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Statistical learning algorithms provide a generally-applicable framework to sidestep time-consuming experiments, or accurate physics-based modeling, but they introduce a further source of error on top of the intrinsic limitations of the…

Chemical Physics · Physics 2024-05-17 Matthias Kellner , Michele Ceriotti

In probability theory, there is a tendency to treat one random variable with a given distribution as being just as good as any other. By and large this is fine because probability is (mostly) concerned with distributional properties of…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-01-31 Douglas Rizzolo

To make research of chaos more friendly with discrete equations, we introduce the concept of an unpredictable sequence as a specific unpredictable function on the set of integers. It is convenient to be verified as a solution of a discrete…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2017-04-25 Marat Akhmet , Mehmet Onur Fen

It is well understood that Bayesian decision theory and average case analysis are essentially identical. However, if one is interested in performing uncertainty quantification for a numerical task, it can be argued that standard approaches…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-07-16 Chris. J. Oates , Jon Cockayne , Dennis Prangle , T. J. Sullivan , Mark Girolami

Asymptotic statistical theory for estimating functions is reviewed in a generality suitable for stochastic processes. Conditions concerning existence of a consistent estimator, uniqueness, rate of convergence, and the asymptotic…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-09-06 Jean Jacod , Michael Sørensen

Order statistics theory is applied in this paper to probabilistic robust control theory to compute the minimum sample size needed to come up with a reliable estimate of an uncertain quantity under continuity assumption of the related…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2008-05-13 Xinjia Chen , Kemin Zhou

Bayesian inference can quantify uncertainty in the predictions of neural networks using posterior distributions for model parameters and network output. By looking at these posterior distributions, one can separate the origin of uncertainty…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-11-23 H. Linander , O. Balabanov , H. Yang , B. Mehlig

Dividing asks about inconsistency along indiscernible sequences. In order to study the finer structure of simple theories without much dividing, the authors recently introduced shearing, which essentially asks about inconsistency along…

Logic · Mathematics 2023-07-13 M. Malliaris , S. Shelah

In this article, we will use elementary number theory techniques to investigate a sequence of integers defined by a sifting process called the lucky numbers. Ulam introduced lucky numbers as a sieve-based analogue of prime numbers. We…

General Mathematics · Mathematics 2025-11-18 Marthinus Michael Dreeckmeier

In this paper we provide a comprehensive study of statistical inference in linear and allied models which exhibit some analytic perturbations in their design and covariance matrices. We also indicate a few potential applications. In the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2008-12-18 Jerzy A. Filar , Irene Hudson , Thomas Mathew , Bimal Sinha

A comprehensive uncertainty estimation is vital for the precision program of the LHC. While experimental uncertainties are often described by stochastic processes and well-defined nuisance parameters, theoretical uncertainties lack such a…

High Energy Physics - Phenomenology · Physics 2023-05-08 Aishik Ghosh , Benjamin Nachman , Tilman Plehn , Lily Shire , Tim M. P. Tait , Daniel Whiteson

In distributional or average-case analysis, the goal is to design an algorithm with good-on-average performance with respect to a specific probability distribution. Distributional analysis can be useful for the study of general-purpose…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2020-07-28 Tim Roughgarden

The aim of this paper is to prove an uncertainty principle for the representation of a vector in two bases. Our result extends previously known qualitative uncertainty principles into quantitative estimates. We then show how to transfer…

Classical Analysis and ODEs · Mathematics 2018-08-27 Saifallah Ghobber , Philippe Jaming

We study evolution equations of drift-diffusion type when various parameters are random. Motivated by applications in pedestrian dynamics, we focus on the case when the total mass is, due to boundary or reaction terms, not conserved. After…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-07-28 Greta Marino , Jan-Frederik Pietschmann , Alois Pichler

This paper presents an approach for developing the explanation capabilities of rule-based expert systems managing imprecise and uncertain knowledge. The treatment of uncertainty takes place in the framework of possibility theory where the…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-04-08 Henri Farrency , Henri Prade

We study the formulation of the uncertainty principle in quantum mechanics in terms of entropic inequalities, extending results recently derived by Bialynicki-Birula [1] and Zozor et al. [2]. Those inequalities can be considered as…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-04-14 Steeve Zozor , Mariela Portesi , Christophe Vignat

Many AI researchers argue that probability theory is only capable of dealing with uncertainty in situations where a full specification of a joint probability distribution is available, and conclude that it is not suitable for application in…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-04-05 Linda C. van der Gaag

Algorithmic theories of randomness can be related to theories of probabilistic sequence prediction through the notion of a predictor, defined as a function which supplies lower bounds on initial-segment probabilities of infinite sequences.…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2024-01-25 Lenhart K. Schubert

For models of concurrent and distributed systems, it is important and also challenging to establish correctness in terms of safety and/or liveness properties. Theories of distributed systems consider equivalences fundamental, since they (1)…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2017-12-01 Tobias Prehn , Stephan Mennicke

Statistics is sometimes described as the science of reasoning under uncertainty. Statistical models provide one view of this uncertainty, but what is frequently neglected is the 'invisible' portion of uncertainty: that assumed not to exist…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-18 Oliver L. Pescott , Robin J. Boyd , Gary D. Powney , Gavin B. Stewart