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In the common time series model $X_{i,n} = \mu (i/n) + \varepsilon_{i,n}$ with non-stationary errors we consider the problem of detecting a significant deviation of the mean function $\mu$ from a benchmark $g (\mu )$ (such as the initial…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-05-25 Holger Dette , Florian Heinrichs

This article presents a construction of the concept of stochastic integration in Riemannian manifolds from a purely functional-analytic point of view. We show that there are infinitely many such integrals, and that any two of them are…

Functional Analysis · Mathematics 2023-06-01 Alexandru Mustăţea

We consider a stationary linear AR($p$) model with unknown mean. The autoregression parameters as well as the distribution function (d.f.) $G$ of innovations are unknown. The observations contain gross errors (outliers). The distribution of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-08-22 Michael Boldin

It is known that the class $\mathcal{U}_{\beta}$, of generalized s-selfdecom-posable probability distributions, can be viewed as an image via random integral mapping $\mathcal{J}^{\beta}$ of the class $ID$ of all infinitely divisible…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-03-04 Zbigniew J. Jurek

Let $X_n$ be a discrete time Markov chain with state space $S$ (countably infinite, in general) and initial probability distribution $\mu^{(0)} = (P(X_0=i_1),P(X_0=i_2),\cdots,)$. What is the probability of choosing in random some $k \in…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-08-01 Nikolaos Halidias

Let $\xi_0,\xi_1,...$ be independent identically distributed (i.i.d.) random variables such that $\E \log (1+|\xi_0|)<\infty$. We consider random analytic functions of the form $$ G_n(z)=\sum_{k=0}^{\infty} \xi_k f_{k,n} z^k, $$ where…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-10-02 Zakhar Kabluchko , Dmitry Zaporozhets

We prove It{\^o}'s formula for the flow of measures associated with a jump process defined by a drift, an integral with respect to a Poisson random measure and with respect to the associated compensated Poisson random measure. We work in…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-11-30 Thomas Cavallazzi

In this article we study existence of pathwise stochastic integrals with respect to a general class of $n$-dimensional Gaussian processes and a wide class of adapted integrands. More precisely, we study integrands which are functions that…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-11-25 Zhe Chen , Lauri Viitasaari

This paper is devoted to investigation of supremum of averaged deviations $|X(t)-f(t)-\int_{\mathbb {T}}(X(u)-f(u))\,\mathrm {d}\mu(u)/\mu(\mathbb {T})|$ of a stochastic process from Orlicz space of random variables using the method of…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-11-21 Rostyslav Yamnenko

In this paper, we consider an extension of the Poisson random measure for the formulation of continuous-time reinforcement learning, such that both the frequency and the width of the jumps depend on the path. Starting from a general point…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-09-04 Konatsu Miyamoto

We study the normal approximation of functionals of Poisson measures having the form of a finite sum of multiple integrals. When the integrands are nonnegative, our results yield necessary and sufficient conditions for central limit…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-06-26 Raphael Lachieze-Rey , Giovanni Peccati

Let $(X_n)_{n\in \mathbb Z}$ be a GARCH process with $E(X_0^4)<\infty$, and let $\mu_n$ denote the distribution of $\frac 1{{\sqrt n}}\sum_{i=1}^n [X_i^2-\mathbb E(X_0^2)]$. We derive a numerical approximation of $\mu_n$ when $x_1,...,x_n$…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-02-27 Marc Taberner-Ortiz , Manfred Denker

This paper proves that, under a monotonicity condition, the invariant probability measure of a McKean--Vlasov process can be approximated by weighted empirical measures of some processes including itself. These processes are described by…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-12-30 Kai Du , Yifan Jiang , Jinfeng Li

This work deals with the measurability of Fourier integral operators (FIOs) with random phase and amplitude functions. The key ingredient is the proof that FIOs depend continuously on their phase and amplitude functions, taken from suitable…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2022-08-15 Michael Oberguggenberger , Martin Schwarz

We consider a Markov chain on $\mathbb{R}^d$ with invariant measure $\mu$. We are interested in the rate of convergence of the empirical measures towards the invariant measure with respect to various dual distances, including in particular…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-10-13 Adrian Riekert

We consider the problem of estimating the joint distribution of $n$ independent random variables. Our approach is based on a family of candidate probabilities that we shall call a model and which is chosen to either contain the true…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-06-01 Yannick Baraud

Stochastic ordering of distributions of random variables may be defined by the relative convexity of the tail functions. This has been extended to higher order stochastic orderings, by iteratively reassigning tail-weights. The actual…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-03-14 Idir Arab , Paulo Eduardo Oliveira

We determine the joint limiting distribution of adjacent spacings around a central, intermediate, or an extreme order statistic $X_{k:n}$ of a random sample of size $n$ from a continuous distribution $F$. For central and intermediate cases,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-02-21 H. N. Nagaraja , Karthik Bharath , Fangyuan Zhang

We consider a situation where the distribution of a random variable is being estimated by the empirical distribution of noisy measurements of that variable. This is common practice in, for example, teacher value-added models and other…

Econometrics · Economics 2021-12-08 Koen Jochmans , Martin Weidner

We prove tail estimates for variables $\sum_i f(X_i)$, where $(X_i)_i$ is the trajectory of a random walk on an undirected graph (or, equivalently, a reversible Markov chain). The estimates are in terms of the maximum of the function $f$,…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-12-25 Roy Wagner
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