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This work delves into presenting a probabilistic method for analyzing linear process data with weakly dependent innovations, focusing on detecting change-points in the mean and estimating its spectral density. We develop a test for…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-10-01 Ramkrishna Jyoti Samanta

This work introduces and compares approaches for estimating rare-event probabilities related to the number of edges in the random geometric graph on a Poisson point process. In the one-dimensional setting, we derive closed-form expressions…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-07-14 Christian Hirsch , Sarat B. Moka , Thomas Taimre , Dirk P. Kroese

Estimating the p-th frequency moment of data stream is a very heavily studied problem. The problem is actually trivial when p = 1, assuming the strict Turnstile model. The sample complexity of our proposed algorithm is essentially O(1) near…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2015-03-14 Ping Li

A stochastic algorithm is proposed, finding some elements from the set of intrinsic $p$-mean(s) associated to a probability measure $\nu$ on a compact Riemannian manifold and to $p\in[1,\infty)$. It is fed sequentially with independent…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-06-24 Marc Arnaudon , Laurent Miclo

In quantitative finance, it is often necessary to analyze the distribution of the sum of specific functions of observed values at discrete points of an underlying process. Examples include the probability density function, the hedging…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2019-08-15 Jong Jun Park , Kyungsub Lee

Isotonic regression provides a flexible, tuning-free approach to estimating monotonic functions without imposing global curvature constraints, yet the estimated regression function is inherently a step function. This paper addresses a key…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-19 Timo Kuosmanen , Juan F. Monge , José L. Ruiz , Xun Zhou

Probabilistic graphical models have emerged as a powerful modeling tool for several real-world scenarios where one needs to reason under uncertainty. A graphical model's partition function is a central quantity of interest, and its…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2021-05-25 Durgesh Agrawal , Yash Pote , Kuldeep S Meel

S&P 500 index data sampled at one-minute intervals over the course of 11.5 years (January 1989- May 2000) is analyzed, and in particular the Hurst parameter over segments of stationarity (the time period over which the Hurst parameter is…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2008-12-02 Erhan Bayraktar , H. Vincent Poor , Ronnie Sircar

We study the scale function of the spectrally negative phase-type Levy process. Its scale function admits an analytical expression and so do a number of its fluctuation identities. Motivated by the fact that the class of phase-type…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-03-17 Masahiko Egami , Kazutoshi Yamazaki

The Gaussian process (GP) is a popular way to specify dependencies between random variables in a probabilistic model. In the Bayesian framework the covariance structure can be specified using unknown hyperparameters. Integrating over these…

Computation · Statistics 2010-11-01 Iain Murray , Ryan Prescott Adams

In this paper we show that a methodology based on a sampling with the Gaussian function of kind $h\,{e^{ - {{\left( {t/c} \right)}^2}}}/\left( {{c}\sqrt \pi } \right)$, where ${c}$ and $h$ are some constants, leads to the Fourier transform…

General Mathematics · Mathematics 2015-08-06 S. M. Abrarov , B. M. Quine

We give stationary estimates for the derivative of the expectation of a non-smooth function of bounded variation f of the workload in a G/G/1/$\infty$ queue, with respect to a parameter influencing the distribu- tion of the input process.…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-07-16 Pierre Bremaud , Jean-Marc Lasgouttes

This paper considers estimating a covariance matrix of $p$ variables from $n$ observations by either banding or tapering the sample covariance matrix, or estimating a banded version of the inverse of the covariance. We show that these…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2008-12-18 Peter J. Bickel , Elizaveta Levina

We consider a continuous-time stochastic volatility model. The model contains a stationary volatility process, the multivariate density of the finite dimensional distributions of which we aim to estimate. We assume that we observe the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-07-08 Bert van Es , Peter Spreij

The focus of this paper is on the quantification of sampling variation in frequentist probabilistic forecasts. We propose a method of constructing confidence sets that respects the functional nature of the forecast distribution, and use…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-08-09 David Harris , Gael M. Martin , Indeewara Perera , D. S. Poskitt

This work proposes a novel technique for the numerical calculus of the fractal dimension of fractal objects which can be represented as a closed contour. The proposed method maps the fractal contour onto a complex signal and calculates its…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2012-01-17 João B. Florindo , Odemir M. Bruno

We prove gradient estimates for harmonic functions with respect to a $d$-dimensional unimodal pure-jump Levy process under some mild assumptions on the density of its Levy measure. These assumptions allow for a construction of an unimodal…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-07-30 Tadeusz Kulczycki , Michal Ryznar

Research on fractal networks is a dynamically growing field of network science. A central issue is to analyze fractality with the so-called box-covering method. As this problem is known to be NP-hard, a plethora of approximating algorithms…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2021-10-12 Péter Tamás Kovács , Marcell Nagy , Roland Molontay

Using generalized Blumenthal--Getoor indices, we obtain criteria for the finiteness of the $p$-variation of L\'evy-type processes. This class of stochastic processes includes solutions of Skorokhod-type stochastic differential equations…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-02-03 Martynas Manstavicius , Alexander Schnurr

Gaussian functions are commonly used in different fields, many real signals can be modeled into such form. Research aiming to obtain a precise fitting result for these functions is very meaningful. This manuscript intends to introduce a new…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-03-15 Wei Chen
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