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Given n independent Bernoulli(p) random variables X_i, i = 1, ..., n, representing the opinions of individuals connected by an underlying random k-regular graph G_n on {1, ..., n}, we show that when conditioned on an atypical empirical…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-03-03 I-Hsun Chen , Ivan Lee , Kavita Ramanan , Sarath Yasodharan

Maximum-entropy distributions are shown to appear in the probability calculus as approximations of a model by exchangeability or a model by sufficiency, the former model being preferable. The implications of this fact are discussed,…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2017-06-27 P. G. L. Porta Mana

We derive concentration inequalities for sums of independent and identically distributed random variables that yield non-asymptotic generalizations of several strong laws of large numbers including some of those due to Kolmogorov [1930],…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-11-04 Johannes Ruf , Ian Waudby-Smith

Bayesian graphical models are a useful tool for understanding dependence relationships among many variables, particularly in situations with external prior information. In high-dimensional settings, the space of possible graphs becomes…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-02-07 Zehang Richard Li , Tyler H. McCormick

We study a parametric estimation problem related to moment condition models. As an alternative to the generalized empirical likelihood (GEL) and the generalized method of moments (GMM), a Bayesian approach to the problem can be adopted,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-03-02 Paul Rochet

In recent years, the implications of the generalized (GUP) and extended (EUP) uncertainty prin-ciples on Maxwell-Boltzmann distribution have been widely investigated. However, at high energy regimes, the validity of Maxwell-Boltzmann…

General Relativity and Quantum Cosmology · Physics 2021-02-02 Hooman Moradpour , Sara Aghababaei , Amir Hadi Ziaie

Let $X_{1},..,X_{n}$ denote an i.i.d. sample with light tail distribution and $S_{1}^{n}$ denote the sum of its terms; let $a_{n}$ be a real sequence\ going to infinity with $n.$\ In a previous paper (\cite{BoniaCao}) it is proved that as…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-05-16 Michel Broniatowski , Zhansheng Cao

The status of experimental tests of general relativity and of theoretical frameworks for analysing them are reviewed. Einstein's equivalence principle (EEP) is well supported by experiments such as the E\"otv\"os experiment, tests of…

General Relativity and Quantum Cosmology · Physics 2008-11-26 Clifford M. Will

In Part I of this article (Banerjee and Kuchibhotla (2023)), we have introduced a new method to bound the difference in expectations of an average of independent random vector and the limiting Gaussian random vector using level sets. In the…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-06-27 Arun Kumar Kuchibhotla

The problem of assigning probability distributions which objectively reflect the prior information available about experiments is one of the major stumbling blocks in the use of Bayesian methods of data analysis. In this paper the method of…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2009-11-10 Ariel Caticha , Roland Preuss

Maximum entropy (MAXENT) method has a large number of applications in theoretical and applied machine learning, since it provides a convenient non-parametric tool for estimating unknown probabilities. The method is a major contribution of…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2020-12-18 A. E. Allahverdyan , N. H. Martirosyan

We develop a framework for the operationalization of models and parameters by combining de Finetti's representation theorem with a conditional form of Sanov's theorem. This synthesis, the tilted de Finetti theorem, shows that conditioning…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-09-17 Nicholas G. Polson , Daniel Zantedeschi

The principle of maximum entropy (Maxent) is often used to obtain prior probability distributions as a method to obtain a Gibbs measure under some restriction giving the probability that a system will be in a certain state compared to the…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2019-06-26 Hector Zenil , Narsis A. Kiani , Jesper Tegnér

We discuss how the method of maximum entropy, MaxEnt, can be extended beyond its original scope, as a rule to assign a probability distribution, to a full-fledged method for inductive inference. The main concept is the (relative) entropy…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2009-11-10 Ariel Caticha

Many natural and artificial systems whose range of interaction is long enough are known to exhibit (quasi)stationary states that defy the standard, Boltzmann-Gibbs statistical mechanical prescriptions. For handling such anomalous systems…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2007-05-23 Yuzuru Sato , Constantino Tsallis

Let $(X,Y)$ be a random vector whose conditional excess probability $\theta(x,y):=P(Y\leq y | X>x)$ is of interest. Estimating this kind of probability is a delicate problem as soon as $x$ tends to be large, since the conditioning event…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-09-29 Belkacem Abdous , Anne-Laure Fougères , Kilani Ghoudi , Philippe Soulier

We study the expectation-maximization (EM) algorithm for general latent-variable models under (i) distributional misspecification and (ii) nonidentifiability induced by a group action. We formulate EM on the quotient parameter space and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-01-06 Koustav Mallik

Models based on assumptions of multivariate regular variation and hidden regular variation provide ways to describe a broad range of extremal dependence structures when marginal distributions are heavy tailed. Multivariate regular variation…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Janet E. Heffernan , Sidney I. Resnick

We study the distribution of the occurrence of rare patterns in sufficiently mixing Gibbs random fields on the lattice $\mathbb{Z}^d$, $d\geq 2$. A typical example is the high temperature Ising model. This distribution is shown to converge…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-11-10 M. Abadi , J. -R. Chazottes , F. Redig , E. Verbitskiy

The classical multivariate extreme value theory tries to capture the extremal dependence between the components under a multivariate domain of attraction condition and it requires each of the components to be in the domain of attraction of…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-04-13 Rajat Subhra Hazra , Krishanu Maulik