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Many AI researchers argue that probability theory is only capable of dealing with uncertainty in situations where a full specification of a joint probability distribution is available, and conclude that it is not suitable for application in…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-04-05 Linda C. van der Gaag

A calculator program has been written to give confidence intervals on branching ratios for rare decay modes (or similar quantities) calculated from the number of events observed, the acceptance factor, the background estimate and the…

High Energy Physics - Experiment · Physics 2011-07-19 Roger Barlow

Cluster indices describe extremal behaviour of stationary time series. We consider their sliding blocks estimators. Using a modern theory of multivariate, regularly varying time series, we obtain central limit theorems under conditions that…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-05-26 Youssouph Cissokho , Rafal Kulik

If the non-zero finite floating-point numbers are interpreted as point intervals, then the effect of rounding can be interpreted as computing one of the bounds of the result according to interval arithmetic. We give an interval…

Numerical Analysis · Computer Science 2008-10-24 W. W. Edmonson , M. H. van Emden

We give interpretations of some known key agreement protocols in the framework of category theory and in this way we give a method of constructing of many new key agreement protocols.

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2011-10-25 Nick Inassaridze , Manuel Ladra , Tamaz Kandelaki

In this paper we study the integrals of fractional parts of given functions, and develop some new tools to understand the behaviour of prime differences. We demonstrate how simply some seemingly difficult conjectures related to prime…

General Mathematics · Mathematics 2013-11-05 Roupam Ghosh

Point estimation of class prevalences in the presence of data set shift has been a popular research topic for more than two decades. Less attention has been paid to the construction of confidence and prediction intervals for estimates of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-07-23 Dirk Tasche

Classification is an important goal in many branches of mathematics. The idea is to describe the members of some class of mathematical objects, up to isomorphism or other important equivalence in terms of relatively simple invariants. Where…

Logic · Mathematics 2008-03-25 Wesley Calvert , Julia F. Knight

We show that it is possible to achieve the same accuracy, on average, as the most accurate existing interval methods for time series classification on a standard set of benchmark datasets using a single type of feature (quantiles), fixed…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-08-03 Angus Dempster , Daniel F. Schmidt , Geoffrey I. Webb

In this article, we propose an interval constraint programming method for globally solving catalog-based categorical optimization problems. It supports catalogs of arbitrary size and properties of arbitrary dimension, and does not require…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-01-23 Charlie Vanaret

Over the last few decades, various methods have been proposed for estimating prediction intervals in regression settings, including Bayesian methods, ensemble methods, direct interval estimation methods and conformal prediction methods. An…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-04-02 Nicolas Dewolf , Bernard De Baets , Willem Waegeman

This work connects two mathematical fields - computational complexity and interval linear algebra. It introduces the basic topics of interval linear algebra - regularity and singularity, full column rank, solving a linear system, deciding…

Computational Complexity · Computer Science 2016-02-02 Jaroslav Horáček , Milan Hladík , Michal Černý

Time series data is prevalent in a wide variety of real-world applications and it calls for trustworthy and explainable models for people to understand and fully trust decisions made by AI solutions. We consider the problem of building…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-11-25 Tsung-Yu Hsieh , Suhang Wang , Yiwei Sun , Vasant Honavar

Variance estimation is important for statistical inference. It becomes non-trivial when observations are masked by serial dependence structures and time-varying mean structures. Existing methods either ignore or sub-optimally handle these…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-01-03 Kin Wai Chan

In this note we provide a new proof of the Tikhonov theorem for the infinite time interval and discuss some of its applications.

Classical Analysis and ODEs · Mathematics 2019-12-02 Jacek Banasiak

We show how interval-based temporal separation on the extension of Moszkowski's discrete time interval temporal logic (Moszkowski, 1986) by the neighbourhood modalities (ITL-NL) and a lemma which is key in establishing this form of…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2026-02-12 Dimitar P. Guelev

To quantify uncertainty around point estimates of conditional objects such as conditional means or variances, parameter uncertainty has to be taken into account. Attempts to incorporate parameter uncertainty are typically based on the…

Econometrics · Economics 2019-01-23 Eric Beutner , Alexander Heinemann , Stephan Smeekes

A conjecture concerning some pairs of interfering estimates for some integrals is formulated in three equivalent versions. Its importance for the the Paley problem for plurisubharmonic functions and for certain classes of extremal problems…

Complex Variables · Mathematics 2010-05-24 Bulat N. Khabibullin

In this short note, we construct a class of models of an extension of homotopy type theory, which we call homotopy type theory with an interval type.

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2020-07-15 Valery Isaev

Under a general structural equation framework for causal inference, we provide a definition of the causal effect of a variable X on another variable Y, and propose an approach to estimate this causal effect via the use of instrumental…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-04-26 Wing Hung Wong