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Polya Enumeration Theorem is one of the most useful tools dealing with the enumeration of patterns that are symmetric in some ways. What follows is a procedure for obtaining the results of Polya Theorem directly, bypassing the usual…

History and Overview · Mathematics 2010-01-05 Kung-Wei Yang

We develop dependent hierarchical normalized random measures and apply them to dynamic topic modeling. The dependency arises via superposition, subsampling and point transition on the underlying Poisson processes of these measures. The…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2012-06-22 Changyou Chen , Nan Ding , Wray Buntine

We present a new approach to study measures on ensembles of contours, polymers or other objects interacting by some sort of exclusion condition. For concreteness we develop it here for the case of Peierls contours. Unlike existing methods,…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-08-15 Roberto Fernández , Pablo A. Ferrari , Nancy L. Garcia

Generating random variates from high-dimensional distributions is often done approximately using Markov chain Monte Carlo. In certain cases, perfect simulation algorithms exist that allow one to draw exactly from the stationary…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2017-01-05 Mark Huber

The two-parameter Macdonald polynomials are a central object of algebraic combinatorics and representation theory. We give a Markov chain on partitions of k with eigenfunctions the coefficients of the Macdonald polynomials when expanded in…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-07-28 Persi Diaconis , Arun Ram

The paper considers very general multivariate modifications of Cramer-Lundberg risk model. The claims can be of different types and can arrive in groups. The groups arrival processes within a type have constant intensities. The counting…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-03-14 Pavlina K. Jordanova , Milan Stehlik

We propose the use of probability models for ranked data as a useful alternative to a quantitative data analysis to investigate the outcome of bioassay experiments, when the preliminary choice of an appropriate normalization method for the…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-01-08 Cristina Mollica , Luca Tardella

We develop a non-negative polynomial minimum-norm likelihood ratio (PLR) of two distributions of which only moments are known. The sample PLR converges to the unknown population PLR under mild conditions. The methodology allows for…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-09-06 Caio Almeida , Ricardo Masini , Paul Schneider

We study the supremum of some random Dirichlet polynomials with independent coefficients and obtain sharp upper and lower bounds for supremum expectation thus extending the results from our previous work (see…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-04-23 Mikhail Lifshits , Michel Weber

The Dirichlet process mixture model and more general mixtures based on discrete random probability measures have been shown to be flexible and accurate models for density estimation and clustering. The goal of this paper is to illustrate…

Methodology · Statistics 2013-10-02 Ernesto Barrios , Antonio Lijoi , Luis E. Nieto-Barajas , Igor Prünster

We propose new Markov Chain Monte Carlo algorithms to sample probability distributions on submanifolds, which generalize previous methods by allowing the use of set-valued maps in the proposal step of the MCMC algorithms. The motivation for…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2021-10-07 Tony Lelièvre , Gabriel Stoltz , Wei Zhang

In this paper, we present two classes of Bayesian approaches to the two-sample problem. Our first class of methods extends the Bayesian t-test to include all parametric models in the exponential family and their conjugate priors. Our second…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2009-06-23 Karsten M. Borgwardt , Zoubin Ghahramani

An efficient implementation of the Polya-Aeppli, or geometirc compound Poisson, distribution in the statistical programming language R is presented. The implementation is available as the package polyaAeppli and consists of functions for…

Computation · Statistics 2014-06-12 Conrad J. Burden

In the article random functions in modules over the octonion algebra and Cayley-Dickson algebras are investigated. For their study transition measures with values in the octonion algebra and Cayley-Dickson algebras are used. Stochastic…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-12-15 S. V. Ludkowski

We introduce the Generalized Rescaled Polya (GRP) urn, that provides a generative model for a chi-squared test of goodness of fit for the long-term probabilities of clustered data, with independence between clusters and correlation, due to…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-03-30 Giacomo Aletti , Irene Crimaldi

Bayesian supervised predictive classifiers, hypothesis testing, and parametric estimation under Partition Exchangeability are implemented. The two classifiers presented are the marginal classifier (that assumes test data is i.i.d.) next to…

Computation · Statistics 2021-12-06 Ville Kinnula , Jing Tang , Ali Amiryousefi

The method of potential solutions of Fokker-Planck equations is used to develop a transport equation for the joint probability of N stochastic variables with Lochner's generalized Dirichlet distribution (R.H. Lochner, A Generalized…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2013-10-02 J. Bakosi , J. R. Ristorcelli

In a prequential approach to algorithmic randomness, probabilities for the next outcome can be forecast `on the fly' without the need for fully specifying a probability measure on all possible sequences of outcomes, as is the case in the…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-04-26 Floris Persiau , Gert de Cooman

A basic experiment in probability theory is drawing without replacement from an urn filled with multiple balls of different colours. Clearly, it is physically impossible to overdraw, that is, to draw more balls from the urn than it…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-12-21 Bart Jacobs , Dario Stein

We develop a technique for generalising from data in which models are samplers represented as program text. We establish encouraging empirical results that suggest that Markov chain Monte Carlo probabilistic programming inference techniques…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2014-07-11 Yura N. Perov , Frank D. Wood