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This review paper presents the known results on the asymptotics of the survival probability and limit theorems conditioned on survival of critical and subcritical branching processes in IID random environments. The key assumptions of the…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-10-28 Elena Dyakonova , Vladimir Vatutin , Serik Sagitov

The ongoing explosion of genome sequence data is transforming how we reconstruct and understand the histories of biological systems. Across biological scales, from individual cells to populations and species, trees-based models provide a…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2025-12-08 Yun Deng , Shing H. Zhan , Yulin Zhang , Chao Zhang , Bingjie Chen

We investigate the formation of stable ecological networks where many species share the same resource. We show that such stable ecosystem naturally occurs as a result of extinctions. We obtain an analytical relation for the number of…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2017-04-05 V. Kozlov , S. Vakulenko , U. Wennergren

We propose a stochastic model for evolution. Births and deaths of species occur with constant probabilities. Each new species is associated with a fitness sampled from the uniform distribution on [0,1]. Every time there is a death event…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-11-09 Herve Guiol , Fabio P. Machado , Rinaldo B. Schinazi

We consider a random walk with death in $[-N,N]$ moving in a time dependent environment. The environment is a system of particles which describes a current flux from $N$ to $-N$. Its evolution is influenced by the presence of the random…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-07-29 Anna De Masi , Errico Presutti , Dimitrios Tsagkarogiannis , Maria Eulalia Vares

We consider a time-continuous branching random walk on a one-dimensional lattice on which there is one center (lattice point) of particle generation, called branching source. The generation of particles in the branching source is described…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-12-19 E. Filichkina , E. Yarovaya

In the critical beta-splitting model of a random $n$-leaf rooted tree, clades are recursively (from the root) split into sub-clades, and a clade of $m$ leaves is split into sub-clades containing $i$ and $m-i$ leaves with probabilities…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-04-21 David J. Aldous , Svante Janson

We consider continuous state branching processes that are perturbed by a Brownian motion. These processes are constructed as the unique strong solution of a stochastic differential equation. The long-term extinction and explosion behaviours…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-06-17 Sandra Palau , Juan Carlos Pardo

We consider a random process on recursive trees, with three types of events. Vertices give birth at a constant rate (growth), each edge may be removed independently (fragmentation of the tree) and clusters (or trees) are frozen with a rate…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-09-07 Vincent Bansaye , Chenlin Gu , Linglong Yuan

In this article, we construct a generalization of the Blum-Fran\c{c}ois Beta-splitting model for evolutionary trees, which was itself inspired by Aldous' Beta-splitting model on cladograms. The novelty of our approach allows for asymmetric…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-07-04 Raazesh Sainudiin , Amandine Veber

We propose a variation of the GMS model of evolution of species. In this version, as in the GMS model, at each birth, the new species in the system is labeled with a random fitness mark, but in our variation, to each extinction event is…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-03-25 Carolina Grejo , Luiz Renato Fontes , Fábio Sternieri Marque

The statistical properties of an ecosystem composed of species interacting via pairwise, random interactions and deterministic, concentration limiting self-interaction are studied analytically with tools of equilibrium statistical mechanics…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2009-11-07 Viviane M. de Oliveira , J. F. Fontanari

We consider a Brownian motion with linear drift that splits at fixed time points into a fixed number of branches, which may depend on the branching point. For this process, which we shall refer to as the Brownian decision tree, we…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-12-08 Krzysztof Dȩbicki , Pavel Ievlev , Nikolai Kriukov

The paper has four goals. First, we want to generalize the classical concept of the branching property so that it becomes applicable for historical and genealogical processes (using the coding of genealogies by ($V$-marked) ultrametric…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-05-06 Andreas Greven , Thomas Rippl , Patric Karl Glöde

We introduce a model of biological evolution where species evolve in response to biotic interactions and a fluctuating environmental stress. The species may either become extinct or mutate to acquire a new fitness value when the effective…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2012-12-19 Debarshee Bagchi , P. K. Mohanty

A model for large-scale evolution recently introduced by Amaral and Meyer is studied analytically and numerically. Species are located at different trophic levels and become extinct if their prey becomes extinct. It is proved that this…

adap-org · Physics 2009-10-30 Barbara Drossel

Mass extinction is a phenomenon in the history of life on Earth when a considerable number of species go extinct over a relatively short period of time. The magnitude of extinction varies between the events, the most well known are the…

Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems · Physics 2022-08-29 Amer Alsulami , Sergei Petrovskii

Phylogenetics is now fundamental in life sciences, providing insights into the earliest branches of life and the origins and spread of epidemics. However, finding suitable phylogenies from the vast space of possible trees remains…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2024-01-24 Matthew J Penn , Neil Scheidwasser , Joseph Penn , Christl A Donnelly , David A Duchêne , Samir Bhatt

Quantitative methods for studying biodiversity have been traditionally rooted in the classical theory of finite frequency tables analysis. However, with the help of modern experimental tools, like high throughput sequencing, we now begin to…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-12-22 Maciej Pietrzak , Grzegorz A. Rempała , Michał Seweryn , Jacek Wesołowski

The statistics of natural catastrophes contains very counter-intuitive results. Using earthquakes as a working example, we show that the energy radiated by such events follows a power-law or Pareto distribution. This means, in theory, that…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2012-10-04 Alvaro Corral , Francesc Font-Clos