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For a controllable linear time-varying (LTV) pair $(\boldsymbol{A}_t,\boldsymbol{B}_t)$ and $\boldsymbol{Q}_{t}$ positive semidefinite, we derive the Markov kernel for the It\^{o} diffusion…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-04-23 Alexis M. H. Teter , Wenqing Wang , Sachin Shivakumar , Abhishek Halder

Coalescent models of bifurcating genealogies are used to infer evolutionary parameters from molecular data. However, there are many situations where bifurcating genealogies do not accurately reflect the true underlying ancestral history of…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-06-13 Julie Zhang , Noah A. Rosenberg , Julia A. Palacios

We give a number of results on approximations of Markov kernels in total variation and Wasserstein norms weighted by a Lyapunov function. The results are applied to examples from Bayesian statistics where approximations to transition…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-07-09 James E. Johndrow , Jonathan C. Mattingly

We define a conjugate prior for the reversible Markov chain of order $r$. The prior arises from a partially exchangeable reinforced random walk, in the same way that the Beta distribution arises from the exchangeable Poly\'{a} urn. An…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2011-05-16 Sergio Bacallado

We study a system of two non-interacting quantum wires with fermions of opposite chirality with a point contact junction at the origin across which tunneling can take place when an arbitrary time-dependent bias between the wires is applied.…

Mesoscale and Nanoscale Physics · Physics 2022-02-02 Nikhil Danny Babu , Girish S. Setlur

Markov chains are fundamental models for stochastic dynamics, with applications in a wide range of areas such as population dynamics, queueing systems, reinforcement learning, and Monte Carlo methods. Estimating the transition matrix and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-01-26 Lasse Leskelä , Maximilien Dreveton

We investigate the transportation cost-information inequalities for bifurcating Markov chains which are a class of processes indexed by binary tree. These processes provide models for cell growth when each individual in one generation gives…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-01-28 Siméon Valère Bitseki Penda , Mikael Escobar-Bach , Arnaud Guillin

This paper considers the speed of convergence (mixing) of a finite Markov kernel $P$ with respect to the Kullback-Leibler divergence (entropy). Given a Markov kernel one defines either a discrete-time Markov chain (with the $n$-step…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-09-13 Pietro Caputo , Zongchen Chen , Yuzhou Gu , Yury Polyanskiy

Let $K$ be a self-similar set satisfying the open set condition. Following Kaimanovich's elegant idea, it has been proved that on the symbolic space $X$ of $K$ a natural augmented tree structure ${\mathfrak E}$ exists; it is hyperbolic, and…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-10-23 Shi-Lei Kong , Ka-Sing Lau , Ting-Kam Leonard Wong

A branching L\'evy process can be seen as the continuous-time version of a branching random walk. It describes a particle system on the real line in which particles move and reproduce independently in a Poissonian manner. Just as for L\'evy…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-05-21 Jean Bertoin , Bastien Mallein

We study the Markov chain on $\mathbf{F}_p$ obtained by applying a function $f$ and adding $\pm\gamma$ with equal probability. When $f$ is a linear function, this is the well-studied Chung--Diaconis--Graham process. We consider two cases:…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-03-08 Jimmy He

We present a new algorithm for the statistical model checking of Markov chains with respect to unbounded temporal properties, such as reachability and full linear temporal logic. The main idea is that we monitor each simulation run on the…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2016-03-04 Przemysław Daca , Thomas A. Henzinger , Jan Křetínský , Tatjana Petrov

This paper provides a new path method that can be used to determine when an ergodic continuous-time Markov chain on $\mathbb Z^d$ converges exponentially fast to its stationary distribution in $L^2$. Specifically, we provide general…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-10-02 David F. Anderson , Daniele Cappelletti , Wai-Tong Louis Fan , Jinsu Kim

We study a variable length Markov chain model associated with a group of stationary processes that share the same context tree but each process has potentially different conditional probabilities. We propose a new model selection and…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-01-01 Alexandre Belloni , Roberto I. Oliveira

We consider the problem of defining and fitting models of autoregressive time series of probability distributions on a compact interval of $\mathbb{R}$. An order-$1$ autoregressive model in this context is to be understood as a Markov…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-03-17 Laya Ghodrati , Victor M. Panaretos

Bayesian Decision Trees are known for their probabilistic interpretability. However, their construction can sometimes be costly. In this article we present a general Bayesian Decision Tree algorithm applicable to both regression and…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-09-23 Giuseppe Nuti , Lluís Antoni Jiménez Rugama , Andreea-Ingrid Cross

The spectral gap of a Markov chain can be bounded by the spectral gaps of constituent "restriction" chains and a "projection" chain, and the strength of such a bound is the content of various decomposition theorems. In this paper, we…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2019-10-14 Sarah Miracle , Amanda Pascoe Streib , Noah Streib

By introducing a new measure for the infinite Galton-Watson process and providing estimates for (discrete) Green's functions on trees, we establish the asymptotic behavior of the capacity of critical branching random walks: in high…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-04-12 Tianyi Bai , Yijun Wan

We want to consider fractals generated by a probabilistic iterated function scheme with open set condition and we want to interpret the probabilities as weights for every part of the fractal. In the homogenous case, where the weights are…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-07-18 Uta Freiberg , Stefan Kohl

Proposed is an alternative method for permutational sampling in quantum gases using the path integral formulation of statistical mechanics. It is shown that in principle we are able to use two operators which enable us to construct a Markov…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-13 Ryan Springall , Manolo Per , Ian K. Snook
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