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We prove the Categorified Wrapping Number Conjecture for large classes of annular links, including alternating annular links and tangle closures exhibiting plumbed link phenomena. We do so by characterizing when a resolution is sufficient…

Geometric Topology · Mathematics 2025-01-07 Benjamin Daniels , Melissa Zhang

Uncertainty quantification is essential in decision-making, especially when joint distributions of random variables are involved. While conformal prediction provides distribution-free prediction sets with valid coverage guarantees, it…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-01-03 Rui Luo , Zhixin Zhou

We define a generalized likelihood function based on uncertainty measures and show that maximizing such a likelihood function for different measures induces different types of classifiers. In the probabilistic framework, we obtain…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2013-01-18 Loo-Nin Teow , Kia-Fock Loe

A Steiner type formula for continuous translation invariant Minkowski valuations is established. In combination with a recent result on the symmetry of rigid motion invariant homogeneous bivaluations, this new Steiner type formula is used…

Metric Geometry · Mathematics 2012-08-01 Lukas Parapatits , Franz E. Schuster

Ongoing developments in neural network models are continually advancing the state of the art in terms of system accuracy. However, the predicted labels should not be regarded as the only core output; also important is a well-calibrated…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-01-08 Gil Keren , Nicholas Cummins , Björn Schuller

We give an introduction to the theory of cluster categories and cluster tilted algebras. We include some background on the theory of cluster algebras, and discuss the interplay with cluster categories and cluster tilted algebras.

Representation Theory · Mathematics 2010-12-30 Idun Reiten

Proper scoring rules are methods for encouraging honest assessment of probability distributions. Just like likelihood, a proper scoring rule can be applied to supply an unbiased estimating equation for any statistical model, and the theory…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-04-28 Philip Dawid , Monica Musio , Laura Ventura

We consider the contextual fraction as a quantitative measure of contextuality of empirical models, i.e. tables of probabilities of measurement outcomes in an experimental scenario. It provides a general way to compare the degree of…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2017-08-09 Samson Abramsky , Rui Soares Barbosa , Shane Mansfield

We present a solution to the problem of understanding a system that produces a sequence of temporally ordered observations. Our solution is based on generating and interpreting a set of temporal decision rules. A temporal decision rule is a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2010-04-21 Kamran Karimi , Howard J. Hamilton

Accurate quantification of model uncertainty has long been recognized as a fundamental requirement for trusted AI. In regression tasks, uncertainty is typically quantified using prediction intervals calibrated to a specific operating point,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-06-03 Jiri Navratil , Benjamin Elder , Matthew Arnold , Soumya Ghosh , Prasanna Sattigeri

This article aims to explain essential elements of perturbation theory and their conceptual underpinnings. It is not meant as a summary of popular perturbation methods, though some illustrative examples are given to underline the main…

History and Overview · Mathematics 2022-12-15 Nicolas Fillion , Robert M. Corless

The representation theory for categorical groups is constructed. Each categorical group determines a monoidal bicategory of representations. Typically, these categories contain representations which are indecomposable but not irreducible. A…

Category Theory · Mathematics 2007-05-23 John W. Barrett , Marco Mackaay

We introduce inference methods for score decompositions, which partition scoring functions for predictive assessment into three interpretable components: miscalibration, discrimination, and uncertainty. Our estimation and inference relies…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-03-05 Timo Dimitriadis , Marius Puke

This work considers special types of interval linear systems - overdetermined systems. Simply said these systems have more equations than variables. The solution set of an interval linear system is a collection of all solutions of all…

Numerical Analysis · Computer Science 2013-04-18 Jaroslav Horáček , Milan Hladík

Contribution to the discussion of the paper "Causal inference using invariant prediction: identification and confidence intervals" by Peters, B\"uhlmann and Meinshausen, to appear in the Journal of the Royal Statistical Society, Series B.

Methodology · Statistics 2016-05-27 Chris J. Oates , Jessica Kasza , Sach Mukherjee

In the regularly varying time series setting, a cluster of exceedances is a short period for which the supremum norm exceeds a high threshold. We propose to study a generalization of this notion considering short periods, or blocks, with…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-07-22 Gloria Buriticá , Thomas Mikosch , Olivier Wintenberger

We propose an inference procedure for estimators defined by mathematical programming problems, focusing on the important special cases of linear programming (LP) and quadratic programming (QP). In these settings, the coefficients in both…

Econometrics · Economics 2017-09-27 Yu-Wei Hsieh , Xiaoxia Shi , Matthew Shum

We present an elementary system of axioms for the geometry of Minkowski spacetime. It strikes a balance between a simple and streamlined set of axioms and the attempt to give a direct formalization in first-order logic of the standard…

History and Philosophy of Physics · Physics 2020-07-28 Lorenzo Cocco , Joshua Babic

Bayesian inference is widely used in many different fields to test hypotheses against observations. In most such applications, an assumption is made of precise input values to produce a precise output value. However, this is unrealistic for…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-09-12 John T. Rickard , William A. Dembski , James Rickards

To adequately model mathematical arguments the analyst must be able to represent the mathematical objects under discussion and the relationships between them, as well as inferences drawn about these objects and relationships as the…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2018-07-17 Joseph Corneli , Ursula Martin , Dave Murray-Rust , Gabriela Rino Nesin , Alison Pease
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