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Related papers: Non-Markovian Optimal Prediction

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This paper is concerned with correlation functions of stochastic systems with memory, a prominent example being a molecule or colloid moving through a complex (e.g., viscoelastic) fluid environment. Analytical investigations of such systems…

Soft Condensed Matter · Physics 2021-02-24 Timo J. Doerries , Sarah A. M. Loos , Sabine H. L. Klapp

Moment methods are classical approaches that approximate the mesoscopic radiative transfer equation by a system of macroscopic moment equations. An expansion in the angular variables transforms the original equation into a system of…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2023-08-17 Martin Frank , Benjamin Seibold

Based on information theory, we present a method to determine an optimal Markov approximation for modelling and prediction from time series data. The method finds a balance between minimal modelling errors by taking as much as possible…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2013-05-29 Detlef Holstein , Holger Kantz

This paper considers the problem of reconstructing missing parts of functions based on their observed segments. It provides, for Gaussian processes and arbitrary bijective transformations thereof, theoretical expressions for the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-11-04 Pauliina Ilmonen , Nourhan Shafik , Tommi Sottinen , Germain Van Bever , Lauri Viitasaari

We examine the problem of predicting the evolution of solutions of the Kuramoto-Sivashinsky equation when initial data are missing. We use the optimal prediction method to construct equations for the reduced system. The resulting equations…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-10-20 Panagiotis Stinis

Analysis of non-Markovian systems and memory induced phenomena poses an everlasting challenge for physics. As a paradigmatic example we consider a classical Brownian particle of mass $M$ subjected to an external force and exposed to…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2024-05-21 Mateusz Wiśniewski , Jerzy Łuczka , Jakub Spiechowicz

Diffusive approximations of Markov jump processes often fail to accurately capture large fluctuations. This is confounding, as the rare events triggered by these large fluctuations, such as the failure of electronic memories, are often the…

Mesoscale and Nanoscale Physics · Physics 2025-12-17 David Roberts , Trevor McCourt , Geremia Massarelli , Jeremy Rothschild , Nahuel Freitas

In this paper we develop proximal methods for statistical learning. Proximal point algorithms are useful in statistics and machine learning for obtaining optimization solutions for composite functions. Our approach exploits closed-form…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-06-02 Nicholas G. Polson , James G. Scott , Brandon T. Willard

We propose a new method for optimistic planning in infinite-horizon discounted Markov decision processes based on the idea of adding regularization to the updates of an otherwise standard approximate value iteration procedure. This…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-06-16 Antoine Moulin , Gergely Neu

Monte Carlo optimizations of Number Partitioning and of Diophantine approximations are microscopic realizations of `Trap Model' dynamics. This offers a fresh look at the physics behind this model, and points at other situations in which it…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-10 I. Junier , J. Kurchan

We propose a variational method to solve all three estimation problems for nonlinear stochastic dynamical systems: prediction, filtering, and smoothing. Our new approach is based upon a proper choice of cost function, termed the {\it…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2007-05-23 Gregory L. Eyink

Stochastic approximation methods play a central role in maximum likelihood estimation problems involving intractable likelihood functions, such as marginal likelihoods arising in problems with missing or incomplete data, and in parametric…

Computation · Statistics 2020-06-02 Valentin De Bortoli , Alain Durmus , Marcelo Pereyra , Ana F. Vidal

In nuclear fusion and fission, fluctuation and dissipation arise due to the coupling of collective degrees of freedom with internal excitations. Close to the barrier, both quantum, statistical and non-Markovian effects are expected to be…

Nuclear Theory · Physics 2010-04-06 G. Hupin , D. Lacroix

Inspired by the Boltzmann kinetics, we propose a collision-based dynamics with a Monte Carlo solution algorithm that approximates the solution of the multi-marginal optimal transport problem via randomized pairwise swapping of sample…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-08-05 Mohsen Sadr , Hossein Gorji

Optimizing highly complex cost/energy functions over discrete variables is at the heart of many open problems across different scientific disciplines and industries. A major obstacle is the emergence of many-body effects among certain…

An effective method to obtain exact analytical solutions of equations describing the coherent dynamics of multilevel systems is presented. The method is based on the usage of orthogonal polynomials, integral transforms and their discrete…

Classical Analysis and ODEs · Mathematics 2007-05-23 V. A. Savva , V. I. Zelenkov , A. S. Mazurenko

Most reinforcement learning methods are based upon the key assumption that the transition dynamics and reward functions are fixed, that is, the underlying Markov decision process is stationary. However, in many real-world applications, this…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-09-23 Yash Chandak , Georgios Theocharous , Shiv Shankar , Martha White , Sridhar Mahadevan , Philip S. Thomas

We discuss non-Euclidean deterministic and stochastic algorithms for optimization problems with strongly and uniformly convex objectives. We provide accuracy bounds for the performance of these algorithms and design methods which are…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2014-01-09 Anatoli Iouditski , Yuri Nesterov

Statistical solutions are time-parameterized probability measures on spaces of integrable functions, that have been proposed recently as a framework for global solutions and uncertainty quantification for multi-dimensional hyperbolic system…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2024-09-23 Ulrik Skre Fjordholm , Kjetil Lye , Siddhartha Mishra , Franziska Weber

This article presents a constrained policy optimization approach for the optimal control of systems under nonstationary uncertainties. We introduce an assumption that we call Markov embeddability that allows us to cast the stochastic…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-05-11 Sungho Shin , François Pacaud , Emil Contantinescu , Mihai Anitescu