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We give an analogy between non-reversible Markov chains and electric networks much in the flavour of the classical reversible results originating from Kakutani, and later Kem\'eny-Snell-Knapp and Kelly. Non-reversibility is made possible by…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-08-23 Márton Balázs , Áron Folly

Let $X_n, n \ge 0$ be a Markov chain with finite state space $M$. If $x,y \in M$ such that $x$ is transient we have $P^y(X_n = x) \to 0$ for $n \to \infty$, and under mild aperiodicity conditions this convergence is monotone in that for…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-03-25 Philipp König , Thomas Richthammer

We test a Markov chain approximation to the segment description (Li, 2007) of chaos (and turbulence) on a tent map, the Minea system, the H\'enon map, and the Lorenz system. For the tent map, we compute the probability transition matrix of…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2010-02-05 Alexander Labovsky , Y. Charles Li

A stable-like Markov chain is a time-homogeneous Markov chain on the real line with the transition kernel $p(x,dy)=f_x(y-x)dy$, where the density functions $f_x(y)$, for large $|y|$, have a power-law decay with exponent $\alpha(x)+1$, where…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-12-01 Nikola Sandrić

Let $G$ be a finite tree with root $r$ and associate to the internal vertices of $G$ a collection of transition probabilities for a simple nondegenerate Markov chain. Embedd $G$ into a graph $G^\prime$ constructed by gluing finite linear…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Victor de la Pena , Henryk Gzyl , Patrick McDonald

Discrete-time discrete-state finite Markov chains are versatile mathematical models for a wide range of real-life stochastic processes. One of most common tasks in studies of Markov chains is computation of the stationary distribution.…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2022-09-07 Konstantin Avrachenkov , Patrick Brown , Nelly Litvak

We present a method to sample Markov-chain trajectories constrained to both the initial and final conditions, which we term Markov bridges. The trajectories are conditioned to end in a specific state at a given time. We derive the master…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2025-01-07 Guillaume Le Treut , Sarah Ancheta , Greg Huber , Henri Orland , David Yllanes

We prove that if $(X_n)_{n\geq 0}$ is a random walk on a transient graph such that the Green's function decays at least polynomially along the random walk, then $(X_n)_{n\geq 0}$ has infinitely many cut times almost surely. This condition…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-03-04 Noah Halberstam , Tom Hutchcroft

The recurrence features of persistent random walks built from variable length Markov chains are investigated. We observe that these stochastic processes can be seen as L{\'e}vy walks for which the persistence times depend on some internal…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-12-11 Peggy Cénac , Basile De Loynes , Yoann Offret , Arnaud Rousselle

The logarithmic conformal field theory describing critical percolation is further explored using Watts' determination of the probability that there exists a cluster connecting both horizontal and vertical edges. The boundary condition…

High Energy Physics - Theory · Physics 2009-02-02 David Ridout

We consider the two-dimensional simple random walk conditioned on never hitting the origin. This process is a Markov chain, namely it is the Doob $h$-transform of the simple random walk with respect to the potential kernel. It is known to…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-05-15 Nina Gantert , Serguei Popov , Marina Vachkovskaia

A common tool in the practice of Markov Chain Monte Carlo is to use approximating transition kernels to speed up computation when the desired kernel is slow to evaluate or intractable. A limited set of quantitative tools exist to assess the…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-01-14 Jeffrey Negrea , Jeffrey S. Rosenthal

We consider random walks among random conductances on $\mathbb{Z}^2$ and establish precise asymptotics for the associated potential kernel and the Green's function of the walk killed upon exiting balls. The result is proven for random walks…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-08-11 Sebastian Andres , Jean-Dominique Deuschel , Martin Slowik

We consider continuous-space, discrete-time Markov chains on $\mathbb{R}^d$, that admit a finite number $N$ of metastable states. Our main motivation for investigating these processes is to analyse random Poincar\'e maps, which describe…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-08-19 Nils Berglund

Let $\Gamma$ act on a countable set V with only finitely many orbits. Given a $\Gamma$-invariant random environment for a Markov chain on V and a random scenery, we exhibit, under certain conditions, an equivalent stationary measure for the…

Probability · Mathematics 2008-11-26 Russell Lyons , Oded Schramm

We consider hundreds of thousands of individual economic transactions to ask: how predictable are consumers in their merchant visitation patterns? Our results suggest that, in the long-run, much of our seemingly elective activity is…

Physics and Society · Physics 2013-05-07 Coco Krumme , Alejandro Llorente , Manuel Cebrián , Alex , Pentland , Esteban Moro

A layered graph $G^\times$ is the Cartesian product of a graph $G = (V,E)$ with the linear graph $Z$, e.g. $Z^\times$ is the 2D square lattice $Z^2$. For Bernoulli percolation with parameter $p \in [0,1]$ on $G^\times$ one intuitively would…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-03-25 Philipp König , Thomas Richthammer

We give recurrence and transience criteria for two cases of time-homogeneous Markov chains on the real line with transition kernel $p(x,dy)=f_x(y-x)dy$, where $f_x(y)$ are probability densities of symmetric distributions and, for large…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-08-20 Nikola Sandrić

We determine the precise asymptotic behaviour (in space) of the Green kernel of simple random walk with drift on the Diestel-Leader graph $DL(q,r)$, where $q,r \ge 2$. The latter is the horocyclic product of two homogeneous trees with…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-06-26 Sara Brofferio , Wolfgang Woess

We consider the first-passage percolation problem on the random graph with vertex set N\times{0,1}, edges joining vertices at Euclidean distance equal to unity and independent exponential edge weights. We provide a central limit theorem for…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-01-24 Eckhard Schlemm