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Related papers: A Calculator for Confidence Intervals

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The construction of confidence intervals for the mean of a bounded random variable is a classical problem in statistics with numerous applications in machine learning and virtually all scientific fields. In particular, obtaining the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-12 Václav Voráček , Francesco Orabona

Over twenty years ago, Abadi et al. established the Dependency Core Calculus (DCC) as a general purpose framework for analyzing dependency in typed programming languages. Since then, dependency analysis has shown many practical benefits to…

Programming Languages · Computer Science 2022-02-03 Pritam Choudhury , Harley Eades , Stephanie Weirich

In this paper, we develop a computational approach for estimating the mean value of a quantity in the presence of uncertainty. We demonstrate that, under some mild assumptions, the upper and lower bounds of the mean value are efficiently…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-11-05 Xinjia Chen

Computational chemistry has become an important complement to experimental measurements. In order to choose among the multitude of the existing approximations, it is common to use benchmark data sets, and to issue recommendations based on…

Chemical Physics · Physics 2020-04-02 Andreas Savin , Pascal Pernot

When providing probabilistic forecasts for uncertain future events, it is common to strive for calibrated forecasts, that is, the predictive distribution should be compatible with the observed outcomes. Several notions of calibration are…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-05-21 Christof Strähl , Johanna F. Ziegel

The goal of any estimation study is an interval estimation of a the parameter(s) of interest. These estimations are mostly expressed using empirical confidence intervals that are based on sample point estimates of the corresponding…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-07-03 Ilya Novikov

The variance of the concentration in a sample can be estimated using knowledge of the particle masses, concentrations and the parameter for the dependent selection of particles. A number of variance estimators are constructed including a…

Applications · Statistics 2010-05-18 B. Geelhoed

Confidence intervals are an established means of portraying uncertainty about an inferred parameter and can be generated through the use of confidence distributions. For a confidence distribution to be ideal, it must maintain frequentist…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-06-16 Alexander Wimbush , Nicholas Gray , Scott Ferson

As the scale of quantum programs grows to match that of classical software, the nascent field of quantum software engineering must mature and tools such as debuggers will become increasingly important. However, developing a quantum debugger…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2024-06-27 Sara Ayman Metwalli , Rodney Van Meter

Knowing when a classifier's prediction can be trusted is useful in many applications and critical for safely using AI. While the bulk of the effort in machine learning research has been towards improving classifier performance,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-10-30 Heinrich Jiang , Been Kim , Melody Y. Guan , Maya Gupta

Quantifying errors and losses due to the use of Floating-Point (FP) calculations in industrial scientific computing codes is an important part of the Verification, Validation and Uncertainty Quantification (VVUQ) process. Stochastic…

The factor estimation process is a really challenging task for non-linear models. Even whether researchers manage to successfully estimate model factors, they still must estimate their confidence intervals, which could require a high…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-10-09 Daniel Rojas-Diaz , Alexandra Catano-Lopez , Carlos M. Velez-Sanchez

The 'standard' confidence interval for a Poisson parameter is only one of a number of estimation intervals based on the chi-square distribution that may be used in the estimation of the mean or mean rate for a Poisson model. Other…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2011-02-07 E. A. Maxwell

We consider a linear regression model with regression parameter beta =(beta_1, ..., beta_p) and independent and identically N(0, sigma^2)distributed errors. Suppose that the parameter of interest is theta = a^T beta where a is a specified…

Computation · Statistics 2009-04-17 Paul Kabaila , Khageswor Giri

When knowledge is obtained from a database, it is only possible to deduce confidence intervals for probability values. With confidence intervals replacing point values, the results in the set covering model include interval constraints for…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-04-10 Richard E. Neapolitan , James Kenevan

A conformable time-scale fractional calculus of order $\alpha \in ]0,1]$ is introduced. The basic tools for fractional differentiation and fractional integration are then developed. The Hilger time-scale calculus is obtained as a particular…

Classical Analysis and ODEs · Mathematics 2015-12-24 Nadia Benkhettou , Salima Hassani , Delfim F. M. Torres

Adaptive confidence intervals for regression functions are constructed under shape constraints of monotonicity and convexity. A natural benchmark is established for the minimum expected length of confidence intervals at a given function in…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-05-27 T. Tony Cai , Mark G. Low , Yin Xia

This paper proposes a decorrelation-based approach to test hypotheses and construct confidence intervals for the low dimensional component of high dimensional proportional hazards models. Motivated by the geometric projection principle, we…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2014-12-17 Ethan X. Fang , Yang Ning , Han Liu

We present a new proof rule for verifying lower bounds on quantities of probabilistic programs. Our proof rule is not confined to almost-surely terminating programs -- as is the case for existing rules -- and can be used to establish…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2023-02-14 Shenghua Feng , Mingshuai Chen , Han Su , Benjamin Lucien Kaminski , Joost-Pieter Katoen , Naijun Zhan

In this paper we establish lower bounds on information divergence from a distribution to certain important classes of distributions as Gaussian, exponential, Gamma, Poisson, geometric, and binomial. These lower bounds are tight and for…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2011-02-15 Peter Harremoës , Christophe Vignat