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We develop a martingale approximation approach to studying the limiting behavior of quadratic forms of Markov chains. We use the technique to examine the asymptotic behavior of lag-window estimators in time series and we apply the results…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-08-16 Yves F. Atchade , Matias D. Cattaneo

We prove a limit theorem for an integral functional of a Markov process. The Markovian dynamics is characterized by a linear Boltzmann equation modeling a one-dimensional test particle of mass $\lambda^{-1}\gg 1$ in an external periodic…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2013-07-22 Jeremy Clark

We prove an invariance principle for non-stationary random processes and establish a rate of convergence under a new type of mixing condition. The dependence is exponentially decaying in the gap between the past and the future and is…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-12-23 Ion Grama , Émile Le Page , Marc Peigné

We obtain pointwise ergodic theorems with rate under conditions expressed in terms of the convergence of series involving $\|\sum_{k=1} ^nf\circ \theta^k\|_2$, improving previous results. Then, using known results on martingale…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-04-02 Christophe Cuny

Functional inequalities such as the Poincar\'e and log-Sobolev inequalities quantify convergence to equilibrium in continuous-time Markov chains by linking generator properties to variance and entropy decay. However, many applications,…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-02-20 Bastian Hilder , Patrick van Meurs , Upanshu Sharma

A discrete-time Markov chain can be transformed into a new Markov chain by looking at its states along iterations of an almost surely finite stopping time. By the optional stopping theorem, any bounded harmonic function with respect to the…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-05-04 Iddo Ben-Ari , Behrang Forghani

In this paper we give sufficient conditions for the almost sure central limit theorem started at a point, known under the name of quenched central limit theorem. This is achieved by using a new idea of conditioning with respect to both the…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-09-08 Magda Peligrad

In this note we re-visit the fundamental question of the strong law of large numbers and central limit theorem for processes in continuous time with conditional stationary and independent increments. For convenience we refer to them as…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-02-05 Andreas E. Kyprianou , Victor Rivero

The aim of this note is to investigate the concentration properties of unbounded functions of geometrically ergodic Markov chains. We derive concentration properties of centered functions with respect to the square of the Lyapunov's…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-09-14 Olivier Wintenberger

The class of nonlinear Markov processes is characterized by the dependence of the current state of the process on its current distribution in addition to the dependence on the previous state. Due to this feature, these processes are…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-12-27 Aleksandr Shchegolev

We deduce the existence of a maximal irreducibility measure for a Markov chain from Zorn's lemma.

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Sanatan Rai

Approximate inference algorithm is one of the fundamental research fields in machine learning. The two dominant theoretical inference frameworks in machine learning are variational inference (VI) and Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC).…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-11-20 Yichuan Zhang

The production of molecules in a chemical reaction network is modelled as a Poisson process with a Markov-modulated arrival rate and an exponential decay rate. We analyze the distributional properties of $M$, the number of molecules, under…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-09-17 D. Anderson , J. Blom , M. Mandjes , H. Thorsdottir , K. de Turck

We aim at studying approximate null-controllability properties of a particular class of piecewise linear Markov processes (Markovian switch systems). The criteria are given in terms of algebraic invariance and are easily computable. We…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2015-07-03 Dan Goreac , Miguel Martinez

The paper is a sketch of systematic presentation of distributional limit theorems and their refinements for compound sums. When analyzing, e.g., ergodic semi-Markov systems with discrete or continuous time, this allows us to separate those…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-04-29 Vsevolod K. Malinovskii

In this paper we propose an efficient variance reduction approach for additive functionals of Markov chains relying on a novel discrete time martingale representation. Our approach is fully non-asymptotic and does not require the knowledge…

Computation · Statistics 2021-12-22 D. Belomestny , E. Moulines , S. Samsonov

The partial sum of the states of a Markov chain or more generally a Markov source is asymptotically normally distributed under suitable conditions. One of these conditions is that the variance is unbounded. A simple combinatorial…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2023-06-22 Sara Kropf

In this paper, we are concerned with centered Markov Additive Processes $\{(X_t,Y_t)\}_{t\in\T}$ where the driving Markov process $\{X_t\}_{t\in\T}$ has a finite state space. Under suitable conditions, we provide a local limit theorem for…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-06-25 Loïc Hervé , James Ledoux

We establish a simple variance inequality for U-statistics whose underlying sequence of random variables is an ergodic Markov Chain. The constants in this inequality are explicit and depend on computable bounds on the mixing rate of the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-03-05 Gersende Fort , Eric Moulines , Pierre Priouret , Pierre Vandekerkhove

By using limit theorems of uniform mixing Markov processes and martingale difference sequences, the strong law of large numbers, central limit theorem, and the law of iterated logarithm are established for additive functionals of…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-04-08 Jianhai Bao , Feng-Yu Wang , Chenggui Yuan