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Current methods for learning graphical models with latent variables and a fixed structure estimate optimal values for the model parameters. Whereas this approach usually produces overfitting and suboptimal generalization performance,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2013-01-30 Hagai Attias

Valuation networks have been proposed as graphical representations of valuation-based systems (VBSs). The VBS framework is able to capture many uncertainty calculi including probability theory, Dempster-Shafer's belief-function theory,…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-03-08 Prakash P. Shenoy

Dynamic Bayesian networks have been well explored in the literature as discrete-time models: however, their continuous-time extensions have seen comparatively little attention. In this paper, we propose the first constraint-based algorithm…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2021-06-04 Alessandro Bregoli , Marco Scutari , Fabio Stella

We examine Bayesian methods for learning Bayesian networks from a combination of prior knowledge and statistical data. In particular, we unify the approaches we presented at last year's conference for discrete and Gaussian domains. We…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2021-07-01 David Heckerman , Dan Geiger

There is increasing interest in learning how human brain networks vary as a function of a continuous trait, but flexible and efficient procedures to accomplish this goal are limited. We develop a Bayesian semiparametric model, which…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-02-02 Lu Wang , Daniele Durante , Rex E. Jung , David B. Dunson

We introduce a deterministic variational formulation for training Bayesian last layer neural networks. This yields a sampling-free, single-pass model and loss that effectively improves uncertainty estimation. Our variational Bayesian last…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-04-18 James Harrison , John Willes , Jasper Snoek

We consider the problem of inferring the values of an arbitrary set of variables (e.g., risk of diseases) given other observed variables (e.g., symptoms and diagnosed diseases) and high-dimensional signals (e.g., MRI images or EEG). This is…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-02-07 Hao Wang , Chengzhi Mao , Hao He , Mingmin Zhao , Tommi S. Jaakkola , Dina Katabi

We present an efficient, principled, and interpretable technique for inferring module assignments and for identifying the optimal number of modules in a given network. We show how several existing methods for finding modules can be…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2008-06-23 Jake M. Hofman , Chris H. Wiggins

Established methods for structural elicitation typically rely on code modelling standard graphical models classes, most often Bayesian networks. However, more appropriate models may arise from asking the expert questions in common language…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-07-11 Rachel L. Wilkerson , Jim Q. Smith

In this paper, we present a guide to the foundations of learning Dynamic Bayesian Networks (DBNs) from data in the form of multiple samples of trajectories for some length of time. We present the formalism for a generic as well as a set of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-09-02 Vyacheslav Kungurtsev , Fadwa Idlahcen , Petr Rysavy , Pavel Rytir , Ales Wodecki

We explore the positive geometry of statistical models in the setting of toric varieties. Our focus lies on models for discrete data that are parameterized in terms of Cox coordinates. We develop a geometric theory for computations in…

Algebraic Geometry · Mathematics 2023-03-23 Michael Borinsky , Anna-Laura Sattelberger , Bernd Sturmfels , Simon Telen

This paper analyzes irrelevance and independence relations in graphical models associated with convex sets of probability distributions (called Quasi-Bayesian networks). The basic question in Quasi-Bayesian networks is, How can…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-02-01 Fabio Gagliardi Cozman

Analyzing and understanding the structure of complex relational data is important in many applications including analysis of the connectivity in the human brain. Such networks can have prominent patterns on different scales, calling for a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2013-11-22 Mikkel N. Schmidt , Tue Herlau , Morten Mørup

Recently several researchers have investigated techniques for using data to learn Bayesian networks containing compact representations for the conditional probability distributions (CPDs) stored at each node. The majority of this work has…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2015-05-19 David Maxwell Chickering , David Heckerman , Christopher Meek

Discrete max-linear Bayesian networks are directed graphical models specified by the same recursive structural equations as max-linear models but with discrete innovations. When all of the random variables in the model are binary, these…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-12-15 Benjamin Hollering , Seth Sullivant

We explore to what extent the underlying variety of a connected algebraic group or the underlying manifold of a real Lie group determines its group structure.

Algebraic Geometry · Mathematics 2022-02-02 Vladimir L. Popov

Three classes of stochastic networks and their performance measures are considered. These performance measures are defined as the expected value of some random variables and cannot normally be obtained analytically as functions of network…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2012-10-24 Nikolai Krivulin

Coloured probability tree models are statistical models coding conditional independence between events depicted in a tree graph. They are more general than the very important class of context-specific Bayesian networks. In this paper, we…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-06-16 Eliana Duarte , Christiane Görgen

We introduce a new family of network models, called hierarchical network models, that allow us to represent in an explicit manner the stochastic dependence among the dyads (random ties) of the network. In particular, each member of this…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-11-27 Kayvan Sadeghi , Alessandro Rinaldo

Bayesian neural networks utilize probabilistic layers that capture uncertainty over weights and activations, and are trained using Bayesian inference. Since these probabilistic layers are designed to be drop-in replacement of their…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-06-28 Daniel T. Chang