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It is known by the experience gained from the gravitational wave detector proto-types that the interferometric output signal will be corrupted by a significant amount of non-Gaussian noise, large part of it being essentially composed of…

General Relativity and Quantum Cosmology · Physics 2009-10-31 E. Chassande-Mottin , S. V. Dhurandhar

This paper considers Bayesian parameter estimation of dynamic systems using a Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) approach. The Metroplis-Hastings (MH) algorithm is employed, and the main contribution of the paper is to examine and illustrate…

Applications · Statistics 2021-10-18 Johannes Hendriks , Adrian Wills , Brett Ninness , Johan Dahlin

The missing data issue often complicates the task of estimating generalized linear models (GLMs). We describe why the pseudo-marginal Metropolis-Hastings algorithm, used in this setting, is an effective strategy for parameter estimation.…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-07-23 Taylor R. Brown , Timothy L. McMurry , Alexander Langevin

We present a lightweight, flexible, and high-performance framework for inferring the properties of gravitational-wave events. By combining likelihood heterodyning, automatically-differentiable and accelerator-compatible waveforms, and…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2023-02-13 Kaze W. K. Wong , Maximiliano Isi , Thomas D. P. Edwards

Particle Metropolis-Hastings enables Bayesian parameter inference in general nonlinear state space models (SSMs). However, in many implementations a random walk proposal is used and this can result in poor mixing if not tuned correctly…

Computation · Statistics 2016-03-11 Johan Dahlin , Fredrik Lindsten , Thomas B. Schön

Particle Markov Chain Monte Carlo methods are used to carry out inference in non-linear and non-Gaussian state space models, where the posterior density of the states is approximated using particles. Current approaches usually perform…

Computation · Statistics 2019-09-30 Eduardo F. Mendes , Christopher K. Carter , David Gunawan , Robert Kohn

In this paper we study Markov chains associated with the Metropolis-Hastings algorithm. We consider conditions under which the sequence of the successive densities of such a chain converges to the target density according to the total…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-06-16 Dimiter Tsvetkov , Lyubomir Hristov , Ralitsa Angelova-Slavova

A hidden Markov model (HMM) scheme for tracking continuous-wave gravitational radiation from neutron stars in low-mass X-ray binaries (LMXBs) with wandering spin is extended by introducing a frequency-domain matched filter, called the…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2017-11-29 S. Suvorova , P. Clearwater , A. Melatos , L. Sun , W. Moran , R. J. Evans

Couplings play a central role in the analysis of Markov chain Monte Carlo algorithms and appear increasingly often in the algorithms themselves, e.g. in convergence diagnostics, parallelization, and variance reduction techniques. Existing…

Computation · Statistics 2020-10-20 John O'Leary , Guanyang Wang , Pierre E. Jacob

Bayesian inference via standard Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) methods is too computationally intensive to handle large datasets, since the cost per step usually scales like $\Theta(n)$ in the number of data points $n$. We propose the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-06-12 Robert Cornish , Paul Vanetti , Alexandre Bouchard-Côté , George Deligiannidis , Arnaud Doucet

We review and expand on a Bayesian model selection technique for the detection of gravitational waves from neutron star ring-downs associated with pulsar glitches. The algorithm works with power spectral densities constructed from…

General Relativity and Quantum Cosmology · Physics 2008-11-26 J Clark , I S Heng , M Pitkin , G Woan

The multi-point Metropolis algorithm is an advanced MCMC technique based on drawing several correlated samples at each step and choosing one of them according to some normalized weights. We propose a variation of this technique where the…

Computation · Statistics 2012-10-18 Luca Martino , Victor Pascual Del Olmo , Jesse Read

We propose a new sampling algorithm combining two quite powerful ideas in the Markov chain Monte Carlo literature -- adaptive Metropolis sampler and two-stage Metropolis-Hastings sampler. The proposed sampling method will be particularly…

Computation · Statistics 2021-01-05 Anirban Mondal , Kai Yin , Abhijit Mandal

Inspiral signals from binary compact objects (black holes and neutron stars) are primary targets of the ongoing searches by ground-based gravitational-wave interferometers (LIGO, Virgo, GEO-600 and TAMA-300). We present parameter-estimation…

This paper describes a new semi-coherent method to search for transient gravitational waves of intermediate duration (hours to days). In order to search for newborn isolated neutron stars with their possibly very rapid spin-down, we model…

General Relativity and Quantum Cosmology · Physics 2019-05-31 Miquel Oliver , David Keitel , Alicia M. Sintes

To sample from a given target distribution, Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) sampling relies on constructing an ergodic Markov chain with the target distribution as its invariant measure. For any MCMC method, an important question is how to…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-08-15 Federica Milinanni , Pierre Nyquist

A number of detections have been made in the past few years of gravitational waves from compact binary coalescences. While there exist well-understood waveform models for signals from compact binary coalescences, many sources of…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2019-07-24 Sharan Banagiri , Ling Sun , Michael W. Coughlin , Andrew Melatos

Metropolis Hastings nested sampling evolves a Markov chain, accepting new points along the chain according to a version of the Metropolis Hastings acceptance ratio, which has been modified to satisfy the nested sampling likelihood…

Computation · Statistics 2020-02-12 Kamran Javid

Rapid and robust parameter estimation of gravitational-wave sources is a key component of modern multi-messenger astronomy. We present a novel and straightforward method for rapid parameter estimation of gravitational-wave sources that uses…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2025-07-31 Alexander Harvey Nitz

Rapidly rotating neutron stars are promising sources of continuous gravitational wave radiation for the LIGO and Virgo interferometers. The majority of neutron stars in our galaxy have not been identified with electromagnetic observations.…

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