English

Asymptotic properties of the maximum likelihood estimation in misspecified hidden Markov models

Statistics Theory 2013-02-19 v2 Statistics Theory

Abstract

Let (Yk)kZ(Y_k)_{k\in \mathbb{Z}} be a stationary sequence on a probability space (Ω,A,P)(\Omega,\mathcal{A},\mathbb{P}) taking values in a standard Borel space Y\mathsf{Y}. Consider the associated maximum likelihood estimator with respect to a parametrized family of hidden Markov models such that the law of the observations (Yk)kZ(Y_k)_{k\in \mathbb{Z}} is not assumed to be described by any of the hidden Markov models of this family. In this paper we investigate the consistency of this estimator in such misspecified models under mild assumptions.

Keywords

Cite

@article{arxiv.1110.0356,
  title  = {Asymptotic properties of the maximum likelihood estimation in misspecified hidden Markov models},
  author = {Randal Douc and Eric Moulines},
  journal= {arXiv preprint arXiv:1110.0356},
  year   = {2013}
}

Comments

Published in at http://dx.doi.org/10.1214/12-AOS1047 the Annals of Statistics (http://www.imstat.org/aos/) by the Institute of Mathematical Statistics (http://www.imstat.org)