Related papers: Conditional moments of q-Meixner processes

We consider a discrete time hidden Markov model where the signal is a stationary Markov chain. When conditioned on the observations, the signal is a Markov chain in a random environment under the conditional measure. It is shown that this…

A continuous-time Markov process $X$ can be conditioned to be in a given state at a fixed time $T > 0$ using Doob's $h$-transform. This transform requires the typically intractable transition density of $X$. The effect of the $h$-transform…

For a class of orthogonal polynomials related to the $q$-Meixner polynomials corresponding to an indeterminate moment problem we give a one-parameter family of orthogonality measures. For these measures we complement the orthogonal…

Let $X=\{X_t, t\ge0\}$ be a c\`{a}dl\`{a}g L\'{e}vy process, centered, with moments of all orders. There are two families of orthogonal polynomials associated with $X$. On one hand, the Kailath--Segall formula gives the relationship between…

We present a systematic analysis of stochastic processes conditioned on an empirical measure $Q_T$ defined in a time interval $[0,T]$ for large $T$. We build our analysis starting from a discrete time Markov chain. Results for a continuous…

Let $\{X_n\}$ be a stationary and ergodic time series taking values from a finite or countably infinite set ${\cal X}$. Assume that the distribution of the process is otherwise unknown. We propose a sequence of stopping times $\lambda_n$…

We consider a stochastic process which is (a) described by a continuous-time Markov chain on only short time-scales and (b) constrained to conserve a number of hidden quantities on long time-scales. We assume that the transition matrix of…

A fundamental result of Biane (1998) states that a process with freely independent increments has the Markov property, but that there are two kinds of free Levy processes: the first kind has stationary increments, while the second kind has…

Stochastic processes are encountered in many contexts, ranging from generation sizes of bacterial colonies and service times in a queueing system to displacements of Brownian particles and frequency fluctuations in an electrical power grid.…

In this brief paper we find computable exponential convergence rates for a large class of stochastically ordered Markov processes. We extend the result of Lund, Meyn, and Tweedie (1996), who found exponential convergence rates for…

We consider periodic Markov chains with absorption. Applying to iterates of this periodic Markov chain criteria for the exponential convergence of conditional distributions of aperiodic absorbed Markov chains, we obtain exponential…

This paper is devoted to parameter estimation for partially observed polynomial state space models. This class includes discretely observed affine or more generally polynomial Markov processes. The polynomial structure allows for the…

There is a well-established theory linking certain semi-Markov chains and continuous-time random walks to time-fractional equations and anomalous diffusion. In this work, we go beyond the semi-Markov framework by considering some…

Classical linear regression is considered for a case when regression parameters depend on the external random environment. The last is described as a continuous time Markov chain with finite state space. Here the expected sojourn times in…

New relations between ergodic rate, L_p convergence rates, and asymptotic behavior of tail probabilities for hitting times of a time homogeneous Markov process are established. For L_p convergence rates and related spectral and functional…

Exponential relaxation to equilibrium is a typical property of physical systems, but inhomogeneities are known to distort the exponential relaxation curve, leading to a wide variety of relaxation patterns. Power law relaxation is related to…

The probabilistic description of the time evolution of a physical system can take two conceptually distinct forms: a trajectory of probabilities, which specifies how probabilities evolve over time, and a probability on trajectories, which…

For any $n\geq 1$, let $T_n$ be the complete binary rooted tree of height $n$, and $f(x)=(x+a)^2-a-1$ such that $a\neq \pm b^2$ for any $b\in \mathbb{Z}$. In \cite{Settled}, Jones and Boston empirically observed that iteratively applying a…

The theory of monotonicity and duality is developed for general one-dimensional Feller processes. Moreover it is shown that local monotonicity conditions (conditions on the L\'evy kernel) are sufficient to prove the well-posedness of the…

The covariance function of a Gauss-Markov process evaluated at points $(s,t)$ admits a representation as a product of a function of $\min(s,t)$ and a function of $\max(s,t)$. We call these functions the covariance factors of a Gauss-Markov…