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A compound Poisson process whose parameters are all unknown is observed at finitely many equispaced times. Nonparametric estimators of the jump and L\'evy distributions are proposed and functional central limit theorems using the uniform…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-02-06 Alberto J. Coca

Nonparametric methods for the estimation of the Levy density of a Levy process are developed. Estimators that can be written in terms of the ``jumps'' of the process are introduced, and so are discrete-data based approximations. A model…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Enrique Figueroa-Lopez , Christian Houdre

Many financial and economic variables, including financial returns, exhibit nonlinear dependence, heterogeneity and heavy-tailedness. These properties may make problematic the analysis of (non-)efficiency and volatility clustering in…

Econometrics · Economics 2023-12-01 Rustam Ibragimov , Rasmus Pedersen , Anton Skrobotov

Difference schemes for the time-fractional diffusion equation with variable coefficients and nonlocal boundary conditions containing real parameters $\alpha$ and $\beta$ are considered. By the method of energy inequalities, for the solution…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2015-03-27 A. A. Alikhanov

This paper discusses financial fraud detection in imbalanced dataset using homogeneous and non-homogeneous Poisson processes. The probability of predicting fraud on the financial transaction is derived. Applying our methodology to the…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2019-12-11 Régis Houssou , Jérôme Bovay , Stephan Robert

Inspired by the modeling of grain growth in polycrystalline materials, we consider a nonlinear Fokker-Plank model, with inhomogeneous diffusion and with variable mobility parameters. We develop large time asymptotic analysis of such…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2022-06-24 Yekaterina Epshteyn , Chang Liu , Chun Liu , Masashi Mizuno

Given discrete time observations over a fixed time interval, we study a nonparametric Bayesian approach to estimation of the volatility coefficient of a stochastic differential equation. We postulate a histogram-type prior on the volatility…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-04-01 Shota Gugushvili , Frank van der Meulen , Moritz Schauer , Peter Spreij

The distribution of price returns for a class of uncorrelated diffusive dynamics is considered. The basic assumptions are (1) that there is a "consensus" value associated with a stock, and (2) that the rate of diffusion depends on the…

Other Condensed Matter · Physics 2008-12-02 A. L. Alejandro-Quinones , K. E. Bassler , M. Field , J. L. McCauley , M. Nicol , I. Timofeyef , A. Torok , G. H. Gunaratne

This paper explores the nonparametric estimation of the volatility component in a heteroscedastic scalar-on-function regression model, where the underlying discrete-time process is ergodic and subject to a missing-at-random mechanism. We…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-12-17 Abdelbasset Djeniah , Mohamed Chaouch , Amina Angelika Bouchentouf

We consider the inference problem for parameters in stochastic differential equation models from discrete time observations (e.g. experimental or simulation data). Specifically, we study the case where one does not have access to…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2018-04-10 Sebastian Krumscheid

This paper investigates the optimal control problem for a class of parabolic equations where the diffusion coefficient is influenced by a control function acting nonlocally. Specifically, we consider the optimization of a cost functional…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-03-11 Stefana-Lucia Anita , Luca Di Persio

The accurate prediction of time-changing covariances is an important problem in the modeling of multivariate financial data. However, some of the most popular models suffer from a) overfitting problems and multiple local optima, b) failure…

Methodology · Statistics 2013-06-04 Yue Wu , José Miguel Hernández-Lobato , Zoubin Ghahramani

Econophysics has developed as a research field that applies the formalism of Statistical Mechanics and Quantum Mechanics to address Economics and Finance problems. The branch of Econophysics that applies of Quantum Theory to Economics and…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2015-08-27 Carlos Pedro Gonçalves

In this work, we aimed to replicate and extend the results presented in the DiffFluid paper[1]. The DiffFluid model showed that diffusion models combined with Transformers are capable of predicting fluid dynamics. It uses a denoising…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2025-07-14 Yannick Gachnang , Vismay Churiwala

In this paper we present an application of the use of autocopulas for modelling financial time series showing serial dependencies that are not necessarily linear. The approach presented here is semi-parametric in that it is characterized by…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2015-07-20 Antony Ware , Ilnaz Asadzadeh

New fast estimation methods stemming from control theory lead to a fresh look at time series, which bears some resemblance to "technical analysis". The results are applied to a typical object of financial engineering, namely the forecast of…

Applications · Statistics 2009-03-23 Michel Fliess , Cédric Join

For the time-parallel Parareal method, there exists both numerical and analytical proof that it converges very well for diffusive problems like the heat equation. Many applications, however, do not lead to simple homogeneous diffusive…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2016-03-18 Daniel Ruprecht , Robert Speck , Rolf Krause

We study densities of two-dimensional diffusion processes with one non-negative component. For such diffusions, the density may explode at the boundary, thus making a precise specification of the boundary condition in the corresponding…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-04-11 Konstantinos Dareiotis , Erik Ekström

A major issue in financial economics is the behavior of asset returns over long horizons. Various estimators of long range dependence have been proposed. Even though some have known asymptotic properties, it is important to test their…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-06-24 Rafal Weron

Continuous time stochastic processes are useful models especially for financial and insurance purposes. The numerical simulation of such models is dependant of the time discrete discretization, of the parametric estimation and of the choice…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2010-01-13 Frédéric Planchet , Pierre-Emanuel Thérond
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