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We consider two versions of stochastic population models with mutation and selection. The first approach relies on a multitype branching process; here, individuals reproduce and change type (i.e., mutate) independently of each other,…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2009-02-19 E. Baake , R. Bialowons

The formula for the probability of fixation of a new mutation is widely used in theoretical population genetics and molecular evolution. Here we derive a series of identities, inequalities and approximations for the exact probability of…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2015-03-10 David M. McCandlish , Charles L. Epstein , Joshua B. Plotkin

In large populations, multiple beneficial mutations may be simultaneously spreading. In asexual populations, these mutations must either arise on the same background or compete against each other. In sexual populations, recombination can…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2013-12-19 D. B. Weissman , O. Hallatschek

We introduce an individual-based model for structured populations undergoing demographic bottlenecks, i.e. drastic reductions in population size that last many generations and can have arbitrary shapes. We first show that the…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-04-17 Marta Dai Pra , Alison Etheridge , Jere Koskela , Maite Wilke-Berenguer

The Moran process, as studied by [Lieberman, E., Hauert, C. and Nowak, M. Evolutionary dynamics on graphs. Nature 433, pp. 312-316 (2005)], is a stochastic process modeling the spread of genetic mutations in populations. In this process,…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-07-27 Themistoklis Melissourgos , Sotiris Nikoletseas , Christoforos Raptopoulos , Paul Spirakis

In this article, we focus on Bienaym\'e-Galton-Watson processes with linear-fractional offspring distributions. At a fixed generation, we consider a sample of the individuals alive, drawn in two different ways: either through Bernoulli…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-06-24 Natalia Cardona-Tobón , Sandra Palau

In population genetics, diffusions on the unit interval are often used to model the frequency path of an allele. In this setting we derive approximations for fixation probabilities, expected hitting times and the expected…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-09-18 Peter Pfaffelhuber , Anton Wakolbinger

Our models for detecting the effect of adaptation on population genomic diversity are often predicated on a single newly arisen mutation sweeping rapidly to fixation. However, a population can also adapt to a new situation by multiple…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2012-07-26 Peter Ralph , Graham Coop

Populations evolving under the joint influence of recombination and resampling (traditionally known as genetic drift) are investigated. First, we summarise and adapt a deterministic approach, as valid for infinite populations, which assumes…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2009-02-20 Ellen Baake , Inke Herms

Genetic hitchhiking describes evolution at a neutral locus that is linked to a selected locus. If a beneficial allele rises to fixation at the selected locus, a characteristic polymorphism pattern (so-called selective sweep) emerges at the…

Probability · Mathematics 2008-11-01 Joachim Hermisson , Peter Pfaffelhuber

Evolution occurs in populations of reproducing individuals. The structure of a biological population affects which traits evolve. Understanding evolutionary game dynamics in structured populations is difficult. Precise results have been…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2017-08-16 Benjamin Allen , Gabor Lippner , Yu-Ting Chen , Babak Fotouhi , Naghmeh Momeni , Martin A. Nowak , Shing-Tung Yau

The Moran process is a foundational model of genetic drift and mutation in finite populations. In its standard two-allele form with population size $n$, allele counts, and hence allele frequencies, change through stochastic replacement and…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2026-01-16 Dan Braha , Marcus A. M. de Aguiar

We study a one-dimensional spatial population model where the population sizes at each site are chosen according to a translation invariant and ergodic distribution and are uniformly bounded away from 0 and infinity. We suppose that the…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-06-14 Raphaël Forien

To learn about the past from a sample of genomic sequences, one needs to understand how evolutionary processes shape genetic diversity. Most population genetic inference is based on frameworks assuming adaptive evolution is rare. But if…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2014-03-25 Richard A. Neher

Frequency-dependent selection reflects the interaction between different species as they battle for limited resources in their environment. In a stochastic evolutionary game the species relative fitnesses guides the evolutionary dynamics…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-12-29 Lea Popovic , Liam Peuckert

We study a mutation-selection model with a fluctuating environment. More precisely, individuals in a large population are assumed to have a modifier locus determining the mutation rate $u \in [0,\vartheta]$ at a second locus with types $v…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-09-16 Franz Baumdicker , Elisabeth Huss , Peter Pfaffelhuber

In this paper, the replicator dynamics of the two-locus two-allele system under weak mutation and weak selection is investigated in a generation-wise non-overlapping unstructured population of individuals mating at random. Our main finding…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2023-04-04 Suman Chakraborty , Sagar Chakraborty

Coalescent theory is the study of random processes where particles may join each other to form clusters as time evolves. These notes provide an introduction to some aspects of the mathematics of coalescent processes and their applications…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-09-23 Nathanael Berestycki

We consider the homogenisation of a coupled reaction-diffusion process in a porous medium with evolving microstructure. A concentration-dependent reaction rate at the interface of the pores with the solid matrix induces a…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2022-06-01 David Wiedemann , Malte A. Peter

A density-dependent branching process is a particle system in which individuals reproduce independently, but in a way that depends on the current population size. This feature can model a wide range of ecological interactions at the cost of…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-01-23 Mathilde André , Félix Foutel-Rodier , Emmanuel Schertzer