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We study a process satisfying a one-dimensional stochastic differential equation driven by fractional Brownian motion with Hurst index $H>1/2$, and consider the weighted power variation based on the second order differences of the process.…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-07-04 Hayate Yamagishi

In this paper we provide a comprehensive analysis of a structural model for the dynamics of prices of assets traded in a market originally proposed in [1]. The model takes the form of an interacting generalization of the geometric Brownian…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2018-06-06 Kartik Anand , Jonathan Khedair , Reimer Kuehn

This study deals with the problem of pricing compound options when the underlying asset follows a mixed fractional Brownian motion with jumps. An analytic formula for compound options is derived under the risk neutral measure. Then, these…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2019-04-09 Foad Shokrollahi

This paper establishes a non-stochastic analogue of the celebrated result by Dubins and Schwarz about reduction of continuous martingales to Brownian motion via time change. We consider an idealized financial security with continuous price…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-05-05 Vladimir Vovk

This research studies the relation between money and prices and its practical implications analyzing quarterly data from United States (1959-2022), Canada (1961-2022), United Kingdom (1986-2022), and Brazil (1996-2022). The historical,…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-01-27 Jose Mauricio Gomez Julian

We consider arbitrage free valuation of European options in Black-Scholes and Merton markets, where the general structure of the market is known, however the specific parameters are not known. In order to reflect this subjective uncertainty…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2017-01-13 Hanno Gottschalk , Elpida Nizami , Marius Schubert

The statistical properties of a stochastic process may be described (1)by the expectation values of the observables, (2)by the probability distribution functions or (3)by probability measures on path space. Here an analysis of level (3) is…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2008-12-02 R. Vilela Mendes , R. Lima , T. Araujo

Tempered stable distributions are frequently used in financial applications (e.g., for option pricing) in which the tails of stable distributions would be too heavy. Given the non-explicit form of the probability density function,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-07-08 Till Massing

A market with asymmetric information can be viewed as a repeated exchange game between the informed sector and the uninformed one. In a market with risk-neutral agents, De Meyer [2010] proves that the price process should be a particular…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2017-01-13 Bernard De Meyer , Gaëtan Fournier

Exponential L\'evy processes can be used to model the evolution of various financial variables such as FX rates, stock prices, etc. Considerable efforts have been devoted to pricing derivatives written on underliers governed by such…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2012-06-29 Leif Andersen , Alexander Lipton

This note continues investigation of randomness-type properties emerging in idealized financial markets with continuous price processes. It is shown, without making any probabilistic assumptions, that the strong variation exponent of…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2010-11-25 Vladimir Vovk

In the past decades, advanced probabilistic methods have had significant impact on the field of finance, both in academia and in the financial industry. Conversely, financial questions have stimulated new research directions in probability.…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2013-10-01 Hans Föllmer , Alexander Schied

We derive the short-maturity asymptotics for prices of options on realized variance in local-stochastic volatility models. We consider separately the short-maturity asymptotics for out-of-the-money and in-the-money options cases. The…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2025-11-19 Dan Pirjol , Xiaoyu Wang , Lingjiong Zhu

This paper shows that jumps in financial asset prices are often erroneously identified and are, in fact, rare events accounting for a very small proportion of the total price variation. We apply new econometric techniques to a comprehensive…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-02-12 Kim Christensen , Roel C. A. Oomen , Mark Podolskij

We study the asymptotic behavior of weighted power variations of fractional Brownian motion in Brownian time Z_t:= X_{Y_t}, t >= 0, where X is a fractional Brownian motion and Y is an independent Brownian motion.

Probability · Mathematics 2017-02-28 Raghid Zeineddine

Volatility estimation is a central problem in financial econometrics, but becomes particularly challenging when jump activity is high, a phenomenon observed empirically in highly traded financial securities. In this paper, we revisit the…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-05-13 B. Cooper Boniece , José E. Figueroa-López , Tianwei Zhou

An axiomatic approach to macroeconomics based on the mathematical structure of thermodynamics is presented. It deduces relations between aggregate properties of an economy, concerning quantities and flows of goods and money, prices and the…

General Economics · Economics 2025-06-18 N. J. Chater , R. S. MacKay

The basic model for high-frequency data in finance is considered, where an efficient price process is observed under microstructure noise. It is shown that this nonparametric model is in Le Cam's sense asymptotically equivalent to a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2010-01-25 Markus Reiß

Classical option pricing schemes assume that the value of a financial asset follows a geometric Brownian motion (GBM). However, a growing body of studies suggest that a simple GBM trajectory is not an adequate representation for asset…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2021-02-03 Viktor Stojkoski , Trifce Sandev , Lasko Basnarkov , Ljupco Kocarev , Ralf Metzler

This survey reviews recent developments in revealed preference theory. It discusses the testable implications of theories of choice that are germane to specific economic environments. The focus is on expected utility in risky environments;…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2019-12-04 Federico Echenique