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We analyze the best achievable performance of Bayesian learning under generative models by defining and upper-bounding the minimum excess risk (MER): the gap between the minimum expected loss attainable by learning from data and the minimum…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-01-04 Aolin Xu , Maxim Raginsky

We study a widely used Bayesian optimization method, Gaussian process Thompson sampling (GP-TS), under the assumption that the objective function is a sample path from a GP. Compared with the GP upper confidence bound (GP-UCB) with…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-03-11 Shion Takeno , Shogo Iwazaki

We derive a new upper bound on the reliability function for channel coding over discrete memoryless channels. Our bounding technique relies on two main elements: (i) adding an auxiliary genie-receiver that reveals to the original receiver a…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2022-09-05 Anelia Somekh-Baruch

Convex sample approximations of chance-constrained optimization problems are considered, in which chance constraints are replaced by sets of sampled constraints. We propose a randomized sample selection strategy that allows tight bounds to…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2018-05-22 Mark Cannon

In many sequential decision problems, an agent performs a repeated task. He then suffers regret and obtains information that he may use in the following rounds. However, sometimes the agent may also obtain information and avoid suffering…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-02-25 Itai Shufaro , Nadav Merlis , Nir Weinberger , Shie Mannor

In many domains, worst-case guarantees on the performance (e.g., prediction accuracy) of a decision function subject to distributional shifts and uncertainty about the environment are crucial. In this work we develop a method to quantify…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2022-05-13 Hjalmar Wijk , Benjie Wang , Marta Kwiatkowska

This paper considers the problem of testing the maximum in-degree of the Bayes net underlying an unknown probability distribution $P$ over $\{0,1\}^n$, given sample access to $P$. We show that the sample complexity of the problem is…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-04-17 Vipul Arora , Arnab Bhattacharyya , Clément L. Canonne , Joy Qiping Yang

The deployment of massive MIMO systems has revived much of the interest in the study of the large-system performance of multiuser detection systems. In this paper, we prove a non-trivial upper bound on the bit-error rate (BER) of the MAP…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2019-03-12 Christos Thrampoulidis , Ilias Zadik , Yury Polyanskiy

An information-theoretic upper bound on the generalization error of supervised learning algorithms is derived. The bound is constructed in terms of the mutual information between each individual training sample and the output of the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-08-06 Yuheng Bu , Shaofeng Zou , Venugopal V. Veeravalli

The Bayesian approach has proved to be a coherent approach to handle ill posed Inverse problems. However, the Bayesian calculations need either an optimization or an integral calculation. The maximum a posteriori (MAP) estimation requires…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2007-05-23 A. Mohammad-Djafari

This paper studies the performance of block coding on an additive white Gaussian noise channel under different power limitations at the transmitter. Lower bounds are presented for the minimum error probability of codes satisfying maximal…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2020-08-19 Gonzalo Vazquez-Vilar

We give some results relating asymptotic characterisations of maximum entropy probability measures to characterisations of Bayes optimal classifiers. Our main theorems show that maximum entropy is a universally Bayes optimal decision rule…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-07-08 Dalton A R Sakthivadivel

Meta learning uses information from base learners (e.g. classifiers or estimators) as well as information about the learning problem to improve upon the performance of a single base learner. For example, the Bayes error rate of a given…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2016-03-11 Kevin R. Moon , Veronique Delouille , Alfred O. Hero

We have recently introduced an any-space algorithm for exact inference in Bayesian networks, called Recursive Conditioning, RC, which allows one to trade space with time at increments of X-bytes, where X is the number of bytes needed to…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-01-18 Adnan Darwiche

A frequent matter of debate in Bayesian inversion is the question, which of the two principle point-estimators, the maximum-a-posteriori (MAP) or the conditional mean (CM) estimate is to be preferred. As the MAP estimate corresponds to the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-06-18 Martin Burger , Felix Lucka

When recovering an unknown signal from noisy measurements, the computational difficulty of performing optimal Bayesian MMSE (minimum mean squared error) inference often necessitates the use of maximum a posteriori (MAP) inference, a special…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-09-23 Madhu Advani , Surya Ganguli

Linear Autoencoders (LAEs) have shown strong performance in state-of-the-art recommender systems. However, this success remains largely empirical, with limited theoretical understanding. In this paper, we investigate the generalizability --…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-12-16 Ruixin Guo , Ruoming Jin , Xinyu Li , Yang Zhou

We present some new and explicit error bounds for the approximation of distributions. The approximation error is quantified by the maximal density ratio of the distribution $Q$ to be approximated and its proxy $P$. This non-symmetric…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-09-02 Lutz Duembgen , Richard Samworth , Jon Wellner

In this paper, we consider Bayesian point estimation and predictive density estimation in the binomial case. After presenting preliminary results on these problems, we compare the risk functions of the Bayes estimators based on the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-09-13 Yasuyuki Hamura

Causal discovery algorithms infer causal relations from data based on several assumptions, including notably the absence of measurement error. However, this assumption is most likely violated in practical applications, which may result in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-08-31 Tineke Blom , Anna Klimovskaia , Sara Magliacane , Joris M. Mooij