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We introduce multiple hidden Markov models (MHMMs) where an observed multivariate categorical time series depends on an unobservable multivariate Mar- kov chain. MHMMs provide an elegant framework for specifying various independence…

Methodology · Statistics 2013-09-17 Roberto Colombi , Sabrina Giordano

Perturbation theory can be reformulated as dynamical theory. Then a sequence of perturbative approximations is bijective to a trajectory of dynamical system with discrete time, called the approximation cascade. Here we concentrate our…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-06-25 V. I. Yukalov , E. P. Yukalova

Let 0<\alpha<1/2. We show that the mixing time of a continuous-time reversible Markov chain on a finite state space is about as large as the largest expected hitting time of a subset of stationary measure at least \alpha of the state space.…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-08-28 Roberto Imbuzeiro Oliveira

We take on a Random Matrix theory viewpoint to study the spectrum of certain reversible Markov chains in random environment. As the number of states tends to infinity, we consider the global behavior of the spectrum, and the local behavior…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-06-15 Charles Bordenave , Pietro Caputo , Djalil Chafai

We consider a class of small-sample distribution estimators over noisy channels. Our estimators are designed for repetition channels, and rely on properties of the runs of the observed sequences. These runs are modeled via a special type of…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2012-02-07 Farzad Farnoud , Narayana P. Santhanam , Olgica Milenkovic

In this paper, the problem of non-fragile finite-time stabilization for linear discrete mean-field stochastic systems is studied. The uncertain characteristics in control parameters are assumed to be random satisfying the Bernoulli…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-01-24 Tianliang Zhang , Feiqi Deng , Peng Shi

We are interested in quasi-stationarity and quasi-ergodicity when the absorbing boundary is moving. First we show that, in the moving boundary case, the quasi-stationary distribution and the quasi-limiting distribution are not well-defined…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-11-25 William Oçafrain

We study quasi-stationary distributions and quasi-limiting behavior of Markov chains in general reducible state spaces with absorption. We propose a set of assumptions dealing with particular situations where the state space can be…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-01-14 Nicolas Champagnat , Denis Villemonais

We consider a random model for directed graphs whereby an arc is placed from one vertex to another with a prescribed probability which may vary from arc to arc. Using perturbation bounds as well as Chernoff inequalities, we show that the…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-09-20 Franklin H. J. Kenter

In this paper we discuss how the notion of subgeometric ergodicity in Markov chain theory can be exploited to study stationarity and ergodicity of nonlinear time series models. Subgeometric ergodicity means that the transition probability…

Econometrics · Economics 2020-11-11 Mika Meitz , Pentti Saikkonen

We study a colored generalization of the famous simple-switch Markov chain for sampling the set of graphs with a fixed degree sequence. Here we consider the space of graphs with colored vertices, in which we fix the degree sequence and…

Discrete Mathematics · Computer Science 2026-05-06 Félix Almendra-Hernández , Jesús A. De Loera , Sonja Petrović

A continuous-time random walk in the quarter plane with homogeneous transition rates is considered. Given a non-negative reward function on the state space, we are interested in the expected stationary performance. Since a direct derivation…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-08-31 Xinwei Bai , Jasper Goseling

The equilibrium distributions of a Markovian model describing the interaction of several classes of permanent connections in a network are analyzed. It has been introduced by Graham and Robert. For this model each of the connections has a…

Networking and Internet Architecture · Computer Science 2015-05-13 Carl Graham , Philippe Robert , Maaike Verloop

This paper deals with stability of discrete-time switched linear systems whose all subsystems are unstable. We present sufficient conditions on the subsystems matrices such that a switched system is globally exponentially stable under a set…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-11-11 Atreyee Kundu

Consider a discrete time, ergodic Markov chain with finite state space which is started from stationarity. Fill and Lyzinski (2014) showed that, in some cases, the hitting time for a given state may be represented as a sum of a geometric…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-12-20 Fraser Daly

An important problem in applied dynamical systems is to compute the external forcing that provokes the largest response of a desired observable quantity. For this, we investigate the perturbation theory of Markov matrices in connection with…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2025-07-21 Manuel Santos Gutierrez , Niccolo Zagli , Giulia Carigi

Many economic models feature monotone Markov dynamics on state spaces that may be noncompact. Establishing existence, uniqueness, and stability of stationary distributions in such settings has required a patchwork of sufficient conditions,…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-04-07 Takashi Kamihigashi , John Stachurski

We consider the problem of defining and fitting models of autoregressive time series of probability distributions on a compact interval of $\mathbb{R}$. An order-$1$ autoregressive model in this context is to be understood as a Markov…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-03-17 Laya Ghodrati , Victor M. Panaretos

A method of constructing Markov chains on finite state spaces is provided. The chain is specified by three constraints: stationarity, dependence and marginal distributions. The generalized Pythagorean theorem in information geometry plays a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-07-26 Tomonari Sei

The conventional perspective on Markov chains considers decision problems concerning the probabilities of temporal properties being satisfied by traces of visited states. However, consider the following query made of a stochastic system…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2024-06-24 Rajab Aghamov , Christel Baier , Toghrul Karimov , Joris Nieuwveld , Joël Ouaknine , Jakob Piribauer , Mihir Vahanwala
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