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We consider the game-theoretic scenario of testing the performance of Forecaster by Sceptic who gambles against the forecasts. Sceptic's current capital is interpreted as the amount of evidence he has found against Forecaster. Reporting the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2010-11-23 A. Philip Dawid , Steven de Rooij , Glenn Shafer , Alexander Shen , Nikolai Vereshchagin , Vladimir Vovk

Frazzini and Pedersen (2014) Betting Against Beta (BAB) factor is based on the idea that high beta assets trade at a premium and low beta assets trade at a discount due to investor funding constraints. However, as argued by Campbell and…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2024-09-04 Miguel C. Herculano

Behavioral experiments on the Ultimatum Game have shown that we human beings have remarkable preference in fair play, contradicting the predictions by the game theory. Most of the existing models seeking for explanations, however, strictly…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2022-12-07 Guozhong Zheng , Jiqiang Zhang , Rizhou Liang , Lin Ma , Li Chen

We prove an explicit upper bound on the amount of entanglement required by any strategy in a two-player cooperative game with classical questions and quantum answers. Specifically, we show that every strategy for a game with n-bit questions…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2009-09-03 Gus Gutoski

We study a combinatorial game derived from a problem in the German National Mathematics Competition. In this game, two players take turns removing numbers from a finite set of natural numbers, aiming to satisfy a certain divisibility…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2025-08-04 Tim Rammenstein

In "Recognizing the Maximum of a Sequence", Gilbert and Mosteller analyze a full information game where n measurements from an uniform distribution are drawn and a player (knowing n) must decide at each draw whether or not to choose that…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-05-30 Marcos Costa Santos Carreira

Sequences of repeated gambles provide an experimental tool to characterize the risk preferences of humans or artificial decision-making agents. The difficulty of this inference depends on factors including the details of the gambles offered…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2023-08-15 James Price , Colm Connaughton

Consider a closed pooled annuity fund investing in n assets with discrete-time rebalancing. At time 0, each annuitant makes an initial contribution to the fund, committing to a predetermined schedule of withdrawals. Require annuitants to be…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-02-28 Hayden Brown

We consider how an agent should update her uncertainty when it is represented by a set P of probability distributions and the agent observes that a random variable X takes on value x, given that the agent makes decisions using the minimax…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2014-07-29 Peter D. Grunwald , Joseph Y. Halpern

We consider graph games of infinite duration with winning conditions in parameterized linear temporal logic, where the temporal operators are equipped with variables for time bounds. In model checking such specifications were introduced as…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2011-06-08 Martin Zimmermann

Consider a stream of $n$ random points (say, from the unit square) arriving one by one, where a player has to make an irreversible immediate decision for each arriving point whether to pick it. The player has to pick a single point, and the…

Computational Geometry · Computer Science 2026-04-28 Sariel Har-Peled

In economy, markets are denoted as efficient when it is impossible to systematically generate profits which outperform the average. In the past years, the concept has been tested in other domains such as the growing sports betting market.…

Physics and Society · Physics 2023-03-30 Ralph Stömmer

What is the physical origin of player cooperation in minority game? And how to obtain maximum global wealth in minority game? We answer the above questions by studying a variant of minority game from which players choose among $N_c$…

Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems · Physics 2015-06-26 H. F. Chau , F. K. Chow

We consider a variation of cop vs.\ robber on graph in which the robber is not restricted by the graph edges; instead, he picks a time-independent probability distribution on $V(G)$ and moves according to this fixed distribution. The cop…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2013-08-23 Natasha Komarov , Peter Winkler

In the classical prophet inequality, a gambler observes a sequence of stochastic rewards $V_1,...,V_n$ and must decide, for each reward $V_i$, whether to keep it and stop the game or to forfeit the reward forever and reveal the next value…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2013-07-16 Pablo D. Azar , Robert Kleinberg , S. Matthew Weinberg

We propose a payoff function extending Minority Games (MG) that captures the competition between agents to make money. In constrast with previous MG, the best strategies are not always targeting the minority but are shifting…

Condensed Matter · Physics 2009-11-07 Jorgen Vitting Andersen , Didier Sornette

Prophet inequality concerns a basic optimal stopping problem and states that simple threshold stopping policies -- i.e., accepting the first reward larger than a certain threshold -- can achieve tight $\frac{1}{2}$-approximation to the…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2024-10-31 Wei Tang , Haifeng Xu , Ruimin Zhang , Derek Zhu

This paper presents a new lower bound for the discrete strategy improvement algorithm for solving parity games due to Voege and Jurdziski. First, we informally show which structures are difficult to solve for the algorithm. Second, we…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2009-01-20 Oliver Friedmann

This paper discusses the gambling contest introduced in Seel & Strack (Gambling in contests, Discussion Paper Series of SFB/TR 15 Governance and the Efficiency of Economic Systems 375, Mar 2012.) and considers the impact of adding a penalty…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2013-01-07 Han Feng , David Hobson

Consider the following Maker-Breaker game. Fix a finite subset $S\subset\mathbb{N}$ of the naturals. The players Maker and Breaker take turns choosing previously unclaimed natural numbers. Maker wins by eventually building a homothetic copy…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2026-01-28 Hannah Alpert , Liam Barham , Brian Freidin , Ian Tan , Alexandra Weiner