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We establish Chernoff-type bounds for the largest eigenvalue of sums of Hermitian random matrices generated by a time-inhomogeneous Markov chain. Our primary regime assumes a compact state space and contractivity of each Markov kernel in…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-05-26 Luca Zanetti

We consider a system of $N$ particles interacting through their empirical distribution on a finite state space in continuous time. In the formal limit as $N\to\infty$, the system takes the form of a nonlinear (McKean--Vlasov) Markov chain.…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-11-13 Asaf Cohen , Ethan Huffman

We consider triangular arrays of Markov chains that converge weakly to a diffusion process. Second order Edgeworth type expansions for transition densities are proved. The paper differs from recent results in two respects. We allow…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Valentin Konakov , Enno Mammen

This work contributes to the theory of Wiener-Hopf type factorization for finite Markov chains. This theory originated in the seminal paper Barlow et al. (1980), which treated the case of finite time-homogeneous Markov chains. Since then,…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-03-01 Tomasz R. Bielecki , Ziteng Cheng , Igor Cialenco , Ruoting Gong

We prove Fuk-Nagaev and Rosenthal-type inequalities for sums of independent random matrices, focusing on the situation when the norms of the matrices possess finite moments of only low orders. Our bounds depend on the ``intrinsic''…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-11-20 Moritz Jirak , Stanislav Minsker , Yiqiu Shen , Martin Wahl

The convergence, convergence rate and expected hitting time play fundamental roles in the analysis of randomised search heuristics. This paper presents a unified Markov chain approach to studying them. Using the approach, the sufficient and…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2013-12-10 Jun He , Feidun He , Xin Yao

We provide a set of conditions which ensure the almost sure convergence of a class of simulated annealing algorithms on a bounded set $\mathcal{X}\subset\mathbb{R}^d$ based on a time-varying Markov kernel. The class of algorithms considered…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-07-07 Mathieu Gerber , Luke Bornn

The main goal of this text is comprehensive study of time homogeneous Markov chains on the real line whose drift tends to zero at infinity, we call such processes Markov chains with asymptotically zero drift. Traditionally this topic is…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-09-06 Denis Denisov , Dmitry Korshunov , Vitali Wachtel

This review paper, written for the second edition of the Handbook of Markov Chain Monte Carlo, provides an introduction to the study of convergence analysis for Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC), aimed at researchers new to the field. We…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-09-24 Qian Qin

We develop a class of exponential bounds for the probability that a martingale sequence crosses a time-dependent linear threshold. Our key insight is that it is both natural and fruitful to formulate exponential concentration inequalities…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-12-18 Steven R. Howard , Aaditya Ramdas , Jon McAuliffe , Jasjeet Sekhon

This paper deals with ergodic theorems for particular time-inhomogeneous Markov processes, whose the time-inhomogeneity is asymptotically periodic. Under a Lyapunov/minorization condition, it is shown that, for any measurable bounded…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-04-06 William Oçafrain

We show that a new probabilistic technique, recently introduced by the first author, yields the sharpest bounds obtained to date on mixing times of Markov chains in terms of isoperimetric properties of the state space (also known as…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Ben Morris , Yuval Peres

In this paper, we consider a general class of two-time-scale Markov chains whose transition rate matrix depends on a parameter $\lambda>0$. We assume that some transition rates of the Markov chain will tend to infinity as…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-07-10 Chen Jia

Markov chains can be used to generate samples whose distribution approximates a given target distribution. The quality of the samples of such Markov chains can be measured by the discrepancy between the empirical distribution of the samples…

Computation · Statistics 2016-01-18 Josef Dick , Daniel Rudolf , Houying Zhu

Let $(X_t)_{t = 0 }^{\infty}$ be an irreducible reversible discrete time Markov chain on a finite state space $\Omega $. Denote its transition matrix by $P$. To avoid periodicity issues (and thus ensuring convergence to equilibrium) one…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-01-29 Jonathan Hermon , Yuval Peres

We study the convergence rate to stationarity for a class of exchangeable partition-valued Markov chains called cut-and-paste chains. The law governing the transitions of a cut-and-paste chain are determined by products of i.i.d. stochastic…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-09-25 Harry Crane , Steven P. Lalley

Continuous time financial market models are often motivated as scaling limits of discrete time models. The objective of this paper is to establish such a connection for a robust framework. More specifically, we consider discrete time models…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-10-17 David Criens

Many finite-state reversible Markov chains can be naturally decomposed into "projection" and "restriction" chains. In this paper we provide bounds on the total variation mixing times of the original chain in terms of the mixing properties…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-02-04 Natesh S. Pillai , Aaron Smith

Consider the class of (functions of) strictly stationary Markov chains in which (i) the second moments are finite and (ii) absolute regularity (beta-mixing) is satisfied with exponential mixing rate. For (functions of) Markov chains in that…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-11-07 Richard C. Bradley

In this paper we are concerned with hitting times of a family of density-dependent Markov chains. A moderate deviation principle of the hitting time is given. The proof of the main theorem relies heavily on moderate deviations of…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-06-15 Yuheng He , Xiaofeng Xue
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