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Marginal expected shortfall is unquestionably one of the most popular systemic risk measures. Studying its extreme behaviour is particularly relevant for risk protection against severe global financial market downturns. In this context,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-04-18 Simone A. Padoan , Stefano Rizzelli , Matteo Schiavone

We give characterizations of asymptotic arbitrage of the first and second kind and of strong asymptotic arbitrage for large financial markets with small proportional transaction costs $\la_n$ on market $n$ in terms of contiguity properties…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2012-11-05 Irene Klein , Emmanuel Lepinette , Lavinia Ostafe

In this paper we derive novel change of variable formulas for stochastic integrals w.r.t. a time-changed Brownian motion where we assume that the time-change is a general increasing stochastic process with finitely many jumps in a bounded…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-07-04 Giulia Di Nunno , Hannes Haferkorn , Asma Khedher , Michèle Vanmaele

We study the asymptotic behavior of the least squares estimators of the unknown parameters of bifurcating autoregressive processes. Under very weak assumptions on the driven noise of the process, namely conditional pair-wise independence…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-06-29 Bernard Bercu , Benoite de Saporta , Anne Gegout-Petit

We study the asymptotics of lattice power variations of two-parameter ambit fields driven by white noise. Our first result is a law of large numbers for power variations. Under a constraint on the memory of the ambit field, normalized power…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-08-20 Mikko S. Pakkanen

Properties of mixed fractional Brownian motion has been discussed by Cheridito (2001) and Zili (2006). We have proposed an estimator of volatility parameter for a model driven by MFBM. In our article we have shown that the estimator has…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-06-29 Ananya Lahiri

When the limiting compensator of a sequence of martingales is continuous, we obtain a weak convergence theorem for the martingales; the limiting process can be written as a Brownian motion evaluated at the compensator and we find sufficient…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-01-22 Bruno Rémillard , Jean Vaillancourt

We investigate possible origins of trends using a deterministic threshold model, where we refer to long-term variabilities of price changes (price movements) in financial markets as trends. From the investigation we find two phenomena. One…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2015-06-22 Ryo Murakami , Tomomichi Nakamura , Shin Kimura , Masashi Manabe , Toshihiro Tanizawa

Recent studies have identified long-range dependence as a key feature in the dynamics of both mortality and interest rates. Building on this insight, we develop a novel bi-variate stochastic framework based on mixed fractional Brownian…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2025-08-26 Kenneth Q. Zhou , Hongjuan Zhou

We reconsider the microeconomic foundations of financial economics. Motivated by the importance of Knightian Uncertainty in markets, we present a model that does not carry any probabilistic structure ex ante, yet is based on a common order.…

Economics · Quantitative Finance 2021-01-25 Matteo Burzoni , Frank Riedel , H. Mete Soner

The objective of this work is the investigation of complexity, asymmetry, stochasticity and non-linearity of the financial and economic systems by using the tools of statistical mechanics and information theory. More precisely, this thesis…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-08-30 Rubina Zadourian

As a model of market price, we introduce a new type of random walk in a moving potential which is approximated by a quadratic function with its center given by the moving average of its own trace. The properties of resulting random walks…

Physics and Society · Physics 2008-12-02 Misako Takayasu , Takayuki Mizuno , Hideki Takayasu

The two phase behavior in financial markets actually means the bifurcation phenomenon, which represents the change of the conditional probability from an unimodal to a bimodal distribution. In this paper, the bifurcation phenomenon in…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2009-11-13 Shi-Mei Jiang , Shi-Min Cai , Tao Zhou , Pei-Ling Zhou

In this paper, we consider the drawdown and drawup of the fractional Brownian motion with trend, which corresponds to the logarithm of geometric fractional Brownian motion representing the stock price in financial market. We derive the…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-02-01 Long Bai , Peng Liu

This paper models firm-to-firm trade in a production network as a set of double auctions. Firms have multilateral market power, namely, can affect prices in both input and output markets. The size and division of surplus are endogenous and…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2026-03-24 Matteo Bizzarri

We consider discrete-time observations of a continuous martingale under measurement error. This serves as a fundamental model for high-frequency data in finance, where an efficient price process is observed under microstructure noise. It is…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2011-05-12 Markus Reiß

The linear fractional stable motion generalizes two prominent classes of stochastic processes, namely stable L\'evy processes, and fractional Brownian motion. For this reason it may be regarded as a basic building block for continuous time…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-08-17 Fabian Mies , Mark Podolskij

In the context of time-subordinated Brownian motion models, Fourier theory and methodology are proposed to modelling the stochastic distribution of time increments. Gaussian Variance-Mean mixtures and time-subordinated models are reviewed…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-10-21 Rohan Shenoy , Peter Kempthorne

We take a look the changes of different asset prices over variable periods, using both traditional and spectral methods, and discover universality phenomena which hold (in some cases) across asset classes.

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2018-03-21 Igor Rivin

We consider a stochastic volatility asset price model in which the volatility is the absolute value of a continuous Gaussian process with arbitrary prescribed mean and covariance. By exhibiting a Karhunen-Lo\`{e}ve expansion for the…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2017-02-08 Archil Gulisashvili , Frederi Viens , Xin Zhang