English

Sharp Decoupling Inequalities for the Variances and Second Moments of Sums of Dependent Random Variables

Probability 2025-12-23 v1 Statistics Theory Statistics Theory

Abstract

Both complete decoupling and tangent decoupling are classical tools aiming to compare two random processes where one has a weaker dependence structure. We give a new proof for the complete decoupling inequality, which provides a lower bound for the sum of dependent square-integrable nonnegative random variables i=1ndi\sum\limits^n_{i=1} d_i 12E(i=1nzi)2E(i=1ndi)2, \frac{1}{2} \mathbb E \left( \sum\limits^n_{i=1} z_i \right)^2 \leq \mathbb E \left( \sum\limits^n_{i=1} d_i \right)^2, where zi=Ldiz_i \stackrel{\mathcal{L}}{=} d_i for all ini\leq n and ziz_i's are mutually independent. We will then provide the following sharp tangent decoupling inequalities Var(i=1ndi)2Var(i=1nei),\mathbb Var \left( \sum\limits^n_{i=1} d_i\right) \leq 2 \mathbb Var \left( \sum\limits^n_{i=1} e_i\right), and E(i=1ndi)22E(i=1nei)2[E(i=1nei)]2,\mathbb E \left( \sum\limits^n_{i=1} d_i\right)^2 \leq 2 \mathbb E \left( \sum\limits^n_{i=1} e_i\right)^2 - \left[ \mathbb E \left( \sum\limits^n_{i=1} e_i\right) \right]^2, where {ei}\{e_i\} is the decoupled sequences of {di}\{d_i\} and did_i's are not forced to be nonnegative. Applications to construct Chebyshev-type inequality and Paley-Zygmund-type inequality, and to bound the second moments of randomly stopped sums will be provided.

Keywords

Cite

@article{arxiv.2512.19063,
  title  = {Sharp Decoupling Inequalities for the Variances and Second Moments of Sums of Dependent Random Variables},
  author = {Victor H. de la Pena and Heyuan Yao and Demissie Alemayehu},
  journal= {arXiv preprint arXiv:2512.19063},
  year   = {2025}
}