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We address the common problem of calculating intervals in the presence of systematic uncertainties. We aim to investigate several approaches, but here describe just a Bayesian technique for setting upper limits. The particular example we…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2007-05-23 Joel Heinrich , Craig Blocker , John Conway , Luc Demortier , Louis Lyons , Giovanni Punzi , Pekka K. Sinervo

Some asymptotic notions for random variables are discussed. In particular, different versions of O and o for sequences of random variables are studied. The results are elementary and more or less well-known, but collected here for future…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-08-22 Svante Janson

We introduce a model of competing agents in a prophet setting, where rewards arrive online, and decisions are made immediately and irrevocably. The rewards are unknown from the outset, but they are drawn from a known probability…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2021-07-02 Tomer Ezra , Michal Feldman , Ron Kupfer

We consider a class of variational problems for densities that repel each other at distance. Typical examples are given by the Dirichlet functional and the Rayleigh functional \[ D(\mathbf{u}) = \sum_{i=1}^k \int_{\Omega} |\nabla u_i|^2…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2018-01-17 Nicola Soave , Hugo Tavares , Susanna Terracini , Alessandro Zilio

A new type of stochastic dependence for a sequence of random variables is introduced and studied. Precisely, (X_n)_{n\geq 1} is said to be conditionally identically distributed (c.i.d.), with respect to a filtration (G_n)_{n\geq 0}, if it…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Patrizia Berti , Luca Pratelli , Pietro Rigo

Let $X_1, X_2,\ldots, X_n$ be $n$ independent and identically distributed random variables, here $n \geq 2.$ Let $X_{(1)}, X_{(2)}, \ldots, X_{(n)}$ be the order statistics of $X_1, X_2,..., X_n.$ In this note we proved that: (I) If $X_1,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-03-04 Robert W. Chen

Both complete decoupling and tangent decoupling are classical tools aiming to compare two random processes where one has a weaker dependence structure. We give a new proof for the complete decoupling inequality, which provides a lower bound…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-12-23 Victor H. de la Pena , Heyuan Yao , Demissie Alemayehu

We consider Bayesian estimation of information-theoretic quantities from data, using a Dirichlet prior. Acknowledging the uncertainty of the event space size $m$ and the Dirichlet prior's concentration parameter $c$, we treat both as random…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-11-20 David H. Wolpert , Simon DeDeo

We consider the problem of sequential sampling from a finite number of independent statistical populations to maximize the expected infinite horizon average outcome per period, under a constraint that the expected average sampling cost does…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2012-01-20 Apostolos Burnetas , Odysseas Kanavetas

For normalized sums $Z_n$ of i.i.d. random variables, we explore necessary and sufficient conditions which guarantee the normal approximation with respect to the R\'enyi divergence of infinite order. In terms of densities $p_n$ of $Z_n$,…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-06-21 Sergey G. Bobkov , Friedrich Götze

Prophet inequality concerns a basic optimal stopping problem and states that simple threshold stopping policies -- i.e., accepting the first reward larger than a certain threshold -- can achieve tight $\frac{1}{2}$-approximation to the…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2024-10-31 Wei Tang , Haifeng Xu , Ruimin Zhang , Derek Zhu

We establish some deviation inequalities, moment bounds and almost sure results for the Wasserstein distance of order p $\in$ [1, $\infty$) between the empirical measure of independent and identically distributed R d-valued random variables…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-12-21 Jérôme Dedecker , Florence Merlevède

Correa et al. [EC' 2023] introduced the following trading prophets problem. A trader observes a sequence of stochastic prices for a stock, each drawn from a known distribution, and at each time must decide whether to buy or sell.…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2025-10-21 Yossi Azar , Niv Buchbinder , Roie Levin , Or Vardi

For all $s \geq 1$ and $N \geq 1$ there exist sequences $(z_1,\ldots,z_N)$ in $[0,1]^s$ such that the star-discrepancy of these points can be bounded by $$D_N^*(z_1,\ldots,z_N) \leq c \frac{\sqrt{s}}{\sqrt{N}}.$$ The best known value for…

Number Theory · Mathematics 2018-10-29 Hendrik Pasing , Christian Weiß

A collection of $n$ random events is said to be $(n - 1)$-wise independent if any $n - 1$ events among them are mutually independent. We characterise all probability measures with respect to which $n$ random events are $(n - 1)$-wise…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-11-04 Karthik Natarajan , Arjun Kodagehalli Ramachandra , Colin Tan

In this article we discuss estimation of the common variance of several normal populations with tree order restricted means. We discuss the asymptotic properties of the maximum likelihood estimator of the variance as the number of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-07-24 Antar Bandyopadhyay , Sanjay Chaudhuri

Two series of binary observations $x_1,x_1,...$ and $y_1,y_2,...$ are presented: at each time $n\in\N$ we are given $x_n$ and $y_n$. It is assumed that the sequences are generated independently of each other by two B-processes. We are…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-07-10 Daniil Ryabko

Randomness (in the sense of being generated in an IID fashion) and exchangeability are standard assumptions in nonparametric statistics and machine learning, and relations between them have been a popular topic of research. This short paper…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-01-21 Vladimir Vovk

We study the problem of exact sampling under an exponential communication cost, specifically Campbell's average codeword length $L(t)$ of order $t$, and R\'enyi's entropy. We provide a lower bound on the Campbell cost of exact sampling that…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2026-04-03 Spencer Hill , Fady Alajaji , Tamás Linder

The relationship between three probability distributions and their maximizable entropy forms is discussed without postulating entropy property. For this purpose, the entropy I is defined as a measure of uncertainty of the probability…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2020-10-28 Qiuping A. Wang