Remarks on stationary GARCH processes under heavy tail distributions
Statistics Theory
2026-02-27 v1 Probability
Statistics Theory
Abstract
Let be a GARCH process with , and let denote the distribution of . We derive a numerical approximation of when are observed. This yields the derivation of confidence intervals for and we investigate the accuracy of these confidence intervals in comparison with standard ones based on normal approximation. Moreover, when the innovation process has heavy tail distribution, we improve the method using a new resampling method.
Cite
@article{arxiv.2602.22929,
title = {Remarks on stationary GARCH processes under heavy tail distributions},
author = {Marc Taberner-Ortiz and Manfred Denker},
journal= {arXiv preprint arXiv:2602.22929},
year = {2026}
}