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A functional limit theorem is established for the partial-sum process of a class of stationary sequences which exhibit both heavy tails and long-range dependence. The stationary sequence is constructed using multiple stochastic integrals…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-04-09 Shuyang Bai , Takashi Owada , Yizao Wang

We consider a Markov chain $\{X_n\}_{n=0}^\8$ on $\R^d$ defined by the stochastic recursion $X_{n}=M_n X_{n-1}+Q_n$, where $(Q_n,M_n)$ are i.i.d. random variables taking values in the affine group $H=\R^d\rtimes {\rm GL}(\R^d)$. Assume that…

Probability · Mathematics 2008-11-10 Dariusz Buraczewski , Ewa Damek , Yves Guivarc'h

In this paper, we study almost sure central limit theorems for multiple stochastic integrals and provide a criterion based on the kernel of these multiple integrals. We apply our result to normalized partial sums of Hermite polynomials of…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-04-15 Bernard Bercu , Ivan Nourdin , Murad S. Taqqu

We introduce a new property of Markov chains, called variance bounding. We prove that, for reversible chains at least, variance bounding is weaker than, but closely related to, geometric ergodicity. Furthermore, variance bounding is…

Probability · Mathematics 2008-12-18 Gareth O. Roberts , Jeffrey S. Rosenthal

We establish the weak large deviations principle for empirical measures of Markov chains on $\mathbb R^d$ under mild assumptions. In particular, no irreducibility is assumed and the initial measure may be arbitrary. The proof is entirely…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-04-24 Léo Daures

We prove a fiberwise almost sure invariance principle for random piecewise expanding transformations in one and higher dimensions using recent developments on martingale techniques.

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2018-12-05 D. Dragicevic , G. Froyland , C. González-Tokman , S. Vaienti

Let $a_n$ be the random increasing sequence of natural numbers which takes each value independently with decreasing probability of order $n^{-\alpha}$, $0 < \alpha < 1/2$. We prove that, almost surely, for every measure-preserving system…

Classical Analysis and ODEs · Mathematics 2017-08-18 Ben Krause , Pavel Zorin-Kranich

For a discrete time Markov chain and in line with Strotz' consistent planning we develop a framework for problems of optimal stopping that are time-inconsistent due to the consideration of a non-linear function of an expected reward. We…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-01-23 Sören Christensen , Kristoffer Lindensjö

In this paper, we consider semi-Markov processes whose transition times and transition probabilities depend on a small parameter $\varepsilon$. Understanding the asymptotic behavior of such processes is needed in order to study the…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-11-08 Leonid Koralov , Ishfaaq Mohammed Imtiyas

We consider reversible ergodic Markov chains with finite state space, and we introduce a new notion of quasi-stationary distribution that does not require the presence of any absorbing state. In our setting, the hitting time of the…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-10-01 Roberto Fernandez , Francesco Manzo , Matteo Quattropani , Elisabetta Scoppola

A finite range interacting particle system on a transitive graph is considered. Assuming that the dynamics and the initial measure are invariant, the normalized empirical distribution process converges in distribution to a centered…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2007-05-23 Paul Doukhan , Gabriel Lang , Sana Louhichi , Bernard Ycart

We establish a new class of functional central limit theorems for partial sum of certain symmetric stationary infinitely divisible processes with regularly varying L\'{e}vy measures. The limit process is a new class of symmetric stable…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-01-16 Takashi Owada , Gennady Samorodnitsky

An important step in the Markov reward approach to error bounds on stationary performance measures of Markov chains is to bound the bias terms. Affine functions have been successfully used for these bounds for various models, but there are…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-01-04 Xinwei Bai , Jasper Goseling

For downward skip-free continuous-time Markov chains on non-negative integers stopped at zero, existence of a quasi-stationary distribution is studied. The scale function for these processes is introduced and the boundary is classified by a…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-03-03 Kosuke Yamato

Empirical processes for stationary, causal sequences are considered. We establish empirical central limit theorems for classes of indicators of left half lines, absolutely continuous functions and piecewise differentiable functions. Sample…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Wei Biao Wu

In this paper we study the asymptotic behavior of linear processes having as innovations mean zero, square integrable functions of stationary reversible Markov chains. In doing so we shall preserve the generality of coefficients assuming…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-06-05 Magda Peligrad

For a Markov chain $Y$ with values in a Polish space, consider the entrance chain, obtained by sampling $Y$ at the moments when it enters a fixed set $A$ from its complement $A^c$. Similarly, consider the exit chain, obtained by sampling…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-05-15 Aleksandar Mijatovic , Vladislav Vysotsky

We prove a central limit theorem for a certain class of functions on sparse rank-one inhomogeneous random graphs endowed with additional i.i.d. edge and vertex weights. Our proof of the central limit theorem uses a perturbative form of…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-04-22 Anja Sturm , Moritz Wemheuer

In this paper, we propose a variance reduction approach for Markov chains based on additive control variates and the minimization of an appropriate estimate for the asymptotic variance. We focus on the particular case when control variates…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-10-29 Denis Belomestny , Artur Goldman , Alexey Naumov , Sergey Samsonov

In this paper, we establish some functional central limit theorems for a large class of general supercritical superprocesses with spatially dependent branching mechanisms satisfying a second moment condition. In the particular case when the…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-10-08 Yan-Xia Ren , Renming Song , Rui Zhang