantitative estimates for approximating the ergodic limit, we investigate probabilistic limit behaviors of time-averaging estimators of numerical discretizations for a class of time-homogeneous Markov processes, by…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-10-13 Chuchu Chen , Tonghe Dang , Jialin Hong , Guoting Song

Based on some recent work of the author on stochastic approximation in non-markovian environments, the situation when the driving random process is non-ergodic in addition to being non-markovian is considered. Using this, we propose an…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-03-24 Vivek Shripad Borkar

We give computable bounds on the rate of convergence of the transition probabilities to the stationary distribution for a certain class of geometrically ergodic Markov chains. Our results are different from earlier estimates of Meyn and…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Peter H. Baxendale

Consider the problem of a multiple access channel in a time dependent environment with a large number of users. In such a system, mostly due to practical constraints (e.g., decoding complexity), not all users can be scheduled together, and…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2018-11-07 Ori Shmuel , Asaf Cohen , Omer Gurewitz

We propose a random adaptation variant of time-varying distributed averaging dynamics in discrete time. We show that this leads to novel interpretations of fundamental concepts in distributed averaging, opinion dynamics, and distributed…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-06-28 Rohit Parasnis , Ashwin Verma , Massimo Franceschetti , Behrouz Touri

We prove time-dependent versions of Kingman's subadditive ergodic theorem, which can be used to study stochastic processes as well as propagation of solutions to PDE in time-dependent environments.

Probability · Mathematics 2022-05-17 Yuming Paul Zhang , Andrej Zlatos

It has been established under very general conditions that the ergodic properties of Markov processes are inherited by their conditional distributions given partial information. While the existing theory provides a rather complete picture…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-02-04 Patrick Rebeschini , Ramon van Handel

We consider stationary stochastic dynamical systems evolving on a compact metric space, by perturbing a deterministic dynamics with a random noise, added according to an arbitrary probabilistic distribution. We prove the maximal and…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2018-07-10 Eleonora Catsigeras

We consider a large family of discrete and continuous time controlled Markov processes and study an ergodic risk-sensitive minimization problem. Under a blanket stability assumption, we provide a complete analysis to this problem. In…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-07-18 Anup Biswas , Somnath Pradhan

This research addresses the challenge of performing search missions in dynamic environments, particularly for drifting targets whose movement is dictated by a flow field. This is accomplished through a dynamical system that integrates two…

Robotics · Computer Science 2025-11-04 Luka Lanča , Karlo Jakac , Sylvain Calinon , Stefan Ivić

We present a simple randomized procedure for the prediction of a binary sequence. The algorithm uses ideas from recent developments of the theory of the prediction of individual sequences. We show that if the sequence is a realization of a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2008-06-19 L. Györfi , G. Lugosi , G. Morvai

In multi-period stochastic optimization problems, the future optimal decision is a random variable whose distribution depends on the parameters of the optimization problem. We analyze how the expected value of this random variable changes…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-01-28 Bar Light

Stochastic models in which agents interact with their neighborhood according to a network topology are a powerful modeling framework to study the emergence of complex dynamic patterns in real-world systems. Stochastic simulations are often…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2021-01-27 Gerrit Großmann , Luca Bortolussi , Verena Wolf

The first motivation of this paper is to study stationarity and ergodic properties for a general class of time series models defined conditional on an exogenous covariates process. The dynamic of these models is given by an autoregressive…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-07-16 Paul Doukhan , Michael H. Neumann , Lionel Truquet

Recent work shows that when contexts are drawn i.i.d., linear contextual bandits can be reduced to single-context linear bandits. This ``contexts are cheap" perspective is highly advantageous, as it allows for sharper finite-time analyses…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-16 Kaan Buyukkalayci , Osama Hanna , Christina Fragouli