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Related papers: Reductions of Hidden Information Sources

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This paper provides an elementary, self-contained analysis of diffusion-based sampling methods for generative modeling. In contrast to existing approaches that rely on continuous-time processes and then discretize, our treatment works…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-06-25 Galen Reeves , Henry D. Pfister

We consider the general class of time-homogeneous stochastic dynamical systems, both discrete and continuous, and study the problem of learning a representation of the state that faithfully captures its dynamics. This is instrumental to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-03-15 Vladimir R. Kostic , Pietro Novelli , Riccardo Grazzi , Karim Lounici , Massimiliano Pontil

De-interleaving of the mixtures of Hidden Markov Processes (HMPs) generally depends on its representation model. Existing representation models consider Markov chain mixtures rather than hidden Markov, resulting in the lack of robustness to…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-06-04 Jiadi Bao , Mengtao Zhu , Yunjie Li , Shafei Wang

A prediction makes a claim about a system's future given knowledge of its past. A retrodiction makes a claim about its past given knowledge of its future. The bidirectional machine is an ambidextrous hidden Markov chain that does both…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2025-06-24 Alexandra Jurgens , James P. Crutchfield

Despite the growing availability of sensing and data in general, we remain unable to fully characterise many in-service engineering systems and structures from a purely data-driven approach. The vast data and resources available to capture…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-09-20 Elizabeth J Cross , Timothy J Rogers , Daniel J Pitchforth , Samuel J Gibson , Matthew R Jones

We show in detail how to determine the time-reversed representation of a stationary hidden stochastic process from linear combinations of its forward-time $\epsilon$-machine causal states. This also gives a check for the $k$-cryptic…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-06-30 John R. Mahoney , Christopher J. Ellison , James P. Crutchfield

Process mining is a well-established discipline of data analysis focused on the discovery of process models from information systems' event logs. Recently, an emerging subarea of process mining, known as stochastic process discovery, has…

Databases · Computer Science 2025-03-07 Anna Kalenkova , Lewis Mitchell , Matthew Roughan

In stochastic modeling, the excess entropy -- the mutual information shared between a process's past and future -- represents the fundamental lower bound of the memory needed to simulate its dynamics. However, this bound cannot be saturated…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2026-02-27 Kelvin Onggadinata , Andrew Tanggara , Mile Gu , Dagomir Kaszlikowski

Predictive statistical mechanics is a form of inference from available data, without additional assumptions, for predicting reproducible phenomena. By applying it to systems with Hamiltonian dynamics, a problem of predicting the macroscopic…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-09-22 Domagoj Kuic

Quantum technologies offer a promising route to the efficient sampling and analysis of stochastic processes, with potential applications across the sciences. Such quantum advantages rely on the preparation of a quantum sample state of the…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2024-04-17 Chengran Yang , Marta Florido-Llin`as , Mile Gu , Thomas J. Elliott

Hidden Markov models have successfully been applied as models of discrete time series in many fields. Often, when applied in practice, the parameters of these models have to be estimated. The currently predominating identification methods,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-07-24 Robert Mattila , Cristian R. Rojas , Bo Wahlberg

We introduce an ambidextrous view of stochastic dynamical systems, comparing their forward-time and reverse-time representations and then integrating them into a single time-symmetric representation. The perspective is useful theoretically,…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-05-13 Christopher J. Ellison , John R. Mahoney , James P. Crutchfield

We recount recent history behind building compact models of nonlinear, complex processes and identifying their relevant macroscopic patterns or "macrostates". We give a synopsis of computational mechanics, predictive rate-distortion theory,…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2014-12-31 James P. Crutchfield , Ryan G. James , Sarah Marzen , Dowman P. Varn

A simple model of an irreversible process is introduced. The equation of iterations in the model includes a noise generation term. We study the properties of the system when the noise generation term is a stochastic process (e.g. a random…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2007-05-23 M. A. Sozanski , J. J. Zebrowski

Starting with a collection of traces generated by process executions, process discovery is the task of constructing a simple model that describes the process, where simplicity is often measured in terms of model size. The challenge of…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2024-04-17 Hanan Alkhammash , Artem Polyvyanyy , Alistair Moffat

We introduce a new interpretation of sparse variational approximations for Gaussian processes using inducing points, which can lead to more scalable algorithms than previous methods. It is based on decomposing a Gaussian process as a sum of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-02-27 Jiaxin Shi , Michalis K. Titsias , Andriy Mnih

In structured prediction problems where we have indirect supervision of the output, maximum marginal likelihood faces two computational obstacles: non-convexity of the objective and intractability of even a single gradient computation. In…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-08-11 Aditi Raghunathan , Roy Frostig , John Duchi , Percy Liang

The recent experimental progresses in handling microscopic systems have allowed to probe them at levels where fluctuations are prominent, calling for stochastic modeling in a large number of physical, chemical and biological phenomena. This…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2017-03-08 Stefano Bo , Antonio Celani

Computational mechanics is a method for discovering, describing and quantifying patterns, using tools from statistical physics. It constructs optimal, minimal models of stochastic processes and their underlying causal structures. These…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2007-05-23 Cosma Rohilla Shalizi , James P. Crutchfield

Hidden information emerges under impulse interactions with Markov diffusion process modeling interactive random environment. Impulse yes no action cuts Markov correlations revealing Bit of hidden information connected correlated states.…

Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems · Physics 2019-05-16 Vladimir S. Lerner