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In this paper, we consider two time-inhomogeneous Markov chains $X^{(l)}_t$, $l\in\{1,2\}$, with discrete time on a general state space. We assume the existence of some renewal set $C$ and investigate the time of simultaneous renewal, that…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-01-06 Vitaliy Golomoziy

The stochastic growth-fragmentation model describes the temporal evolution of a structured cell population through a discrete-time and continuous-state Markov chain. The simulations of this stochastic process and its invariant measure are…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-05-20 Dawei Wu , Zhennan Zhou

In this paper, we study the problem of estimating the autocovariance sequence resulting from a reversible Markov chain. A motivating application for studying this problem is the estimation of the asymptotic variance in central limit…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-11-13 Stephen Berg , Hyebin Song

We address the problem of estimating the mixing time of a Markov chain from a single trajectory of observations. Unlike most previous works which employed Hilbert space methods to estimate spectral gaps, we opt for an approach based on…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-09-13 Geoffrey Wolfer

Time-homogeneous Markov chains are often used as disease progression models in studies of cost-effectiveness and optimal decision-making. Maximum likelihood estimation of these models can be challenging when data are collected at a time…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-09-26 Duncan Ermini Leaf

We address the problem of estimating the mixing time $t_{\mathsf{mix}}$ of an arbitrary ergodic finite-state Markov chain from a single trajectory of length $m$. The reversible case was addressed by Hsu et al. [2019], who left the general…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-08-17 Geoffrey Wolfer , Aryeh Kontorovich

This article provides the first procedure for computing a fully data-dependent interval that traps the mixing time $t_{\text{mix}}$ of a finite reversible ergodic Markov chain at a prescribed confidence level. The interval is computed from…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2015-11-04 Daniel Hsu , Aryeh Kontorovich , Csaba Szepesvári

This paper studies Hoeffding's inequality for Markov chains under the generalized concentrability condition defined via integral probability metric (IPM). The generalized concentrability condition establishes a framework that interpolates…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-10-06 Hao Chen , Abhishek Gupta , Yin Sun , Ness Shroff

In this work, we characterise the statistics of Markov chains by constructing an associated sequence of periodic differential operators. Studying the density of states of these operators reveals the absolutely continuous invariant measure…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2025-09-22 Bryn Davies , Angelica Yu Xiao

We consider a stochastic image restoration model proposed by A. Gibbs (2004), and give an upper bound on the time it takes for a Markov chain defined by this model to be \epsilon - close in total variation to equilibrium. We use Gibbs'…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-03-14 Oliver Jovanovski

Convergence rate analyses of random walk Metropolis-Hastings Markov chains on general state spaces have largely focused on establishing sufficient conditions for geometric ergodicity or on analysis of mixing times. Geometric ergodicity is a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-07-24 Riddhiman Bhattacharya , Galin L. Jones

We prove an upper bound on the total variation mixing time of a finite Markov chain in terms of the absolute spectral gap and the number of elements in the state space. Unlike results requiring reversibility or irreducibility, this bound is…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-10-31 Daniel Jerison

The paper presents a generalization of the local limit theorem on the convergence of inhomogeneous Markov chains to the diffusion limit for the case where the corresponding process coefficients satisfy weak regularity conditions and…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-06-02 I. Bitter , V. Konakov

We investigate the local times of a continuous-time Markov chain on an arbitrary discrete state space. For fixed finite range of the Markov chain, we derive an explicit formula for the joint density of all local times on the range, at any…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 D. Brydges , R. van der Hofstad , W. Konig

Renz (1996), Ouchti(2005), El Machkouri and Ouchti (2007) and Mourrat (2013) have established the bounds on the rate of convergence in the central limit theorem for discrete time martingales. In the present paper a modification of the…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-05-11 Xiequan Fan

We develop a systematic matrix-analytic approach, based on intertwinings of Markov semigroups, for proving theorems about hitting-time distributions for finite-state Markov chains -- an approach that (sometimes) deepens understanding of the…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-09-04 James Allen Fill , Vince Lyzinski

An important problem in the implementation of Markov Chain Monte Carlo algorithms is to determine the convergence time, or the number of iterations before the chain is close to stationarity. For many Markov chains used in practice this time…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2010-07-02 Nayantara Bhatnagar , Andrej Bogdanov , Elchanan Mossel

We provide a general framework for computing upper bounds on mixing times of finite Markov chains when its minimal ideal is left zero. Our analysis is based on combining results by Brown and Diaconis with our previous work on stationary…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-01-04 John Rhodes , Anne Schilling

In this paper we investigate the continuum limits of a class of Markov chains. The investigation of such limits is motivated by the desire to model very large networks. We show that under some conditions, a sequence of Markov chains…

Networking and Internet Architecture · Computer Science 2011-06-22 Yang Zhang , Edwin K. P. Chong , Jan Hannig , Donald Estep

We extend Hoeffding's lemma to general-state-space and not necessarily reversible Markov chains. Let $\{X_i\}_{i \ge 1}$ be a stationary Markov chain with invariant measure $\pi$ and absolute spectral gap $1-\lambda$, where $\lambda$ is…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-07-19 Jianqing Fan , Bai Jiang , Qiang Sun