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This tutorial provides a gentle introduction to the particle Metropolis-Hastings (PMH) algorithm for parameter inference in nonlinear state-space models together with a software implementation in the statistical programming language R. We…

Computation · Statistics 2019-03-13 Johan Dahlin , Thomas B. Schön

We present a new multiple-try Metropolis-Hastings algorithm designed to be especially beneficial when a tailored proposal distribution is available. The algorithm is based on a given acyclic graph $G$, where one of the nodes in $G$, $k$…

Computation · Statistics 2018-07-06 Xin Luo , Håkon Tjelmeland

Probabilistic modeling provides the capability to represent and manipulate uncertainty in data, models, predictions and decisions. We are concerned with the problem of learning probabilistic models of dynamical systems from measured data.…

Computation · Statistics 2018-03-14 Thomas B. Schön , Andreas Svensson , Lawrence Murray , Fredrik Lindsten

Gravitational-wave data from advanced-era interferometric detectors consists of background Gaussian noise, frequent transient artefacts, and rare astrophysical signals. Multiple search algorithms exist to detect the signals from compact…

General Relativity and Quantum Cosmology · Physics 2026-01-13 Gregory Ashton , Ann-Kristin Malz , Nicolo Colombo

Within the next few years, Advanced LIGO and Virgo should detect gravitational waves from binary neutron star and neutron star-black hole mergers. These sources are also predicted to power a broad array of electromagnetic transients.…

General Relativity and Quantum Cosmology · Physics 2016-01-20 Leo P. Singer , Larry R. Price

Markov chain Monte Carlo methods have become popular in statistics as versatile techniques to sample from complicated probability distributions. In this work, we propose a method to parameterize and train transition kernels of Markov chains…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-06-05 Evgenii Egorov , Ricardo Valperga , Efstratios Gavves

Recently, global pulsar timing arrays have released results from searching for a nano-Hertz gravitational wave background signal. Although there has not been any definite evidence of the presence of such a signal in residuals of pulsar…

General Relativity and Quantum Cosmology · Physics 2022-10-12 A. Samajdar , G. Shaifullah , A. Sesana , J. Antoniadis , M. Burgay , D. J. Champion , S. Chen , M. Kramer , J. W. McKee , M. B. Mickaliger , E. Van der Wateren

We discuss the coherent search strategy to detect gravitational waves from inspiraling compact binaries by a network of correlated laser interferometric detectors. From the maximum likelihood ratio statistic, we obtain a coherent statistic…

General Relativity and Quantum Cosmology · Physics 2008-11-26 Hideyuki Tagoshi , Himan Mukhopadhyay , Sanjeev Dhurandhar , Norichika Sago , Hirotaka Takahashi , Nobuyuki Kanda

Leveraging Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) optimization of the F-statistic, we introduce a method for the hierarchical follow-up of continuous gravitational wave candidates identified by wide-parameter space semi-coherent searches. We…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2018-06-06 Gregory Ashton , Reinhard Prix

Since its inception the Metropolis-Hastings kernel has been applied in sophisticated ways to address ever more challenging and diverse sampling problems. Its success stems from the flexibility brought by the fact that its verification and…

Computation · Statistics 2021-01-01 Christophe Andrieu , Anthony Lee , Sam Livingstone

Metropolis-Hastings estimates intractable expectations - can differentiating the algorithm estimate their gradients? The challenge is that Metropolis-Hastings trajectories are not conventionally differentiable due to the discrete…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-06-21 Gaurav Arya , Moritz Schauer , Ruben Seyer

Searches for persistent gravitational radiation from nonpulsating neutron stars in young supernova remnants (SNRs) are computationally challenging because of rapid stellar braking. We describe a practical, efficient, semi-coherent search…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2018-02-28 L. Sun , A. Melatos , S. Suvorova , W. Moran , R. J. Evans

We study the possibility to detect the gravitational wave background generated by all the neutron stars in the Galaxy with only one gravitational wave interferometric detector. The proposed strategy consists in squaring the detector's…

Astrophysics · Physics 2014-10-13 A. Giazotto , S. Bonazzola , E. Gourgoulhon

Non-Gaussian distributions in cosmology are commonly evaluated with Monte Carlo Markov-chain methods, as the Fisher-matrix formalism is restricted to the Gaussian case. The Metropolis-Hastings algorithm will provide samples from the…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2023-05-15 Lennart Röver , Heinrich von Campe , Maximilian Philipp Herzog , Rebecca Maria Kuntz , Björn Malte Schäfer

We perform Markov chain Monte Carlo simulations for a Bayesian inference of the GJR-GARCH model which is one of asymmetric GARCH models. The adaptive construction scheme is used for the construction of the proposal density in the…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2010-12-30 Tetsuya Takaishi

A common technique for detection of gravitational-wave signals is searching for excess power in frequency-time maps of gravitational-wave detector data. In the event of a detection, model selection and parameter estimation will be performed…

General Relativity and Quantum Cosmology · Physics 2015-06-19 Michael Coughlin , Nelson Christensen , Jonathan Gair , Shivaraj Kandhasamy , Eric Thrane

The Metropolis-Hastings (MH) algorithm is the prototype for a class of Markov chain Monte Carlo methods that propose transitions between states and then accept or reject the proposal. These methods generate a correlated sequence of random…

Computational Physics · Physics 2011-05-12 Albert H. Mao , Rohit V. Pappu

The problem of search for nearly periodic gravitational wave sources in the data from laser interferometric detectors is discussed using a simple model of the signal. Accuracies of estimation of the parameters and computational requirements…

General Relativity and Quantum Cosmology · Physics 2007-05-23 Andrzej Królak

The gravitational wave signal from a compact object spiralling toward a massive black hole (MBH) is thought to be one of the most difficult sources to detect in the LISA data stream. Due to the large parameter space of possible signals and…

General Relativity and Quantum Cosmology · Physics 2009-06-25 Stanislav Babak , Jonathan R. Gair , Edward K. Porter

In recent times empirical likelihood has been widely applied under Bayesian framework. Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) methods are frequently employed to sample from the posterior distribution of the parameters of interest. However,…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-09-07 Sanjay Chaudhuri , Teng Yin