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Related papers: On maximum likelihood estimation of the extreme va…

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We study the asymptotic behaviour of needlets-based approximate maximum likelihood estimators for the spectral parameters of Gaussian and isotropic spherical random fields. We prove consistency and asymptotic Gaussianity, in the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-04-27 Claudio Durastanti , Xiaohong Lan , Domenico Marinucci

This paper develops an asymptotic likelihood theory for triangular arrays of stationary Gaussian time series depending on a multidimensional unknown parameter. We give sufficient conditions for the associated sequence of statistical models…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-11-14 Carsten H. Chong , Fabian Mies

We study behavior of the restricted maximum likelihood (REML) estimator under a misspecified linear mixed model (LMM) that has received much attention in recent gnome-wide association studies. The asymptotic analysis establishes consistency…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-04-10 Jiming Jiang , Cong Li , Debashis Paul , Can Yang , Hongyu Zhao

Let $\xi_1,\xi_2,\ldots$ be independent, identically distributed random variables with infinite mean $\mathbf E[|\xi_1|]=\infty.$ Consider a random walk $S_n=\xi_1+\cdots+\xi_n$, a stopping time $\tau=\min\{n\ge 1: S_n\le 0\}$ and let…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-07-23 Denis Denisov

The spectral measure plays a key role in the statistical modeling of multivariate extremes. Estimation of the spectral measure is a complex issue, given the need to obey a certain moment condition. We propose a Euclidean likelihood-based…

Methodology · Statistics 2012-04-17 Miguel de Carvalho , Boris Oumow , Johan Segers , Michał Warchoł

We show that there is an intimate connection between the theory of nonparametric (smoothed) maximum likelihood estimators for certain inverse problems and integral equations. This is illustrated by estimators for interval censoring and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-08-13 Piet Groeneboom

Many statistical models have likelihoods which are intractable: it is impossible or too expensive to compute the likelihood exactly. In such settings, a common approach is to replace the likelihood with an approximation, and proceed with…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-11-23 Helen Ogden

We consider the smoothed maximum likelihood estimator and the smoothed Grenander-type estimator for a monotone baseline hazard rate $\lambda_0$ in the Cox model. We analyze their asymptotic behavior and show that they are asymptotically…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-05-18 Hendrik P. Lopuhaä , Eni Musta

In this paper we study a class of exponential family on permutations, which includes some of the commonly studied Mallows models. We show that the pseudo-likelihood estimator for the natural parameter in the exponential family is…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-04-11 Sumit Mukherjee , Daiki Tagami

Profile likelihood intervals of large quantiles in Extreme Value distributions provide a good way to estimate these parameters of interest since they take into account the asymmetry of the likelihood surface in the case of small and…

Applications · Statistics 2010-05-21 A. Bolívar , E. Díaz-Francés , J. Ortega , E. Vilchis

Uniform convergence rates are provided for asymptotic representations of sample extremes. These bounds which are universal in the sense that they do not depend on the extreme value index are meant to be extended to arbitrary samples…

Let $(Y_k)_{k\in \mathbb{Z}}$ be a stationary sequence on a probability space $(\Omega,\mathcal{A},\mathbb{P})$ taking values in a standard Borel space $\mathsf{Y}$. Consider the associated maximum likelihood estimator with respect to a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-02-19 Randal Douc , Eric Moulines

We show that the probability of appearance of synchronisation in chaotic coupled map lattices is related to the distribution of the maximum of a certain observable evaluated along almost all orbit. We show that such distribution belongs to…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2018-04-10 D. Faranda , H. Ghoudi , P. Guiraud , S. Vaienti

The aim of this article is to simplify Pfanzagl's proof of consistency for asymptotic maximum likelihood estimators, and to extend it to more general asymptotic M-estimators. The method relies on the existence of a sort of contraction of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-10-08 Djalil Chafai , Didier Concordet

Data-driven anomaly detection methods typically build a model for the normal behavior of the target system, and score each data instance with respect to this model. A threshold is invariably needed to identify data instances with high (or…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-10-09 Sreelekha Guggilam , S. M. Arshad Zaidi , Varun Chandola , Abani Patra

This paper deals with the maximum likelihood estimator for the mean-reverting parameter of a first order autoregressive models with exogenous variables, which are stationary Gaussian noises (Colored noise). Using the method of the Laplace…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-11-19 Chunhao Cai

We consider the asymptotic behavior of the expectation of the maximum for a special assignment process with constant or i.i.d. coefficients. We show how it depends on the coefficients' distribution.

Probability · Mathematics 2022-05-04 Mikhail Lifshits , Arman Tadevosian

We investigate the accuracy of the two most common estimators for the maximum expected value of a general set of random variables: a generalization of the maximum sample average, and cross validation. No unbiased estimator exists and we…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2013-03-04 Hado van Hasselt

In many applied fields it is desired to make predictions with the aim of assessing the plausibility of more severe events than those already recorded to safeguard against calamities that have not yet occurred. This problem can be analysed…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-11-21 S. A. Padoan , Stefano Rizzelli

This paper develops a rigorous asymptotic framework for likelihood-based inference in the Block Maxima (BM) method for stationary time series. While Bayesian inference under the BM approach has been widely studied in the independence…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-06-24 David L. Carl , Simone A. Padoan , Stefano Rizzelli