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Decisions are often based on imprecise, uncertain or vague information. Likewise, the consequences of an action are often equally unpredictable, thus putting the decision maker into a twofold jeopardy. Assuming that the effects of an action…

General Economics · Economics 2022-05-03 Stefan Rass , Sandra König , Stefan Schauer

In statistical inference, uncertainty is unknown and all models are wrong. That is to say, a person who makes a statistical model and a prior distribution is simultaneously aware that both are fictional candidates. To study such cases,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-02-13 Sumio Watanabe

Much of uncertainty quantification to date has focused on determining the effect of variables modeled probabilistically, and with a known distribution, on some physical or engineering system. We develop methods to obtain information on the…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2015-03-19 Kamaljit Chowdhary , Paul Dupuis

Although there are many mathematical theories to address uncertain phenomena however, these theories are presented under implicit presupposition that uncertainty of objects is accurately measurable while not considering that the measure of…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2018-10-02 Xingguang Chen

The role of the Uncertainty Principle is examined through the examples of squeezing, information capacity, and position monitoring. It is suggested that more attention should be directed to conceptual considerations in quantum information…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2007-05-23 Horace P. Yuen

The classical uncertainty principle of harmonic analysis states that a nontrivial function and its Fourier transform cannot both be sharply localized. It plays an important role in signal processing and physics. This paper generalizes the…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2017-08-02 Kit Ian Kou , Yan Yang , Cuiming Zou

The principle of maximum entropy is a broadly applicable technique for computing a distribution with the least amount of information possible constrained to match empirical data, for instance, feature expectations. We seek to generalize…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2022-05-30 Kenneth Bogert

The aim of this paper is to establish a few uncertainty principles for the Fourier and the short-time Fourier transforms. Also, we discuss an analogue of Donoho--Stark uncertainty principle and provide some estimates for the size of the…

Functional Analysis · Mathematics 2021-11-30 Anirudha Poria

The theory of equidistribution is about hundred years old, and has been developed primarily by number theorists and theoretical computer scientists. A motivated uninitiated peer could encounter difficulties perusing the literature, due to…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-12-04 Vlada Limic , Nedžad Limić

We propose a simple yet effective solution to tackle the often-competing goals of fairness and utility in classification tasks. While fairness ensures that the model's predictions are unbiased and do not discriminate against any particular…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-08-16 Anique Tahir , Lu Cheng , Huan Liu

Explainability and uncertainty quantification are key to trustable artificial intelligence. However, the reasoning behind uncertainty estimates is generally left unexplained. Identifying the drivers of uncertainty complements explanations…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-13 Pascal Iversen , Simon Witzke , Katharina Baum , Bernhard Y. Renard

Combining measurements which have "theoretical uncertainties" is a delicate matter, due to an unclear statistical basis. We present an algorithm based on the notion that a theoretical uncertainty represents an estimate of bias.

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2011-08-05 F. C. Porter

The uncertainty principle states that a signal cannot be localized both in time and frequency. With the aim of extending this result to signals on graphs, Agaskar&Lu introduce notions of graph and spectral spreads. They show that a graph…

Discrete Mathematics · Computer Science 2016-03-16 Bastien Pasdeloup , Réda Alami , Vincent Gripon , Michael Rabbat

Majorisation, also called rearrangement inequalities, yields a type of stochastic ordering in which two or more distributions can be compared. In this paper we argue that majorisation is a good candidate as a theory for uncertainty. We…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-06-17 Victoria Volodina , Nikki Sonenberg , Edward Wheatcroft , Henry Wynn

Universal outlier hypothesis testing is studied in a sequential setting. Multiple observation sequences are collected, a small subset of which are outliers. A sequence is considered an outlier if the observations in that sequence are…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-11-27 Yun Li , Sirin Nitinawarat , Venugopal V. Veeravalli

Prevalent in many real-world settings such as healthcare, irregular time series are challenging to formulate predictions from. It is difficult to infer the value of a feature at any given time when observations are sporadic, as it could…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-07-26 Taylor W. Killian , Haoran Zhang , Thomas Hartvigsen , Ava P. Amini

In many applications, from sensor to social networks, gene regulatory networks or big data, observations can be represented as a signal defined over the vertices of a graph. Building on the recently introduced Graph Fourier Transform, the…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2015-12-03 Mikhail Tsitsvero , Sergio Barbarossa , Paolo Di Lorenzo

We provide finite-sample distribution approximations, that are uniform in the parameter, for inference in linear mixed models. Focus is on variances and covariances of random effects in cases where existing theory fails because their…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-07-29 Karl Oskar Ekvall , Matteo Bottai

Several Artificial Intelligence schemes for reasoning under uncertainty explore either explicitly or implicitly asymmetries among probabilities of various states of their uncertain domain models. Even though the correct working of these…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-02-28 Marek J. Druzdzel

In this paper we give a brief review of semiparametric theory, using as a running example the common problem of estimating an average causal effect. Semiparametric models allow at least part of the data-generating process to be unspecified…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-09-20 Edward H. Kennedy